Too early to write Okafor off, I mean the guy missed months of basketball and is a 2nd year big men. Big guys always take awhile to develop, especially when coming back from injury and on a terrible team. He still shows those flashes, like he did tonight against the Cavs. 7 of 11 for 14 points and 9 rebounds in 23 minutes.
People are going to say that for the next year or two. It's "too early" to call him a bust or an average player, but it ignores the main problem with Okafor's game. Is he ever gonna be able to be a true "rim-protector"? (Probably not). Will he ever be able to switch onto 4's and large 3's to meaningfully contribute to a strong team defense? (Almost certainly not, as he just lacks the physical ability and defensive awareness/intensity to do that). Will he ever develop a reliable 20+ foot shot? (Possible, but not likely, considering he hasn't mastered the 15 footer yet) Can he use his elite post game to draw double teams and kick out for open shots? (He could, but it's not like he's a Monroe/Gasol level passer and he's currently not doing that very well). Can he improve his mediocre rebounding? (Could happen, but early signs aren't encouraging. He sure doesn't have a nose for boards like Drummond or DJ).
Most importantly, can he improve enough in ALL of those areas I mentioned to make it worth a teams while to design their offense around his post skills? I just don't think so. He's lacking so much in the rebounding/defensive/ball movement areas that I can't see him ever improving enough to justify giving him major minutes on a decent team. He's almost useless if your not feeding him the ball in the post, which makes him (AT BEST) a primary bench scorer.
I know people will say "give him time" or "he has the chance to be great" but I just don't see it. His one really incredible basketball skill can't outweigh all his huge negatives he brings, and I just can't see a way in which he improves in so many different areas that it could justify playing him major minutes on a winning team.