Im all over the place in my mind about a potential Rockets - Celtics Rondo trade.
For me the lottery and how the playoffs play out will decide alot for me.
In terms of the playoffs ill be interested to see how dominate miami is. Rondo is 28 and Lebron is 29 their windows for dominance will stay open and close at about the same time. This is an issue for me because if the ultimate goal is to win the next championship I dont want to see this team beat itself against a wall to just rebuild again in 5 years. I feel like it taking the easy way out but ultimately building a team with championship aspirations in 4 years rather then 1-2 might be the safer bet.
The lottery will also sway my desition. If the Cs get lucky and land Parker a player who can contribute right away and be a primary scorer then Im all for keeping Rondo. But if the Cs end up at #5 then Smart is the likely choice. I really like Smart and think he will be an allstar but his skills are not a great match for Rondo. The Cs would likely have to trade the pick either down or out all together for Vet help around Rondo (#12 + Afflalo for #5?). Another option would be making the drafting of Smart step one in the post Rondo plan.
Step 1 draft Marcus Smart #5
Step 2 complete following trade with Rockets
Rockets: get Rondo and Green
Celtics: get Parson, Lin, Asik, #25 pick, and 2 2015 2rd pick
Step 3 Either draft BPA at #17 (Hood?) and #25 (draft and stash Capella or Tavares) or trade both picks to move up for Nurkic.
Step 4 resign AB (around 6.5mill), let bayless and humph walk as FA
Step 5 look to move Bogans to a team in need of cap space
2015 Celtics
PG Smart
SG AB
SF Parson
PF Sully
C Asik
6th Lin
7th KO
8th Bass
9th Wallace
10th Hood?
11th Pressey
12th Johnson
13th Fav
14th Anthony
This team wont blow anyone away but it does have a nice mix of guys and they should be a low level playoff team. I think the combo of young vets, solid role players and young talent will make for an exciting season. Then next off-season Lin, Asik, Bass and Anthony all come off the books. Figuring Pasons signs for about 10mill the next offseason would have the Cs salary at around 38.5 mill with Parson, Wallace, Smart, Sully, KO, AB (at 6.5), Fav, Pressey and Johnson all on the books. Leaving before cap hold and Rookie salaries roughly 24mill in free cap.
This plan lays a foundation of a future with Smart, Parson and Sully and starters and AB and KO as the 6th and 7th guys playing heavy min off the bench. If these guys can hit what I see as their ceilings for potential then we could have a nice championship core in 2-3 years. Smart could very well become a Westbrook/Rose type guard just stronger and less athletic then either. Sully if heathly and in shape should be a solid 18pt 9rb guy in the z randolph mold. Parsons I can see taking the next step to a 18-20 a game solid #2-3 scorer who defends the wing and fills the stat sheet. Parson, Sully and KO are all above average passers at their positions and could work perfectly with a scoring PG.