I haven't read through all the posts in this thead BUT:
I think the one thing everyone is overlooking is that after the AS break, a lot of teams will realise that they are out of the playoff hunt & start "Resting" their key players with minor/major injuries to safe them for the following season. They won't officialy be tanking but they will rest half their team or trade away quality veteran players to give playing opportunities to their young players. = resulting a whole lot of losses.
The only team that will not follow this strategy are the Nets. They don't have youngsters to develop, nor do they have a lotto pick that makes it worth resting their star players for. They will most likely gain a few places in the standings during the last stretch of the season IMO.
I get your point, but you're also suggesting that other teams coaches will 'rest' their best players for the next season, but the Nets won't?
Also, you could argue that with the playoff race in both conferences- particularly the East, being so close- that more teams will be playing harder for their best shot at the playoffs.
Coaches want to win, they generally don't 'rest' players unless there's a significant injury/risk.