Let's see how I stack up against the "Champions"
Yao vs Amare: Push (just look up their head to head #'s)
Okafor vs Horford: Edge: Pistons (Okafor kills him head to head)
Turkoglu vs Gay: Push (They averaged basically the same ppg while Turk was the 2nd/3rd option. Gay is more athletic)
Gordon vs Iguodala: Edge: Blazers (ok, you got me here)
Watson vs Ford: Edge: Blazers (not by that much, especially b/c Ford won't be healthy when they play)
So you have me with starters, but not really by a lot. Let's move on to the bench (put the Blazers first this time) :
Haslem/Wright/Battie/Mourning vs Landry/Hibbert: Edge Blazers Haslem is better than Landry, Hibbert is as good as the other three.
Webster/Mobley/Ross vs Terry/Stackhouse Edge: Pistons Terry is too good to overlook
Blake vs Lowry: Edge Pistons: Lowry is better and younger.
Roy, I think you have the better starters, and I have the better bench. You will most likely win the title, but I feel like if I get past the Knicks/Nets I can challenge you for the next 3-5 years.
I do definitely like your team. My comparisons:
Yao vs Amare: Push (Agreed. They're *very* close head-to-head.)
Okafor vs Horford: Edge: Push (We must be looking at different head-to-head numbers.)
Turkoglu vs Gay: Push (Turk is a better passer, Gay is a better defender.)
Gordon vs Iguodala: Edge: Blazers (Finally, a clear advantage!)
Watson vs Ford: Edge: Blazers (As you say, health depending)
On the bench, things get tricky.
Haslem vs. Landry: Edge: Blazers
Wright vs. Hibbert: Edge: Push (Wright was as good as Hibbert in college, and has a year of expereince.)
Battie/Mourning vs. N/A: Edge: Blazers (You need some size at the backup 5.)
Mobley vs. Terry: Edge: Pistons (You have the edge here.)
Webster vs. Stackhouse: Edge: Blazers (Stack's best days are behind him, and Webster is a great shooter.)
Ross vs. N/A: Edge: Blazers (I like having a defensive stopper to put on my opponent's best wing in crunch time.)
Blake vs. Lowry: Edge: Blazers (I agree with buckner's analysis above.)
So, by my "head-to-head" analysis, I have it 7-1-4, Blazers. That means I'm going to crush you, right? Doubtful. I think we both have very good teams, and my advantages, where there are some, are relatively small. I think this series would go at least six games. I also agree that your team has a solid 3 or 4 year window of opportunity (with me hopefully having a few years beyond that).
My only major quibble with your analysis was the claim that Okafor "kills" Horford head-to-head. In four career games, Horford has outscored Okafor twice, and has shot as good or better than Okafor in all four games. In fact, Horford shot 61.1% against the Bobcats this year, which is a fairly impressive number. I'd put them as even right now, but in the future, I expect Horford to become one of the elite power forwards in the NBA. As you know, he's got a better-than-even shot of turning into Karl Malone.
