Author Topic: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Voting Analysis : Team of the Future  (Read 674372 times)

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Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1815 on: August 18, 2009, 02:12:19 PM »

Offline Hoyo de Monterrey

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no problem... I understand what you're looking for, but for example Patrick O'Bryant would be in for a play or two specifically to foul Dwight Howard because of his atrocious free throw shooting. Possibly the same with Malik Rose in very specific situations designed to get Howard on the line. Neither of them are important at all to what I'm trying to do long term, but Dwight on the line is my best defensive option. Certainly better then Ray.
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Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1816 on: August 18, 2009, 02:15:55 PM »

Offline johnnyrondo

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Thanks HDM

no problem... I understand what you're looking for, but for example Patrick O'Bryant would be in for a play or two specifically to foul Dwight Howard because of his atrocious free throw shooting. Possibly the same with Malik Rose in very specific situations designed to get Howard on the line. Neither of them are important at all to what I'm trying to do long term, but Dwight on the line is my best defensive option. Certainly better then Ray.

Yeah obviously my end of the bench will also get some playing time throughout the playoffs, but I didn't want to assume blowouts or what not, so my stars minutes will probably end up even lower overall at playoffs end.

Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1817 on: August 18, 2009, 02:25:29 PM »

Offline johnnyrondo

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If anyone is interested in taking over my Bulls team please let me know. You can have them for the rest of this session and the video game session and then the 6th month vote session.

Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1818 on: August 18, 2009, 02:34:00 PM »

Offline Kwhit10

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Andrew Bynum (34m @ C)
Emeka Okafor (21m @ PF) (14m @ C)
Carmelo Anthony (38m @ SF)
Ronnie Brewer (33m @ SG)
Baron Davis (37m @ PG)
Anthony Parker (12m @ SG)
Jannero Pargo (11m @ PG) (3m @ SG)
Renaldo Balkman (10m @ SF) (7m @ PF)
Joe Smith (10m @ PF)
Tim Thomas (10m @ PF)

I feel all these players can contribute.  If things don't work out Anthony Parker can take more minutes.  If need be, the great Will Solomon can take some minutes at PG and Pargo can play more at the 2.

This is very general, of course things can be changed.

Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1819 on: August 18, 2009, 02:34:34 PM »

Offline indeedproceed

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If anyone is interested in taking over my Bulls team please let me know. You can have them for the rest of this session and the video game session and then the 6th month vote session.

Please tell me the reason why is because you have to go to vietnam for the peace corps or something.

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Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1820 on: August 18, 2009, 02:39:46 PM »

Offline jgod213

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Well i must say that i am very dissapointed in that CB Nation decided a team relying so heavily on 3 rookie big men and a 210lb., 22-career-starts-under-his-belt center would ultimately have the stones in the playoffs to dismantle a team with one of, if not THE deepest groupings of talented big-men in the league.  It seems almost hypocritical since Riah's kings were left out of the playoffs for leaning so hard on a bunch of unproven rooks, yet Houston moves on to the second round.

Regardless, i had a great time over the past few weeks and hope i will be able to participate next year.  Good luck to the teams still alive in the post-season.
I think you are so focused on some of the younger bench talent that you forgot about these guys for Houston:

Chris Bosh
Joe Johnson
Monta Ellis
Anthony Randolph
Grant Hill
Andres Nocioni
D.J. Augustin

Say what you want but Bosh, Johnson, Hill, Ellis and Nocioni make this an extremely formidable team. You, much like Portland, latched your star onto aging stars who's games have been faltering recently. It is not inconceivable to see major, major drops in the games of Kidd, Marion, Carter and Terry and you have some major knuckleheads on the team in Harrington and Smith. I think people perceived that Bosh's and Johnson's and Hill's and Ellis steadiness and likability was better than the possible decline of some of your players games and the volatility of the brain matter of a couple of your players.

Portland on the other hand had a lot of their age and possible declining players in big people who's games don't drop off as fast and who's games were better than your aging players who were guards and wings.

