Author Topic: Stein:whispers getting louder c's could trade smart to move up to high lottery  (Read 23845 times)

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Offline tarheelsxxiii

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How pleasant.

Lol. Sorry, big emotions right now. I'm sure it is an unpleasant read, but those have been my collective thoughts re: the necessity of trading Smart to make a significance difference to the roster.
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Offline M.A.

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I would be upset if we traded Smart for anything less than the 4th or 3rd pick in this draft. I would be upset if we dealt him for anyone less than Boogie. I think Ainge values Smart in the same way. He will move him for the right price, and that price is high.

In order, the top assets for the celtics:

Smart
Young
IT
Sully

Offline tarheelsxxiii

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We have the worst fans in the league. I'm disgusted to call some of you my fellow fans.

Please come closer so I can kiss your feet.

But in seriousness, unreasonable fans are prevalent among the fanbase of any sports franchise.  Don't let the outspoken few miscolor your perception of a fanbase as a whole.  They're certainly not exclusive to the Celtics, like your post seems to suggest.

I think he might be talking about our willingness to trade Smart away.

I'm not seeing why this is surprising. I said in another thread that Smart is our only true asset. No one is coveting our other "assets," with the exception of picks that are necessary sweeteners with Smart.

Understand even less peoples' dismay with trading Smart, especially for the potential at Okafor. Smart has given us a good indication of who he will become. He will flirt with all NBA-teams his career, and he lacks offensive abilities at this level. He passes well, may be a better shooter than we thought, but will never shoot it well and can't get to the rack like he did in college.

I like Smart a lot. The thought of the trade makes my stomach drop. But Okafor's skill set is as sure as any in this draft - he's Tim Duncan super lite without defense. Bigger picture, he may give us a legitimate opportunity to continue chasing Boogie, and worse case we have a very solid scoring C. People will argue he doesn't fit into Stevens' "system," and I'll ask if that "system" was him employing a common scheme at this level that fit the personnel he was given.

Regardless, I doubt this happens. LAL seems to covet Russell, and they aren't nearly as desperate as we are to chase Boogie. They won't strike out in FA, and FA doesn't exist in Boston.

Only true asset ?  That's discrediting a lot of talent on the current roster, especially guys like IT4 and James Young.  BTW, had Young stayed in school, he's right up there with the Winslow's of the world in this draft.

How do you know who covets who ?



It's not terribly difficult to discern the relative value of players around the league using some deductive reasoning.

Is that the same reasoning you used when you debunked the Garnett to the Celtics rumors back in the day ?

"No way, the Celtics don't have enough to land Garnett.  No real assets to get there"

No, because I didn't debunk any of those rumors, nor am I debunking any rumors here. In fact I actively discourage people from debunking rumors off of knee-jerk reactions. I am much more in favor of taking everything with a grain of salt, as I think my posting history would suggest.

Your post is revisionist history, by the way -- Al Jefferson was definitely considered a "real asset" in 2007, particularly since draft picks were not nearly as valued as they are today. Something which is easily understood, and lends credence to my initial point.

QED. Nice stab at using a straw man, by the way, it's always good to see people trying to expound their intellectual faculties.

Wow. Lot Of Action.
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Offline D.o.s.

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I don't like being misrepresented, especially when the misrepresentation is of someone making an argument that I haven't actually made. ;D

How pleasant.

Lol. Sorry, big emotions right now. I'm sure it is an unpleasant read, but those have been my collective thoughts re: the necessity of trading Smart to make a significance difference to the roster.

Ah! That was in reference to a now deleted quote by Hemingway about how our fans are the worst. I should edit that.
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Offline TheFlex

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I, for one, was disappointed.   

I have to say, I'm with LarBrd on this one, at least enough to agree that Smart disappointed me in many respects.

The draft reports on Smart that I read compared him to Harden, and Tyreke, and other guys with great size, handles, and feel for the game despite less than ideal athleticism, guys who could score fluidly the minute they entered the league.

Smart's offensive game was really nothing like it was advertised to be, other than the fact that he had a happy trigger finger from outside.  Turns out that he was not nearly as poor an outside shooter as advertised, but he also had very little offensive game to speak of inside the arc, and rarely got to the free throw line.


