I haven't done a full analysis, but some of the "win now" teams that I like the best (in no particular order):
Toronto
New York
Milwaukee
Chicago
Atlanta
Washington
Utah
Sacramento
Dallas
Obviously, some of these assessments will change drastically in the coming rounds. For instance, I think Sacramento will probably end up falling in my rankings, because of their lack of future draft picks. Chicago could potentially drop out due to the thinness of their roster, although their top-two talent is tough to beat.
Some of the borderline teams, that I think could contend if they make good trades or find excellent value later on:
Miami
Indiana
Denver
Phoenix
LA Clippers
Golden State
Houston
Then, there are a lot of very talented rosters, where I just don't necessarily like some of the key pieces (for instance, Boston, Cleveland, Orlando, etc.) These are the "beauty is in the eye of the beholder" types of teams, where I can't see my mind changing, but others could really like their team.
If I was forced to pick, after a *very* cursory analysis, I'd say my Finals picks right now would be Philadelphia and Utah.
Sleeping on LeBron and Amare, and not giving IP the benefit of the doubt in the 6th, 7th, and 8th rounds=bad Roy.
Roy needs to explain the "Philadelphia vs Utah" pick in the Finals.
Utah has a nice team but I still have to have a wait and see thing with Yao's injury. I'm more confident that he will be ready to contribute before such players as Przybilla, Oden and Perkins, but to the extent that he used to contribute? I will still need some convincing on that part.
I also am not a huge Jose Calderon fan. His numbers are flashy but his game has never seemed to add up to winning basketball and now he is sitting behind Jarrett Jack on the depth charts. Something there sends up warning flags to me. I can't argue his statistical production, It's formidable. But it just has never translated into making his team mates or team as a whole much better.
All things considered, Utah is good, just not Finals good to me.
And Philly?!?!
I find it hard to believe a team with Zach Randolph, Rudy Gay and Jamal Crawford as their best three players comes even close to the Finals. Not on this blog. Three explosive offensive players for sure. But do any of them know what defense is or how to play team defense, which they would need to excel at since none of them are very good individual defenders?