My guess at what happens, and some reporters like Breer have also indicated this
1. If Hunter or Carter are there at #4, no-brainer. Take that player.
2. If not, then they will pick OT Will Campbell
3. If not Campbell, they will trade down and take either DE Jalon Walker or TE Tyler Warren somewhere between Picks 6-10 wherever they trade down to
So if I had to rank their likely board, I'd guess it's:
1. Hunter/Carter
2. Campbell
3. Walker
4. Warren or Jeanty
A lot of mocks and reporting seem to indicate this too. Even with his short arms and questions, I think the Pats love Campbell's attitude and would take a slight gamble on him. He would definitely solve their LT need, and easily give them an actual one for the first time in many years.
I understand the case for Jeanty, but taking him at #4 or even the Top-10 reminds me of Barkley being taken high by the Giants. How'd that go for them? It worked for PHI because that team was absolutely loaded already and Barkley helped put them over the top. The Pats aren't even close to being in that position. Even in 2018, the Pats took Sony Michel at #23 but they were already a contender and could afford to take some "needs". I'd say only the Chiefs, Eagles and a few other teams can do that now, but definitely not the Pats who have gone 4-13 the last two seasons in a row.