I enjoyed watching Smart this year, and I think his intangibles and defensive ability are really nice assets to have on the floor with pretty much any kind of lineup.  But his lack of obvious talent offensively makes him a let down considering we used the #6 pick on him.

The only thing that makes me feel better about it is that there were not any obviously superior prospects taken after him.  Nobody who blew up this year, or flashed great potential, to make me feel bad about the selection.  This isn't a Kelly Olynyk -- Giannis situation.

If we're just ignoring the impact injuries had on rookie seasons, then Joel Embiid, Aaron Gordon and Julius Randle showed absolutely nothing.

Why the insistence on not at least entertaining the idea that Smart's ankle could have prohibited his driving ability?


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Offline BlackCeltic

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I wouldnt be surprised if nothing happened outside of that rumored Bennet trade, now that WCS is slipping.

Offline LarBrd33

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Boston desperately need a franchise prospect ... That's not smart. I like smart though

So we should just hurriedly deal guys who aren't going to be franchise guys but could very well make an All-Star team for a guy that might have the potential to be a franchise guy?

Edit: ... but probably won't ever be, like Smart?
I had smart 8th on my board last year and he ended up worse than I thought he'd be. I like him a lot, but I give him up if we can get a franchise prospect.



You're the only one in the world who thinks any of that. And tell me this, if you had him 8th on your board (ha!) and he ended up 6th in All-Rookie voting, how in the hell did he end worse than you thought he'd be? Ridiculousness.
Heh... If you wouldn't trade smart for embiid or Jabari Parker right now, you're cray.  So spare me his "6th in rookie voting" thing.  I had him 8th on my board.  I sAw him as an NBA ready guy who would average 15, 5 and 5 out of the gate, be a top 4 rookie, but long term others would surpass him.  I was disappointed with his rookie campaign.  Great defensive player though.  I'd move him for someone with star potential.

You're so wrong, it's funny. Yes, he finished 6th in voting. Yes, Embiid and Parker were injured. However, Mirotic and Noel, two players that were not part of the 2014 draft, finished ahead of him!

TP. I've given up. He's never really given me a legit answer.

It's all good Larry Legend. You can like some Celtics now and again.
I like Smart.  I hope we keep him.  I think it's safe to say he'll develop into a Tony Allen type at worse.  Maybe he'll be better.  But if you're asking me if I'd move Tony Allen for the next Steph Curry or LaMarcus Aldridge, my answer is a resounding yes.

And what if you picked up the next Jonny Flynn or Tyrus Thomas?

Not all that keen on moving Smart for a guy his age unless we were to package him with a James Young or Kelly Olynyk for a stud like Jabari.

Look, I get that people here disagree with me, because Smart's our boy.  But he averaged 7 points on 36% shooting and all the pre-draft hype was that the kid was one of the 3 most "NBA ready prospects" in the draft.   All the stat projections I read about Smart suggested he'd be able to average at least 15 points on a depleated roster like Boston.   He lacks explosiveness and speed.  He's not a good shooter.  He's not great with the ball.  He's not much of a distributor.   For a guy who most expected to be a NBA-ready leader, he proved to be an excepitonal defender, a mediocre 3-point shooter... and not much else.   Who knows what he'll develop into, but it's not very encouraging.  And with Thomas on board, it might make sense to move Smart if you're getting a better prospect... preferably a shooting guard with size who can shoot (I'd trade Smart for Russell) or, obviously... an elite big man prospect.

There were guys in the draft last year that were far more raw, but with potentially a higher ceiling (Gordon, Exum, Vonleh).   All I've read about the Celtics was that they tried very hard to trade up to get Embiid... And that Smart vs Randle was a debate they agonized over.  They saw Randle as having more skill.  They liked Smart's attitude in spite of his lack of skill.  They took Smart, because they thought he'd put in a lot of work and because he's a tough guy.   He could get a lot better over time.  But to say I wasn't disappointed in his lack of ability as a supposedly "NBA-Ready" player would be lying.   He was exceptional on one end of the court and the other end was concerning. 