All that said, Portland should kill Houston in the next round of voting.

I can't agree with some of that logic.

Who's to say that Kidd and Terry, who had two of their better years, are more likely to fall off a cliff than 37 year old, injury prone Grant Hill?  There's absoultely no grounds for that.  Further, Marion is 6 years younger then Hill, Carter is several years younger, and neither have an injury history.  Plus all four of these guys have proven, capable backups.  Even if Kidd AND Carter both somehow simultaneously lost their ability to play basketball, Brandon Jennings is a more highly touted prospect then either Blair or Andersen, who will be asked to do FAR more then Jennings regardless.

We rag on Smith and Harrington for beeing "Knuckleheads," but at least they've proven they can compete at an EXTREMELY high level in the NBA.  Randolph, Blair, and Andersen haven't even proven that they can play a full NBA season yet.  Who's to say that all 3 will be good to go and play big minutes come playoffs? it's more likely that 1 or 2 of them may even be in the D-leauge come post-season.

If Houston wins it's because Ellis and Johnson put up 60+ points/game combined.  It's possible, but i think we're a good enough team to keep that from happening 4 times in a series.
You seem to not have gotten the point that Houston has these two guys named Bosh and Johnson who are at the peak of their games and are both almost superduperstars, probably a step below.

Kidd on the other hand scored 9 points and had less than 9 assists a game, couldn't guard a stool never mind a chair that could move like a recliner and you call that one of his "better" years? Marion had a year of 13 and 8 and likewise he is really no longer able to guard small forwards. I have grass in my back yard taller than Jason Terry and you want him to guard the 6-7 Joe Johnson. Johnson will hit jumpers over him all day. It's like trying to have Eddie House guard Paul Pierce. The notion is ridiculous.

Name recognition on these guys(Kidd, Marion) says possible top 50-75 players ever and yet they are putting in mediocre years recently and those years are becoming worse and worse. People are recognizing this. Name recognition gets you only so far. Ask Atlanta about it as he was banking on Iverson and McGrady's names to carry him to the playoffs. There are some very smart basketball people at this site and they view this game as a game of stars. Your two biggest are aging and declining and putting in pedestrian years. Bosh and Johnson are younger and putting in superstar years.

Big huge gigantic difference there and the one that swayed my vote Houston's way.

Well i actually detialed a few of these points/counterpoints in my "Playoffs are here, hype your team" thread, if you chose not to read that before voting that's your prerogative -  despite what your post says i think most people tend to make their selections off name recognition anways, which is why Houston made the 2nd round.

There i detailed that Terry/Jennings would probably see more minutes guarding Ellis while Kidd played most of his time on Johnson.  Obviously, as i stated, Johnson and Ellis would get theirs, but that team is not deep enough to get much else.

I also understand that Chris Bosh is a borderline superstar, but you seem to be conveniently forgetting that i have David Lee on my roster - pretty important guy wouldn't you say?

Houston thinks so, Walker Wiggle even detailed  his concerns over the matchup when he wrote:

"Why we lose: Should the ball bounce the other way, it was probably because of Kidd's leadership and expert passing. Or because Lee battled Bosh to a standstill (in four match-ups last season Bosh's only notable advantage was his 6 blocked shots to Lee's 1).

So no, i'm not forgetting about Chris Bosh, you just seem to be forgetting David Lee, who nearly cancels Bosh out in a head to head matchup.  

looking at the numbers again, Kidd put up 11, 6 and 6 in the playoffs and shot 46% from 2 and 3. with 2 steals per game.  Take it for what it's worth, but i also detailed how Kidd had the 6th best +/- in the NBA last year.  Is he one of the better defensive PG in the game? no.  But i love how you write off players because they're old without looking at the numbers and then accuse me of trying to get by on name recognition, haha.

Let's move on to Shawn Marion, who apparently can't guard "any small forwards anymore."  Why is that, because he turned 30? then what is Grant Hill capable of guarding?  he should of retired 10 years ago by your logic.  I'm pretty positive that Shawn Marion is capable of guarding Grant Hill.

