The team that trades for CP3 now will be able to offer him an extra year and $20+ million more dollars than any other team (using Bird rights). That's why you trade for him now. Do you really think he's going to leave that kind of money sitting on the table? Especially when Boston will have the cap room for another high salary/max player?
And of course CP3 won't sign an extension. He wants a Bird rights max contract, not an extension.
You're ready to give a point guard with possible knee issues who's been in the league for 6 years and has won 1 playoff series in his career $20+ million a year? Yikes.
Uh. Yes. As is every team in the entire league, apart from maybe the team that has Deron Williams.
I would hope that the team who has a point guard who is right there with those guys (and has two good knees) signed for the next four seasons for about $11.5 million per year would pass on that deal.
Look around, Rajon Rondo's deal is about the best value for the money in the NBA right now. With the limitations of the new CBA, I don't know why in the world we would trade him in for a point guard with questionable knees who is either going to walk at the end of the year or cost $8.5 million more per season.
I'm sticking with our guy if I'm Danny Ainge.
the fact that Rondo's contract is a great bargain won't matter much if he's our best player in two years and we're fighting to win 40 games and make the playoffs.
in other words, having a premier talent to build around is more important than having the best bargain contracts.
So fighting to win 43-44 games with Paul at about $9M more is preferable?
Indeed, because you wouldnt need to put as much talent around cp3 to win 50 games.
Rondo is a very talented player, but he's not a premier player in the sense that he's not a player who can carry a team on a nightly basis. Thats not his game. He needs scorers he can set up.
Paul didn't even lead his team in scoring last year. Someone who finished 40th in the league in scoring isn't really a premier scorer. He scored less than Ray did, and I don't think people would say Ray carried the team in scoring on a nightly basis last year. Clearly you'd need to surround CP3 with a scorer or or two to get up to 50 wins.
Rondo won't carry a team with scoring on a nightly basis (although he's clearly capable of scoring more than he does) but his impact on an offense can be the same as players that score more points than he does.
Paul might not have led his team in scoring last year, but last year was his career low in points per game. He did average 22 a game in the playoffs though. Plus, you normally wouldnt expect your teams point guard to lead the team in scoring. CP3 is capable in leading his team in scoring every night, but like Rondo...he's a distributer whose impact goes beyond the scoring directly attributed to him. The thing is, that CP CAN carry his teams offense himself when necessary. If the team is rolling, he'll just distribute. When they need points, he can take over and create his own offense (and a lot of it).
If that's true then, judging by the fact that the Hornets barely made the playoffs you'd have to assume he does an abysmal job of recognizing when the team's rolling and when it isn't. The fact that he's 26 or so and hitting a career low in scoring while his assists also declined is the issue.
I understand that your focus is on CP3's regular season stats from last year, which admittedly were below par for him. I think it's open for debate whether or not CP3 had a better regular season than Rondo last year, or even if it was better, if it was THAT much better.
I think what a lot of us choose to focus on, however, is Paul's past brilliance. Many of us feel justified in doing so, I believe, because Paul was as good as he's ever been against the Lakers in the first round. I can understand if you're of the opinion that it could have been just a flash in the pan, and CP3 has permanently regressed, but I disagree.
That's why I'd be willing to take a chance on CP3. Even if it turned out that CP3 wasn't as spectacular this season as we all hoped, the good news is that we wouldn't be signing him long term until after the regular season and playoffs were over, so we could make a decision then based on 70+ games worth of recent evidence.
I would be happy with the choice we'd have then: try to enter a quasi-competitive, condensed rebuilding phase with CP3, or let him go and begin a total rebuild immediately. I'm of the opinion that that would be preferable to trying to rebuild with Rondo.