What about Brad?

[slamtheking]

It just seems that the odds of hitting on a second rounder are so low compared to the #25 pick in the draft. The last time the Celtics found a rotation player in the 2nd round was Ryan Gomes and that was 20 years ago.

Big Baby was more recent, but yeah.

it's been a long time since the C's hit on a second rounder that turned into a quality player.  a lot of swings and misses.  used to be Danny was hitting at a pretty decent rate on those picks - Gomes, Baby, Powe.

[Who]

I remember some statistical study of the draft that reckoned picks in the 20s had around a 20% chance of netting a rotation caliber player. 1 in 5.

I'd say that splits in half to around 10% with picks in the 30s. Maybe 30-45 in a deep draft.

I have no hopes for picks in the 45-60 range. That is found gold if you get anything out of them. No expectations.