Huge news. And it begins.
I would assume New Orleans is willing to hold off on dealing him until the summer, in which case we are 100% in the game.
I’m hoping the Pels agree. Davis doesn’t have much leverage to force a trade in the next 10 days. He’s already sitting out, and even if he threatened surgery or something similar, that would aid NOP in tanking.
Any offer for him now will still be there this summer.
That's not 100% true. A teams ability to trade for him now and have 2 post season runs with Davis vs the 1 they would be guaranteed this next summer significantly increases his value for teams that don't know if they will be able to resign him. This menas there very well might be teams out there wiling to give up pieces they wouldn't this summer. Asking for a trade now expands the list of potential suitors significantly.
And not hat I ever thought this would happen, but asking for a trade now clearly means Davis isn't fixated on us as a destination. Maybe he would come here, but he has to know we can't make the trade now so ergo we likely aren't his preferred destination.
All this doesn't mean we can't get him, but I think the odds got longer.
I don’t think the extra playoff run will change too much, as they know the team most regard as having the best assets will enter the fray in July. As of right now, it’s the Lakers vs... nobody. Who else is going to pony up enough to actually make a run this May? Everyone else will have nothing left on the roster this season. Only the Lakers because of LeBron can make noise (and even they may be too thin for GSW).
If the deadline passes and New Orleans starts fielding offers in the summer, other teams will be there and compete with Boston. The absolute best thing they can get now is picks for June, but they really can’t get lotto picks from anyone other than us (after the draft).
I do agree about your second point, that if he explicitly told NOP this, he’s not dead-set on Boston and Boston only. I could certainly see LeBron and Paul getting in his head, but knowing he’s ready to move now and Boston not being possible is not encouraging. We could still be the preferred, just not his only destination.