17 is too high for a one-trick pony.
These are my type of (general) expectations depending on draft range:
Top five = All-Star talent
Top ten = high risk reward players to above average starter
Top 15 = Solid starter to high level bench player (6th man potential)
15-40 = rotation quality players to high risk (out of league in 3-5 years risk) reward projects
40-60 = anyone who can make it as a 3rd stringer to raw athletic projects
If there is a project type player a GM is high on, I say take the risk at 17. Otherwise, I am fine with a GM taking someone they believe to be a quality rotation player at that point.
You would be surprised at how bad the draft has been in the 11-15 pick range over the past decade or so. Most players there are just rotation role players, followed by busts, followed by just a few legit starters.
The starters are:
2013 - Michael Carter-Williams, (maybe Giannis gets there, but i have doubts)
2012 -
2011 - Klay Thompson, Kawhi Leonard
2010 - Larry Sanders?
2009 -
2008 - Robin Lopez
2007 - Thadeus Young, Rodney Stuckey
2006 - Thabo Shefolosha
2005 -
2004 - Al Jefferson, (Biedrins flamed out)
2003 -
2002 -
2001 - Vladimir Radmanovic, Richard Jefferson
2000 -
i count 11 starters out of of 70 picks so far. This really puts the Olynyk pick in perspective. Not much comes out of the 11-15 range. Interestingly teams do a lot better in the 16-20 range. Perhaps there are too many home run swings at raw players in the late lottery.