All of these thought experiments/debates will looks pretty stupid if Brooklyn goes on a run... Which I remain completely convinced they are capable of doing. Glad they started the season 1-7, but a slow start isn't a guaranteed top 5 pick.
I don't see us getting cousins. We don't have the assets.
We definitely have the assets necessary to get him. It's more a matter of whether we are willing to give them up, and more importantly whether Sacto likes our assets. But in regards to value and being unbiased, I feel we definitely have the assets.
If we had the assets to get him, cousins would be a Celtic right now. Everything about this team is built around the objective of getting a guy like cousins. Everyone is keenly aware we need a star. Brad knows it. Ainge knows it. Reporters know it. The owners are pushing for it.
Even assuming out draft pick was a guarantee top 3, I'm not sure the pick + Lee + Smart + additional picks will be enough. Other teams could outbid us with real tangible talent. Didn't the Kings give away all their picks to philly? You never know what other teams could offer. Example out of my butt, what if Houston offered a package built around Dwight Howard and youth ? Everyone always assumes teams like the Kings would want a pu-pu platter of assets, but maybe they'd rather have guys who can help them stay relevant. Maybe the cavs offer Kevin love and slot cousins next to Thompson... Or perhaps the Cavs offer Thompson and slot cousins next to love. You have the factor in all the possibilities.
And this is all built on the idea that our golden asset, the Brooklyn pick, will remain golden. It's been 8 games of an 82 game season and last I checked, Brooklyn wok their most recent game. For all we know, they will be .500 a month from now. They have the talent to win games.
Still spouting nonsense about the Nets, I see.
edit: At first I used to enjoy your "objective" posts. I was with you the first year of post-PP/KG advocating a tank job. I was with you on Rondo. As you've veered towards pessimism, away from realism, they've just become obnoxious.
a couple examples in the post quoted above.
Pessimistic: "Brooklyn might be .500 in a month." Sure, if you look at the data of teams that have started as bad as them in the past, maybe you could find one or two that bounced all the way back to .500. The majority, however, have been really, really bad. So using the word "might" drastically mischaracterizes the chances that this will become true. It's just propaganda. You also, for reasons I can't figure out, refuse to acknowledge that this team has a chance at being historically bad if Brook Lopez goes down. I would think an objective person would see Lopez leave with soreness in a foot that has already had surgery on it and conclude that he's not likely to play the whole season. Even if he doesn't have a season-ending injury, there will be stretches of the season where he'll have to sit out 3-5 games here and there. The only chance the Nets have at winning is with him on the floor, unless they play Philadelphia.
Objective: "If Lopez doesn't go down with a season-ending injury (50/50), the Nets could pull it together and push their pick out of top 5 range by winning 30 games." This is an example of something Celtics fans don't want to hear, but it's still realistic, and thus, respectable. Hearing you continue to voice that "the Nets could be a playoff team" after what we know now (they're 1-7, Lopez is already banged up) is growing increasingly unrealistic, and thus, not respectable. In reality, Brooklyn's nightmare is so bad that they're clinging on to a 50% chance that they can have a 30 win season. You might be their biggest optimist in the whole league.
Optimistic: "The Nets will win 15 games, Lopez or not, and we'll get a top 3 pick."
Completely pessimistic: "We don't have the assets to get Cousins." This really doesn't deserve comment.
Objective: "We won't have the assets to get Cousins if we don't include Smart and/or 2016 BKN 1 and either teams like Philly or Orlando, with better prospects and equally appealing picks, jump in and offer Sacramento anything they want, or teams like Washington or Toronto step in and offer guys like Beal or DeRozan."
Optimistic: "The Nets will see the 2017 swap and 2018 BKN 1 as guaranteed top 10 picks, they'll see the 2016 DAL 1 as being a lock for the 8-12 range and love a player in that range, and they'll prefer a player package of Rozier, Young, Olynyk and Lee (huge expiring) to Beal."