I know you're not a fan of my team, and i'm sure it relates to my opinion of yours, but let's be real, you're looking at Bosh/Johnson/Ellis and putting them in.  And that's fine, it just means you don't value depth and experience.  If you did you'd make note of the fact that (due to Lee battling Bosh evenly and Marions/Daniels ability to AT LEAST cacel out Hill/Noccioni) Houston would be heavily relying on Jonhson/Ellis to put up crazy points (as i already detailed).

Meanwhile, who is guarding Sam Dalembert when he's in the game? Anthony Randolph? are you kidding me?  I don't care how raw Dalembert's game still is, he would put up 15/15 in 15 minutes against Randolph.  Who's guarding Josh Smith or Al Harrington when Randolph is out? Dejuan Blair? HA.  I don't think either Smith or Harrington could ASK for a more favorable matchup.

What it comes down to is do you think 2 stars and a cast of rookies (remember, Bosh and Lee play eachother even) can take a team past an entire rotation of experienced, reliable veterans.  The answer is NO...but hey, name recognition goes a long way sometimes, right?

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Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1821 on: August 18, 2009, 02:40:39 PM »

Offline johnnyrondo

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If anyone is interested in taking over my Bulls team please let me know. You can have them for the rest of this session and the video game session and then the 6th month vote session.

Please tell me the reason why is because you have to go to vietnam for the peace corps or something.

Even if there was still the war going on it would be a safer place. I think Lucky, celticinorlando (gets a fair shake this time), or trucklewis would make a fine GM. I am willing to throw in those extra newspaper hats that IP was pushing.

Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1822 on: August 18, 2009, 02:42:09 PM »

Offline Rondo2287

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So any reason for the resignation?
CB Draft LA Lakers: Lamarcus Aldridge, Carmelo Anthony,Jrue Holiday, Wes Matthews  6.11, 7.16, 8.14, 8.15, 9.16, 11.5, 11.16

Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1823 on: August 18, 2009, 02:43:15 PM »

Offline ChampKind

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If anyone is interested in taking over my Bulls team please let me know. You can have them for the rest of this session and the video game session and then the 6th month vote session.

Please tell me the reason why is because you have to go to vietnam for the peace corps or something.

Even if there was still the war going on it would be a safer place. I think Lucky, celticinorlando (gets a fair shake this time), or trucklewis would make a fine GM. I am willing to throw in those extra newspaper hats that IP was pushing.

Yeah.  But the fun part of the game (drafting, trading) is over.  This part now is pretty much just arguing.  Not the most attractive scenario for a prospective gm.
CB Draft Bucks: Chris Paul, Dwight Howard, Tobias Harris, Zach LaVine, Aaron Afflalo, Jeff Green, Donatas Motiejunas, Jarrett Jack, Frank Kaminsky, Lance Stephenson, JaVale McGee, Shane Larkin, Nick Young

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Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1824 on: August 18, 2009, 02:44:35 PM »

Offline johnnyrondo

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If anyone is interested in taking over my Bulls team please let me know. You can have them for the rest of this session and the video game session and then the 6th month vote session.

Please tell me the reason why is because you have to go to vietnam for the peace corps or something.

Even if there was still the war going on it would be a safer place. I think Lucky, celticinorlando (gets a fair shake this time), or trucklewis would make a fine GM. I am willing to throw in those extra newspaper hats that IP was pushing.

Yeah.  But the fun part of the game (drafting, trading) is over.  This part now is pretty much just arguing.  Not the most attractive scenario for a prospective gm.

but I'm throwing in the newspaper hats!!!

Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1825 on: August 18, 2009, 02:48:21 PM »

Offline nickagneta

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Well i must say that i am very dissapointed in that CB Nation decided a team relying so heavily on 3 rookie big men and a 210lb., 22-career-starts-under-his-belt center would ultimately have the stones in the playoffs to dismantle a team with one of, if not THE deepest groupings of talented big-men in the league.  It seems almost hypocritical since Riah's kings were left out of the playoffs for leaning so hard on a bunch of unproven rooks, yet Houston moves on to the second round.