Where the heck are you getting those projections from. O.o

15 points a game? Depleted (we were always deep at the guard rotations)

His NBA readiness had all to do with defense, nothing to do with offense... which he delivered on.

So, I think you might just have had a tad bit of the unrealistic expectations dosage.

I love that people around here like to pretend like I pull my "LarBrdisms" out of my butt.  Like I just fabricate it for drama.   If only I had a time machine, I could point out the people around here who thought Smart was going to be an impact offensive player immediately.

Luckily, Google is helpful in these situations.   Google "Marcus Smart statistic projections", and you'll see several people who said that if Smart got the minutes (which he did after Rondo was traded), he had the capacity to be "the man" from day 1. 

One such article:  http://www.rotowire.com/blog/marcus-smart-2014-rookie-projection/

Not surprisingly, it brings up the Tyreke Evans thing I thought.

Quote
Evans and Smart are similar in size, build, and athleticism. Their statistical production in college was also very similar. According to Hickory High Similarity Scores, Evans was the second most similar player to Smart in their database.

It suggests Smart's best-case scenario would him averaging similar stats to Evans in year 1:  20.1 points, 5.8 assists, 5.3 rebounds, 1.5 steals, 46%/26%/75%

Worst-case scenario, it brings up Dion Waiters.  Waiters averaged 15 points, 3 assists, 2.4 rebounds and 1 steal on 41%/31%/75% shooting

This isn't a "LarBrdism"... 

It is a LarBrdism because Tyreke averaged 37 minutes a game for a Kings team that won 25 games and Waiters put up his numbers on a Cavs team that won 24 games.

Going deeper, Waiters as a rookie put up a PER of 13.7, an offensive rating of 99 pts per 100 possession and a defensive rating of 111 pts per 100 possessions.  Tyreke Evans as a rookie put up a PER of 18.2, an offensive rating of 107 pts per 100 possessions and a defensive rating of 110 pts per 100 possessions.

Marcus Smart as a rookie put up a PER of 11 with an offensive rating of 101 points per 100 possessions and a defensive rating of 104 pts per 100 possessions.  Certainly nothing to set the world on fire but a lot more comparable to Evans and Waiters than you're making out.

And I'm not telling you anything you don't already know.  You just choose to ignore it.

Mike

Lots of people here figured he would be Tyreke Evans.  Thread:  http://forums.celticsblog.com/index.php?topic=73449.0

SOmeone suggests that he could be a lesser Iman Shumpert... to which Roy HObbs responds, "I'll be pretty disappointed if he ends up a lesser Iman Shumpert"

Shumpert rookie stats:  9.5 points, 2.8 assists, 3.2 rebounds, 1.7 steals, 40%/31%/80% in 28.9mpg

Smart's rookie stats:   7.8 points, 3.1 assists, 3.3 rebounds, 1.5 steals, 36%/33%/64% in 27mpg

So why am I defending myself for saying I was disappointed in Smart's rookie campaign?   I'm just playin by the rules ya'll set.

I like Smart.   His rookie campaign was underwhelming.   If it takes moving him to get an impact star or a player with legit franchise potential, do it.  You don't pass up a potential star big man, because of potentially the next Iman Shumpert.

Offline Vermont Green

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The draft reports on Smart that I read compared him to Harden, and Tyreke,

James Harden Rookie Season:

9.9 Pts, 1.8 Assts, 1.4 TO, 37.5 3% in 76 games (22.9 min/g)

Smart Rookie Season:

7.8 Pts, 3.1 Assts, 1.3 TO, 33.5 3% in 67 games (27.0 min/g)

I am not a big stats guy, I go by what I see on the court but you do have to look at stats too.  Harden had better rookie stats but not by all that much.  Smart is a good player, I would be dumbfound if they traded him for #11 but much less so if we got #3 or Noel.  I am not disappointed by his rookie season.  He was hurt and played on a team that was less than settled shall we say.

Offline Ilikesports17

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I would be upset if we traded Smart for anything less than the 4th or 3rd pick in this draft. I would be upset if we dealt him for anyone less than Boogie. I think Ainge values Smart in the same way. He will move him for the right price, and that price is high.

