Too early to write Okafor off, I mean the guy missed months of basketball and is a 2nd year big men. Big guys always take awhile to develop, especially when coming back from injury and on a terrible team. He still shows those flashes, like he did tonight against the Cavs. 7 of 11 for 14 points and 9 rebounds in 23 minutes.
I don't think it is too early to project that his defense will never be good as prime Al Jefferson. How good does his offense have to be to justify a future max contract if his defense is that bad?
still have to laugh at the bizarre curve okafor is graded on. All our young players continue to get a pass despite significant flaws at age 22/23. And yet okafor still hasn't turned 21 years old and this is probably as good as he will ever be. Yeah... ok....
I watched al Jefferson when he was 22. He wasn't a good defender. He wasn't a very good defender in his prime either. Okafor is comparable. Okafor can get much better though.
Bottom line is that Marcus smart is in the midst of his 3rd season proving he will never been a mediocre shooter in this league and yet myself and many other Celtic fans still think there's a chance he will figure it out. Meanwhile okafor is like 60 games into NBA career and can't even legally drink and yet people think the kid is incapable of ever finding a role on defense.
There's a big difference though. Smart is very good at many different things (Defense, court vision, rebounding, versatility, leadership) and struggles with one thing (Scoring) of which his shooting contributes to. It's fairly reasonable to believe that if he improved his shooting (something fairly common in the NBA) it would improve his scoring and you'd be looking at a pretty dang good player with all the other things he does well.
With By contrast, Okafor is very good at one thing (Low Post offense) and struggles with many others (Defense, rebounding, passing, shooting, switching, leadership). His one skill is very, very good and it's reasonable to believe that he could improve in one of those deficiencies, but even if he does (Say, rebounding) your still left with a 7 footer who needs the ball constantly to be effective on offense, is a poor defender who can't switch to save his life or protect the rim well, doesn't pass well out of double teams and is a p--- poor teammate.
See, that's the difference. People believe Smart can improve on his one big weakness and you'll have a great player. With Okafor, you have to hope he can improve on a bunch of his big weaknesses (Including things like switching, which you don't just improve at with time) just to have a net positive player. He has potential, but the odds of stardom are pretty dang low.