Regardless, i had a great time over the past few weeks and hope i will be able to participate next year.  Good luck to the teams still alive in the post-season.
I think you are so focused on some of the younger bench talent that you forgot about these guys for Houston:

Chris Bosh
Joe Johnson
Monta Ellis
Anthony Randolph
Grant Hill
Andres Nocioni
D.J. Augustin

Say what you want but Bosh, Johnson, Hill, Ellis and Nocioni make this an extremely formidable team. You, much like Portland, latched your star onto aging stars who's games have been faltering recently. It is not inconceivable to see major, major drops in the games of Kidd, Marion, Carter and Terry and you have some major knuckleheads on the team in Harrington and Smith. I think people perceived that Bosh's and Johnson's and Hill's and Ellis steadiness and likability was better than the possible decline of some of your players games and the volatility of the brain matter of a couple of your players.

Portland on the other hand had a lot of their age and possible declining players in big people who's games don't drop off as fast and who's games were better than your aging players who were guards and wings.

All that said, Portland should kill Houston in the next round of voting.

I can't agree with some of that logic.

Who's to say that Kidd and Terry, who had two of their better years, are more likely to fall off a cliff than 37 year old, injury prone Grant Hill?  There's absoultely no grounds for that.  Further, Marion is 6 years younger then Hill, Carter is several years younger, and neither have an injury history.  Plus all four of these guys have proven, capable backups.  Even if Kidd AND Carter both somehow simultaneously lost their ability to play basketball, Brandon Jennings is a more highly touted prospect then either Blair or Andersen, who will be asked to do FAR more then Jennings regardless.

We rag on Smith and Harrington for beeing "Knuckleheads," but at least they've proven they can compete at an EXTREMELY high level in the NBA.  Randolph, Blair, and Andersen haven't even proven that they can play a full NBA season yet.  Who's to say that all 3 will be good to go and play big minutes come playoffs? it's more likely that 1 or 2 of them may even be in the D-leauge come post-season.

If Houston wins it's because Ellis and Johnson put up 60+ points/game combined.  It's possible, but i think we're a good enough team to keep that from happening 4 times in a series.
You seem to not have gotten the point that Houston has these two guys named Bosh and Johnson who are at the peak of their games and are both almost superduperstars, probably a step below.

Kidd on the other hand scored 9 points and had less than 9 assists a game, couldn't guard a stool never mind a chair that could move like a recliner and you call that one of his "better" years? Marion had a year of 13 and 8 and likewise he is really no longer able to guard small forwards. I have grass in my back yard taller than Jason Terry and you want him to guard the 6-7 Joe Johnson. Johnson will hit jumpers over him all day. It's like trying to have Eddie House guard Paul Pierce. The notion is ridiculous.

Name recognition on these guys(Kidd, Marion) says possible top 50-75 players ever and yet they are putting in mediocre years recently and those years are becoming worse and worse. People are recognizing this. Name recognition gets you only so far. Ask Atlanta about it as he was banking on Iverson and McGrady's names to carry him to the playoffs. There are some very smart basketball people at this site and they view this game as a game of stars. Your two biggest are aging and declining and putting in pedestrian years. Bosh and Johnson are younger and putting in superstar years.

Big huge gigantic difference there and the one that swayed my vote Houston's way.
I have to agree with J-god. If my team who is relying on the same amount of rookies finishs 12th then I dont see how Houston moves on into the second round. You can mention DJ Augustine as a proven player he was hurt last year and is only in his second year. If Jason Thompson can be concerned good then I dont think dj agustine should be considered good either. I think the fact that he doesnt really have a quality center and yeas I'm aware david anderson is startind down in Houston now but that still doesnt me he is a proven center a lot like thabeet. Not trying to cause trouble just giving my opinion.
The problem here is not in the quality or number of young guys it's the quality of the experienced guys.

