Globe story today says Shaq's status has quietly gone from "when" to "if" he returns. Maybe the Globe is making this up, but given that he has missed almost two months and 18 games with an injury that was supposed to keep him out 2 or 3 games, who knows? I will believe Shaq will be back when I actually see him on the court.
http://www.boston.com/sports/basketball/celtics/articles/2011/03/18/celtics_piece_it_together/
I'm starting to think that Shaq doesn't return this season and might have played his last NBA game on February 1. This seems a lot like the KG injury in 2009. First it's a couple of games, then a couple of weeks, and then indefinite. Garnett supposedly would have played, had we passed Orlando in the ECSF. Same here with Shaq.
I really think that KG injury is what has made everyone so paranoid about this stuff. And I have to agree that this is looking way too similar to that situation.
However, the difference for me is that I think Shaq will play through it...while I think KG was so rattled by the injury (he had not really dealt with an injury like that before), he was afraid to try to play through it. The fact that Danny called him out after the playoffs, and said that it was KG's choice was telling.
Shaq on the other hand has a history of having injuries (or just cruising) through the regular season, and then turning it on, and ignoring the pain once the postseason starts.
This has always been a "pain" injury. The issue isn't that he will hurt himself more, or he simply can't play, the issue is that he still has pain when he runs. Those are the kind that get played through when the games start to matter.