Regarding Ilyasova, and why I thought he'd do better this year than he has, and why where Nick has him is actually a good place:
1) He's young (23), and he seemed to make leaps and bounds in progress from his rookie campaign to his sophomore campaign. Since there was 1 season in between the two which he spent in Europe, it would make a lot of sense that he would further improve this year.
2) He hustles his turkish delights off. He's a stretch 4 that up until this season rebounded at a very good rate. He also is very good at getting steals, and his length+mobility make him a great addition when facing a team with a mobile stretch 4 of their own.
3) He was a career 35% 3pt shooter until this season, and those numbers usually go up. While he possessed absolutely no back to the basket game, he was able to finish and stretch the defense. One could anticipate his overall FG% going up and his 3pt% going up this season.
4) Very good at taking charges, which means he's not afraid of contact, and might lend a fearlessness on defense at the 4, that might compensate for some of his lack of bulk.
Reasons why I was wrong:
None of that happened.
I thought 13 points and 10 boards in 30 mpg was a realistic expectation for Ilyasova. In 25 mins he's getting 9.6 pts and 6 boards. A lot of that is due to his 28% 3pt %, which I cannot explain.
Since the beginning of the new year, he's averaging 12 pts, 7rbs, and 1.5 steals in 28 mins per contest as the anointed starter. He's shooting 50% from the field and 31% from 3, with 90% from the line. He's also committing 3.6 fouls in that time. He's also shooting less than 2 3's a contest.
Right now, he's a heck of a 6th man if you're going to play him over 25 mpg, which right now it looks like Nick will.