Sacramento's top 3

Blake/Roy/Turkoglu

Dallas' top 3


Kidd/Terry/Marion

Houston's top 3

Johnson/Bosh/Hill(or Ellis)


- Simply put Houston's three are just much better than Dallas' or Sacramento's.

- Neither Dallas nor Sacramento have a star big man. Say what you want about Bosh's ability to play center, but the numbers point to the fact that, like KG in his younger years, he can do it quite well.

- Houston has two team dominating, game dominating superstars, in their prime on their team. Sacramento, one. Dallas, none. Sorry riah, Hedo is an excellent third banana but don't believe the Hedo hype from this year. He's not a superstar or even a star. He's a very good player with lots of warts.


The secondary players in the nine man rotation for Dallas are just way better than Sacramento's and slightly better than Houston's but not enough to overcome what I feel is a huge gap in talent in their top 3 players.

Here are the remainder of the 9 man rotations as I would see them:

Dallas - Smith, Dalambert, Lee, Harrington, Daniels, Carter
Houston - Ellis(or Hill), Nocioni, Randolph, Augustin, Powe, Anderson
Sacramento - Thompson, Smith, Mason, Thabeet, Flynn, Young

Dallas has no rookies and one 2nd year player in their 9 man rotation.
Houston has one rookie(Anderson who is a 7 year/ 29 year old overseas pro who like Scola/Calderon will probably produce right away) and two 2nd year players.
Sacramento has one second year player and three straight from college rookies.

I think looking at the difference in the talent at the top of the rotations and then how the rest of the 9 man rotations decide this. In the regular season Sacramento just is too young and inexperienced to overcome the grind of the 82 game season. There are enough vets on Dallas and Houston to persevere for the season and when they have to meet in the playoffs the talent at the top, the decent depth and return of a playoff champion like Powe catapults them past Dallas in a one on one series.

Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1826 on: August 18, 2009, 02:54:48 PM »

Offline jgod213

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OK Nick.  I like that explanation much better...


One thing i will say is you're forgetting DeJuan Blair in Houston's rotaion, who would be expected to back up Bosh at the 4.  Also, i'll give you that Randolph and Andersen will "probably" produce, but relying on 3 unproven guys to all step up and give you quality minutes is dicey.  I think there's a better chance that one or two of those 3 don't live up to the hype as opposed to all 3 filling the big man rotation without a hiccup.

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Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1827 on: August 18, 2009, 02:59:23 PM »

Offline johnnyrondo

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Someone, please take my wife team. Please take my wife team.

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Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1828 on: August 18, 2009, 03:01:25 PM »

Offline Rondo2287

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Are we gonna get an explanation???
CB Draft LA Lakers: Lamarcus Aldridge, Carmelo Anthony,Jrue Holiday, Wes Matthews  6.11, 7.16, 8.14, 8.15, 9.16, 11.5, 11.16

Re: 2009 Celticsblog Draft: Playoff Voting Analysis Thread
« Reply #1829 on: August 18, 2009, 03:01:43 PM »

Offline Hoyo de Monterrey

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ATTENTION GMS OF: New York, Chicago, Detroit, Indiana, Miami/Cuba, Charlotte, Denver, Utah, Houston, San Antonio, Golden State, AND Las Vegas!!!

THAT WOULD BE LEAHY, JOHNNYRONDO, CELTICS FAN FOREVER, STARTORIEN, CELTSRP33, TRADETIME, WDLEEHI, SCRIBBLES, THE WALKER WIGGLE, BIGALTHEFUTURE, EVANTIME34, AND CROWNSY!!!

PUT YOUR ROSTERS IN THE CB SIMULATED SEASON PLANS THREAD PLEASE, ALONG WITH THE REAL NBA TEAMS YOUR PLAYERS ARE ON! THIS WILL HELP IN THE SIMLUATION! SEE THE EXAMPLES IN THE CB SIMULATED SEASON PLANS THREAD!

THANK YOU.
"Let me call him," Floyd said.

The man shook his head. "O.J. doesn't give out his cell," he said. "He'll call you."