In order, the top assets for the celtics:

Smart
Young
IT
Sully
I have it in tiers

1(only for a stud/guy with superstar potential):
Smart
2(need to get real value back for these but it would take a package of them to get a star):
Brk '16
IT4
AB
3(still valuable but worth mid first or decent player (Taj Gibson type)):
Young
Sully
KO
16
Zeller
other Brooklyn 1s
4(Have positive value but no substantial trade will be built around them):
other picks (28, Mavs 1, Philly 2s)
ET

Offline BudweiserCeltic

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Boston desperately need a franchise prospect ... That's not smart. I like smart though

So we should just hurriedly deal guys who aren't going to be franchise guys but could very well make an All-Star team for a guy that might have the potential to be a franchise guy?

Edit: ... but probably won't ever be, like Smart?
I had smart 8th on my board last year and he ended up worse than I thought he'd be. I like him a lot, but I give him up if we can get a franchise prospect.



You're the only one in the world who thinks any of that. And tell me this, if you had him 8th on your board (ha!) and he ended up 6th in All-Rookie voting, how in the hell did he end worse than you thought he'd be? Ridiculousness.
Heh... If you wouldn't trade smart for embiid or Jabari Parker right now, you're cray.  So spare me his "6th in rookie voting" thing.  I had him 8th on my board.  I sAw him as an NBA ready guy who would average 15, 5 and 5 out of the gate, be a top 4 rookie, but long term others would surpass him.  I was disappointed with his rookie campaign.  Great defensive player though.  I'd move him for someone with star potential.

You're so wrong, it's funny. Yes, he finished 6th in voting. Yes, Embiid and Parker were injured. However, Mirotic and Noel, two players that were not part of the 2014 draft, finished ahead of him!

TP. I've given up. He's never really given me a legit answer.

It's all good Larry Legend. You can like some Celtics now and again.
I like Smart.  I hope we keep him.  I think it's safe to say he'll develop into a Tony Allen type at worse.  Maybe he'll be better.  But if you're asking me if I'd move Tony Allen for the next Steph Curry or LaMarcus Aldridge, my answer is a resounding yes.

And what if you picked up the next Jonny Flynn or Tyrus Thomas?

Not all that keen on moving Smart for a guy his age unless we were to package him with a James Young or Kelly Olynyk for a stud like Jabari.

Look, I get that people here disagree with me, because Smart's our boy.  But he averaged 7 points on 36% shooting and all the pre-draft hype was that the kid was one of the 3 most "NBA ready prospects" in the draft.   All the stat projections I read about Smart suggested he'd be able to average at least 15 points on a depleated roster like Boston.   He lacks explosiveness and speed.  He's not a good shooter.  He's not great with the ball.  He's not much of a distributor.   For a guy who most expected to be a NBA-ready leader, he proved to be an excepitonal defender, a mediocre 3-point shooter... and not much else.   Who knows what he'll develop into, but it's not very encouraging.  And with Thomas on board, it might make sense to move Smart if you're getting a better prospect... preferably a shooting guard with size who can shoot (I'd trade Smart for Russell) or, obviously... an elite big man prospect.

There were guys in the draft last year that were far more raw, but with potentially a higher ceiling (Gordon, Exum, Vonleh).   All I've read about the Celtics was that they tried very hard to trade up to get Embiid... And that Smart vs Randle was a debate they agonized over.  They saw Randle as having more skill.  They liked Smart's attitude in spite of his lack of skill.  They took Smart, because they thought he'd put in a lot of work and because he's a tough guy.   He could get a lot better over time.  But to say I wasn't disappointed in his lack of ability as a supposedly "NBA-Ready" player would be lying.   He was exceptional on one end of the court and the other end was concerning. 

Where the heck are you getting those projections from. O.o

15 points a game? Depleted (we were always deep at the guard rotations)

His NBA readiness had all to do with defense, nothing to do with offense... which he delivered on.

So, I think you might just have had a tad bit of the unrealistic expectations dosage.

I love that people around here like to pretend like I pull my "LarBrdisms" out of my butt.  Like I just fabricate it for drama.   If only I had a time machine, I could point out the people around here who thought Smart was going to be an impact offensive player immediately.

