I wonder how much of our struggles is due to the league having figured out Stevens system and game planning for us, compared to last year
I think some of this is true, but on the other hand we lead the league in open shots. We just don't make them.
Could Brown's shooting last year have been a fluke?
It's certainly looking like it.
Full season is good sample size. Better than 18 games. Let’s hope it improves. Someone else pointed out that he shoots much better from the corner so maybe they will make that adjustment. My bigger concern with Jaylen is his continual struggles at the foul line and his inability to finish inside. Both seem mental more than physical.
He shot 29% from 3 in college. 34% his rookie year. It is possible last season was an outlier.
I assume Jaylen will turn it around and start making shots. He's been bottom of the league bad so far. Just absolutely horrendous. You have to recognize that the guy is still a very limited player. Go watch his highlights during the playoffs - it's almost all fast-break dunks and open shots. That's what he is... he's quick and explosive. He can be effective in a fast break. He's also left open frequently and last year he made people pay. He can't really create his own offense, and he isn't a great finisher, but last season he was shooting far better from 3-point range than any dreadful free throw shooter should be able to shoot.
I popped in here in June to comment on the ridiculous "Why trade for Kawhi Leonard when we already have him" thread. I got a lot of heat for saying Jaylen's ceiling is realistically still just a fringe star. Plenty of players capped out as 20 point scorers who couldn't make an all-star team. The Corey Maggette's of the world. The Jason Richardson's of the world. Guys like Wally Szczrbiack (who actually made an all-star team once so maybe that's the ideal scenario for Jaylen). There's a tiny chance he exceeds
reasonable expectations and develops into a Jimmy Butler type, but more likely than not his best case scenario is a fringe star. Someone like Rudy Gay.
It's been absolutely dumbfounding to me how many Celtic fans failed to see that Jayson Tatum was by far a better player and prospect than Jaylen Brown. Just absolutely mind-boggling that up until recently there were actually many Celtic fans that thought Brown was better and had a higher ceiling. He doesn't. It's not close. Tatum has superstar potential. Brown projects as a fringe star at best.
In that same thread, when being told that Jaylen's "floor" was someone like Corey Maggette (which is absolutely absurd - Maggette peaked out as a 22 point scorer. Jaylen might never sniff that), I responded with:
his floor is 12-15 point scorer with a limited offensive game, solid defense, and poor free throw shooting.
Based on his performance thus far, I may have actually been optimistic. At present, Jaylen is pretty comparable to Justice Winslow (also 22 years old and a defensive role player). Yes, the shooting may have been a fluke. Hopefully he proves everyone wrong.