So let's see if we all have this right:
Starters
Toronto Portland
PG - Andre Miller PG - Mike Bibby
SG - Francisco Garcia SG - Manu Ginobelli
SF - Ron Artest SF - Michael Redd
PF - Kevin Garnett PF - Rashard Lewis
C - Zydrunas Ilgauskas C- Shaquille O'Neal
Bench Rotations
Marcus Camby Jermaine O'Neal
Hakim Warrick Brad Miller
Michael Finley Ronnie Turiaf
Marco Belinelli Ryan Gomes
Jose Juan Barea Delonte West
If this is correct I have to say I like the Portland offense but think a more dominant Toronto defense will keep it in check. One of the reasons being that the Portland offense will revolve around a perimeter shooting game and no rebounding. Lewis might just be the worst rebounding 6-10 PF in the history of the league. Please name me another 6-10 PF that is a worse rebounder than Lewis. Also, none of the starters for Portland at PG, SF or SG are exceptional at rebounding at those positions either. No second chance rebounding will cost Portland possessions and points.
Toronto, on the other hand will have good to very good rebounders at 4 starting positions and will have a toughness/size advantage at all one position, the SG position. If the starting units play 30 or more minutes against each other, Toronto vastly better defense and rebounding easily wins that match up.
Here is where Portland's bench will be so important as will their coaching and substitution patterns. It will be imperative for the Portland coach to limit the amount of time the starting units are playing together as a whole and will need to use their size off the bench as an advantage. Forcing a Rashard Lewis vs. either Ron Artest or Michael Finley or Marco Belinelli will have huge payoffs for Portland. Those players just can't match up against Lewis who should regularly beat Artest and dominate the other players. Also, Portland will need to dominate the boards when their bigs come in and will need to rough up KG as much as possible hoping beyond hope that after 7 games he wears down. Porland can throw in waves of big guys at KG and that needs to be their unlikely focal point of attack and physicality in this series.
I think it goes 7. I think it's really even. I think if Portland had HCA they win game 7 in a good game. I think Toronto wins game 7 at home in a barn burner. My calculations had Toronto having HCA hence my vote.