Luckily, Google is helpful in these situations.   Google "Marcus Smart statistic projections", and you'll see several people who said that if Smart got the minutes (which he did after Rondo was traded), he had the capacity to be "the man" from day 1. 

One such article:  http://www.rotowire.com/blog/marcus-smart-2014-rookie-projection/

Not surprisingly, it brings up the Tyreke Evans thing I thought.

Quote
Evans and Smart are similar in size, build, and athleticism. Their statistical production in college was also very similar. According to Hickory High Similarity Scores, Evans was the second most similar player to Smart in their database.

It suggests Smart's best-case scenario would him averaging similar stats to Evans in year 1:  20.1 points, 5.8 assists, 5.3 rebounds, 1.5 steals, 46%/26%/75%

Worst-case scenario, it brings up Dion Waiters.  Waiters averaged 15 points, 3 assists, 2.4 rebounds and 1 steal on 41%/31%/75% shooting

This isn't a "LarBrdism"...  Plenty of people around the league and most media projected Smart to be one of the most NBA-Ready players in the draft.  In-fact on Draft night, they flat out said he measured as THE most NBA ready guy... period.  It was believed his ceiling was lower than a lot of the other prospects, but you'd be getting a solid player from day 1.

His rookie stats:  27mpg, 7.8 points, 3.1 assists, 3.3 rebounds, 1.5 steals on 36%/33%/64% shooting

I, for one, was disappointed.  If I told you a year ago that all of our tanking efforts would net us a guy who put up 27mpg, 7.8 points, 3.1 assists, 3.3 rebounds, 1.5 steals on 36%/33%/64% shooting... You'd be like, "hard pass".    But he plays in Boston now... and so everyone acts like he's some golden nugget of a prospect.  He isn't.   His lack of explosiveness, ball handling and distribution ability was exposed in year 1.  The concerns about him (using his size to bully smaller COllege players) was proven legitimate.   He still might develop into something, but his rookie season was underwhelming.   His "worst-case scenario", Dion Waiters, was arguably better as a rookie.  I'd move Smart in the right deal.  I prefer keeping him.  He's an elite-level defensive player and at worst, he's probably going to be comparable to Tony Allen.

Glad you could find some website where you could sustain yourself on, they used some terrible premises to base their opinion/projections on, but good to know you have a landing spot.

I don't think a single person around here (and I know that this statement is going to bite me in the ass) projected him to be that type player in his first season, in fact the biggest weakness that was projected from him was his offense and shooting around here. So sure, let's have him being compared to players that were seen as having an awesome offensive rookie season or were seen as offensive players coming in. Sure makes sense.

The only thing that was really wrong with Smart with season on the offensive end, and a real disappointment, was how little he drove the ball. But meh, that''s not something to really cry about after just one season, particularly when he began to improve on that regard as the season ended.

And hey, let's ignore his 48% from the floor in the Playoffs to accompany his terrific defense while we're at it.

Offline Evantime34

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Boston desperately need a franchise prospect ... That's not smart. I like smart though

So we should just hurriedly deal guys who aren't going to be franchise guys but could very well make an All-Star team for a guy that might have the potential to be a franchise guy?

Edit: ... but probably won't ever be, like Smart?
I had smart 8th on my board last year and he ended up worse than I thought he'd be. I like him a lot, but I give him up if we can get a franchise prospect.



You're the only one in the world who thinks any of that. And tell me this, if you had him 8th on your board (ha!) and he ended up 6th in All-Rookie voting, how in the hell did he end worse than you thought he'd be? Ridiculousness.
Heh... If you wouldn't trade smart for embiid or Jabari Parker right now, you're cray.  So spare me his "6th in rookie voting" thing.  I had him 8th on my board.  I sAw him as an NBA ready guy who would average 15, 5 and 5 out of the gate, be a top 4 rookie, but long term others would surpass him.  I was disappointed with his rookie campaign.  Great defensive player though.  I'd move him for someone with star potential.

You're so wrong, it's funny. Yes, he finished 6th in voting. Yes, Embiid and Parker were injured. However, Mirotic and Noel, two players that were not part of the 2014 draft, finished ahead of him!

