How in the world did "Pacers interested in Hayward" get to a discussion on Embiid?
Not why I opened this post!
Natural tangent regarding the value of Turner, I think.
Thanks Roy, that helps a little.
To get back, Hayward's overpriced contract for Oladipo & Turner seems like a dream to me. Pacers would have to be in love with the Indiana connection.
I think in reality it comes down to Turner for Hayward, because Oladipo would walk after this coming season unless you want to give him a long term max deal. If the Celtics can get Hayward to opt out and re-sign long term for a bit less money, would you still want to trade him for Turner and a one season rental of a still recovering Oladipo? I think you also have to take into account the development of Robert Williams and how this would impact him, escpecially since Williams is on a rookie deal thus is much much cheaper than Turner.
Why not re-sign Oladipo if he’s proven himself? If he contributes to a title when, awesome. If he doesn’t fit, trade him.
Like I said, he’s a Jimmy Butler level player that is available on the cheap. It’s somewhat similar to the Kawhi Leonard situation, where a pending free agents coming off a quad injury was available for way below market value.
Cause we wouldn't afford to re-sign him.
Let's assume that
- The cap plateaus at $109,140,000 for 2 seasons, due to the impending recession.
- We trade Hayward + Romeo + our 3 firsts for Oladipo + Turner (this is the trade proposed on page 1).
- Tatum and Oladipo re-sign with the C's in 2021 for the 30% max.
- Next year's pick ends up at #26 (just like this year).
- We let Theis walk in 2021.
- We somehow dump Edwards (let's say by using the Nets second rounder).
- We fill the remaining roster spots with rookie minimum contracts (best case scenario regarding the tax situation).
payroll for 2021/22:
1. Kemba $36,016,200
2. Oladipo $32,742,000 (=30% of the cap)
3. Tatum $32,742,000 (=30% of the cap)
4. Brown $25,794,643
5. Turner $18,000,000
6. Smart $13,839,285
7. R. Williams $3,661,976
8. G. Williams $2,617,800
9. Celtics 2021 pick $2,331,600
10. rookie minimum $1,028,851
11. rookie minimum $1,028,851
12. rookie minimum $1,028,851
13. rookie minimum $1,028,851
14. rookie minimum $1,028,851
15. rookie minimum $1,028,851
dead cap
Yabu $1,039,080
Jackson $92,857
total: $175,050,547
Luxury Tax Threshold: $132,627,000
The Celtics would be $42,423,547 over the tax line!
For a non-repeater, the tax breaks down like this:
150% for amounts up to $5 million over the threshold
175% from $5-10 million.
250% from $10-15 million.
325% from $15-20 million.
375% from $20-25 million.
425% from $25-30 million.
475% from $30-35 million.
525% from $35-40 million.
575% from $40-45 million.
and so on
$7,500,000 + $8,750,000 + $12,500,000 + $16,250,000 + $18,750,000 + $21,250,000 + $23,750,000 + $26,250,000 + 13,935,395.25 = $148,935,395.25 in luxury tax!
Fwiw, the biggest amount ever paid in luxury tax is $61.6 million (by the Thunder in 2018/19).
tl;dr
The Celtics would have to pay ~$149 million in luxury tax!