My preliminary conference ranks:
2. Portland
4. Utah
5. Denver
10. OKC
As always, feel free to tell me why I'm wrong and have horribly underrated your squad. I already moved some teams around based upon yesterday's arguments, and I'm willing to do the same again.
I disagree. I don't think Portland is better then Utah. Utah has the best wing player in Pierce. The best defensive player in KG. Utah's third best player is on the same level as Portland's second best player. Amare didn't win a game this year against Pierce an KG. 0-8. He has won zero playoff games as "the guy" and Pierce and KG have won a ring together.
None of Portland's players have proven they can play well in the playoffs besides Amare.
Utah has the better bench (Jamal Crawford?!?!?!) and deeper front court. Portland is giving Jerebko 16 minutes per game!!!!
*Wild Card* ==== Baron Davis
He WILL be great with KG and Pierce! He has more ability than Lowry to take over a game for periods of time and Lowry is very undersized against Davis.
Also so not underestimate how having Thabo pick up full court on Lowry can disrupt this offense. In the end Portland does not have the wing talent they need to beat Utah in a 7 game series, nor do they have experience necessary. Look at OKC... Young and talented but they needed a year to do it. Portland still hasn't done it in real life and they are similar to this Portland team. This years real Nuggets are another good example as well.
Eh... Amare was a pretty huge part of those Phoenix teams, which won plenty of playoff games. The key is to surround him with complementary talent.
Here's why I like Portland slightly better: I like the fit of their pieces. Bogut and Amare have clearly defined roles, as do Delfino, Harden, and Lowry. Williams is the bench star. The bench guys all fit needs. I can see Portland functioning as a real team, and functioning extremely well.
Utah probably has more raw talent. However, I don't like Caron Butler at SG. He's historically been a SF, and that's where he's most effective. He and Pierce have very similar games, except Butler is a vastly inferior shooter (unless you expect a 31.9% 3PT shooter to replicate the 43% he put up in 29 games last seaason). I think Big Al next to KG is going to be very potent offensively, but I think that Big Al is going to make a lot of dumb mistakes.
Roles just seem a lot messier on Utah, and I think that makes a difference. That's why I give Portland the slight edge.