TP. I've given up. He's never really given me a legit answer.

It's all good Larry Legend. You can like some Celtics now and again.
I like Smart.  I hope we keep him.  I think it's safe to say he'll develop into a Tony Allen type at worse.  Maybe he'll be better.  But if you're asking me if I'd move Tony Allen for the next Steph Curry or LaMarcus Aldridge, my answer is a resounding yes.

And what if you picked up the next Jonny Flynn or Tyrus Thomas?

Not all that keen on moving Smart for a guy his age unless we were to package him with a James Young or Kelly Olynyk for a stud like Jabari.

Look, I get that people here disagree with me, because Smart's our boy.  But he averaged 7 points on 36% shooting and all the pre-draft hype was that the kid was one of the 3 most "NBA ready prospects" in the draft.   All the stat projections I read about Smart suggested he'd be able to average at least 15 points on a depleated roster like Boston.   He lacks explosiveness and speed.  He's not a good shooter.  He's not great with the ball.  He's not much of a distributor.   For a guy who most expected to be a NBA-ready leader, he proved to be an excepitonal defender, a mediocre 3-point shooter... and not much else.   Who knows what he'll develop into, but it's not very encouraging.  And with Thomas on board, it might make sense to move Smart if you're getting a better prospect... preferably a shooting guard with size who can shoot (I'd trade Smart for Russell) or, obviously... an elite big man prospect.

There were guys in the draft last year that were far more raw, but with potentially a higher ceiling (Gordon, Exum, Vonleh).   All I've read about the Celtics was that they tried very hard to trade up to get Embiid... And that Smart vs Randle was a debate they agonized over.  They saw Randle as having more skill.  They liked Smart's attitude in spite of his lack of skill.  They took Smart, because they thought he'd put in a lot of work and because he's a tough guy.   He could get a lot better over time.  But to say I wasn't disappointed in his lack of ability as a supposedly "NBA-Ready" player would be lying.   He was exceptional on one end of the court and the other end was concerning. 

Where the heck are you getting those projections from. O.o

15 points a game? Depleted (we were always deep at the guard rotations)

His NBA readiness had all to do with defense, nothing to do with offense... which he delivered on.

So, I think you might just have had a tad bit of the unrealistic expectations dosage.

I love that people around here like to pretend like I pull my "LarBrdisms" out of my butt.  Like I just fabricate it for drama.   If only I had a time machine, I could point out the people around here who thought Smart was going to be an impact offensive player immediately.

Luckily, Google is helpful in these situations.   Google "Marcus Smart statistic projections", and you'll see several people who said that if Smart got the minutes (which he did after Rondo was traded), he had the capacity to be "the man" from day 1. 

One such article:  http://www.rotowire.com/blog/marcus-smart-2014-rookie-projection/

Not surprisingly, it brings up the Tyreke Evans thing I thought.

Quote
Evans and Smart are similar in size, build, and athleticism. Their statistical production in college was also very similar. According to Hickory High Similarity Scores, Evans was the second most similar player to Smart in their database.

It suggests Smart's best-case scenario would him averaging similar stats to Evans in year 1:  20.1 points, 5.8 assists, 5.3 rebounds, 1.5 steals, 46%/26%/75%

Worst-case scenario, it brings up Dion Waiters.  Waiters averaged 15 points, 3 assists, 2.4 rebounds and 1 steal on 41%/31%/75% shooting

This isn't a "LarBrdism"... 

It is a LarBrdism because Tyreke averaged 37 minutes a game for a Kings team that won 25 games and Waiters put up his numbers on a Cavs team that won 24 games.

Going deeper, Waiters as a rookie put up a PER of 13.7, an offensive rating of 99 pts per 100 possession and a defensive rating of 111 pts per 100 possessions.  Tyreke Evans as a rookie put up a PER of 18.2, an offensive rating of 107 pts per 100 possessions and a defensive rating of 110 pts per 100 possessions.

Marcus Smart as a rookie put up a PER of 11 with an offensive rating of 101 points per 100 possessions and a defensive rating of 104 pts per 100 possessions.  Certainly nothing to set the world on fire but a lot more comparable to Evans and Waiters than you're making out.

