I think the Lakers beat the Nuggets. They've been the best team in basketball since the all star break, are an excellent defensive team, and have the 2nd and 3rd best players in the series with a very large gap to anyone else. They have a lot of depth as well, so their lesser players don't have to be on every night for them to get the requisite points from the "others". Jokic will be great, but I just don't trust Murray, Porter, Gordon, etc. to give him enough support for Denver to win 4 games. I also think this will be a Vanderbilt and Hachimura series. The Warriors were tiny and the Lakers didn't need to go with Vanderbilt and Hachimura as much (Walker and Schroder got a lot more run). Against Denver, I'd expect to see them both a lot more minutes, maybe even more than they were used against Memphis (might even see Tristan Thompson get some burn to put a fresh body on Jokic). That is why I really liked all the moves the Lakers made at the deadline, it just gave them so many more options to play match-ups in the playoffs, and Ham has done that really well so far.
I don't think it really matters who comes out of the West though, just as last year when I believed the winner of the 2nd round series involving Boston was going to win the title (with the Bucks eliminated), I think that way again. So I believe Boston will win the title dispatching Miami in 5 and then win the title in 6. Hopefully I won't be wrong this year as I was last year.