And I'm not telling you anything you don't already know.  You just choose to ignore it.

Mike
Where are you getting your numbers from. Marcus Smart had an offensive rating of 103.7 and a defensive rating of 101.3. The highest net rating of any starter on the C's mind you. He was a starter on a playoff team, maybe his individual numbers are pedestrian but the advanced numbers showed he was one of the best players on our team as a 20 year old rookie.

People are allowed to underwhelmed and I'm fine with that, no one is a finished product as a pg. Personally I saw flashes of things that can make him elite, which as me very high on his future. He showed elite defense, clutch shooting, and good shooting for stretches.

The long term question becomes will he be able to improve on what he didn't do in his rookie year (dribbling, getting to the bucket, drawing fouls). The answer to that question colors your long term impression of him.
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Offline Gomesfan

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RealGM.com is saying the Celtics are trying to get the #3 pick and Nerlens Noel from the 76ers for Marcus Smart and two first rounders!
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Offline Scintan

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I hope Ainge has a more realistic take on Smart's value than the posters in this thread.


When people are free to do as they please, they usually imitate each other.

Offline truthhurts34

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Boston desperately need a franchise prospect ... That's not smart. I like smart though

So we should just hurriedly deal guys who aren't going to be franchise guys but could very well make an All-Star team for a guy that might have the potential to be a franchise guy?

Edit: ... but probably won't ever be, like Smart?
I had smart 8th on my board last year and he ended up worse than I thought he'd be. I like him a lot, but I give him up if we can get a franchise prospect.



You're the only one in the world who thinks any of that. And tell me this, if you had him 8th on your board (ha!) and he ended up 6th in All-Rookie voting, how in the hell did he end worse than you thought he'd be? Ridiculousness.
Heh... If you wouldn't trade smart for embiid or Jabari Parker right now, you're cray.  So spare me his "6th in rookie voting" thing.  I had him 8th on my board.  I sAw him as an NBA ready guy who would average 15, 5 and 5 out of the gate, be a top 4 rookie, but long term others would surpass him.  I was disappointed with his rookie campaign.  Great defensive player though.  I'd move him for someone with star potential.

You're so wrong, it's funny. Yes, he finished 6th in voting. Yes, Embiid and Parker were injured. However, Mirotic and Noel, two players that were not part of the 2014 draft, finished ahead of him!

TP. I've given up. He's never really given me a legit answer.

It's all good Larry Legend. You can like some Celtics now and again.
I like Smart.  I hope we keep him.  I think it's safe to say he'll develop into a Tony Allen type at worse.  Maybe he'll be better.  But if you're asking me if I'd move Tony Allen for the next Steph Curry or LaMarcus Aldridge, my answer is a resounding yes.

And what if you picked up the next Jonny Flynn or Tyrus Thomas?

Not all that keen on moving Smart for a guy his age unless we were to package him with a James Young or Kelly Olynyk for a stud like Jabari.

Look, I get that people here disagree with me, because Smart's our boy.  But he averaged 7 points on 36% shooting and all the pre-draft hype was that the kid was one of the 3 most "NBA ready prospects" in the draft.   All the stat projections I read about Smart suggested he'd be able to average at least 15 points on a depleated roster like Boston.   He lacks explosiveness and speed.  He's not a good shooter.  He's not great with the ball.  He's not much of a distributor.   For a guy who most expected to be a NBA-ready leader, he proved to be an excepitonal defender, a mediocre 3-point shooter... and not much else.   Who knows what he'll develop into, but it's not very encouraging.  And with Thomas on board, it might make sense to move Smart if you're getting a better prospect... preferably a shooting guard with size who can shoot (I'd trade Smart for Russell) or, obviously... an elite big man prospect.

There were guys in the draft last year that were far more raw, but with potentially a higher ceiling (Gordon, Exum, Vonleh).   All I've read about the Celtics was that they tried very hard to trade up to get Embiid... And that Smart vs Randle was a debate they agonized over.  They saw Randle as having more skill.  They liked Smart's attitude in spite of his lack of skill.  They took Smart, because they thought he'd put in a lot of work and because he's a tough guy.   He could get a lot better over time.  But to say I wasn't disappointed in his lack of ability as a supposedly "NBA-Ready" player would be lying.   He was exceptional on one end of the court and the other end was concerning. 

Where the heck are you getting those projections from. O.o

15 points a game? Depleted (we were always deep at the guard rotations)

His NBA readiness had all to do with defense, nothing to do with offense... which he delivered on.

So, I think you might just have had a tad bit of the unrealistic expectations dosage.

I love that people around here like to pretend like I pull my "LarBrdisms" out of my butt.  Like I just fabricate it for drama.   If only I had a time machine, I could point out the people around here who thought Smart was going to be an impact offensive player immediately.

Luckily, Google is helpful in these situations.   Google "Marcus Smart statistic projections", and you'll see several people who said that if Smart got the minutes (which he did after Rondo was traded), he had the capacity to be "the man" from day 1. 

One such article:  http://www.rotowire.com/blog/marcus-smart-2014-rookie-projection/

Not surprisingly, it brings up the Tyreke Evans thing I thought.

Quote
Evans and Smart are similar in size, build, and athleticism. Their statistical production in college was also very similar. According to Hickory High Similarity Scores, Evans was the second most similar player to Smart in their database.

It suggests Smart's best-case scenario would him averaging similar stats to Evans in year 1:  20.1 points, 5.8 assists, 5.3 rebounds, 1.5 steals, 46%/26%/75%

Worst-case scenario, it brings up Dion Waiters.  Waiters averaged 15 points, 3 assists, 2.4 rebounds and 1 steal on 41%/31%/75% shooting

This isn't a "LarBrdism"... 

It is a LarBrdism because Tyreke averaged 37 minutes a game for a Kings team that won 25 games and Waiters put up his numbers on a Cavs team that won 24 games.

Going deeper, Waiters as a rookie put up a PER of 13.7, an offensive rating of 99 pts per 100 possession and a defensive rating of 111 pts per 100 possessions.  Tyreke Evans as a rookie put up a PER of 18.2, an offensive rating of 107 pts per 100 possessions and a defensive rating of 110 pts per 100 possessions.

Marcus Smart as a rookie put up a PER of 11 with an offensive rating of 101 points per 100 possessions and a defensive rating of 104 pts per 100 possessions.  Certainly nothing to set the world on fire but a lot more comparable to Evans and Waiters than you're making out.

And I'm not telling you anything you don't already know.  You just choose to ignore it.

Mike

Lots of people here figured he would be Tyreke Evans.  Thread:  http://forums.celticsblog.com/index.php?topic=73449.0

SOmeone suggests that he could be a lesser Iman Shumpert... to which Roy HObbs responds, "I'll be pretty disappointed if he ends up a lesser Iman Shumpert"

Shumpert rookie stats:  9.5 points, 2.8 assists, 3.2 rebounds, 1.7 steals, 40%/31%/80% in 28.9mpg

Smart's rookie stats:   7.8 points, 3.1 assists, 3.3 rebounds, 1.5 steals, 36%/33%/64% in 27mpg

So why am I defending myself for saying I was disappointed in Smart's rookie campaign?   I'm just playin by the rules ya'll set.

I like Smart.   His rookie campaign was underwhelming.   If it takes moving him to get an impact star or a player with legit franchise potential, do it.  You don't pass up a potential star big man, because of potentially the next Iman Shumpert.

I've read a couple of your posts on this matter, it's apparent you are simply uneducated about smarts health situation.

About a month ago he was quoted saying that he could barely walk after games due to his ankle never having a chance to properly heal.

He also stated that he didn't want to say anything during the season because he didn't want to sound like he was making excuses.

Its a joke to even post stat projections when you take all of this into considerstion. That's why most of your assessments on the subject come off as noise.


Offline SparzWizard

  • Dennis Johnson
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RealGM.com is saying the Celtics are trying to get the #3 pick and Nerlens Noel from the 76ers for Marcus Smart and two first rounders!

Wasn't this a couple days ago where 76ers straight up said no and hung up the phone? Lol


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