I think it should be emphasized again that if Danny isn't willing to overpay this offseason for Sully, then he is gone and we are getting nothing in return.
No. We're getting his salary slot in cap money. And given that Wyc has gone on the record about the fact that they're positioning to be able to offer 2 max contracts this summer, it is relevant.
There are two key questions here that are more important than price: Ainge's interest in Sullinger and timing.
I mention this because price is irrelevant when once considers the potential to go after 2 max free-agents.
I haven't run the calculations lately, but things will be tight to make that happen regardless (I don't think we'll be going after the $30+ million types, so if we remove that from the equation then things become more practical/likely). So keeping this in mind the key part is how much does the cap hold from Sullinger affect the possibility of going after these types of players.
And that's why timing is important, in the assumption of actual interest from Ainge, getting a verbal agreement from Sullinger instead of letting him go to the market and sign an offer sheet is very important to keep our cap space flexibility. If this can't be managed, I think it's very unlikely that Sullinger is retained (unless Ainge already judged the free-agent opportunities to be non-existent, but I doubt that's going to be the case). if Ainge can't secure a verbal agreement early, then I'm fairly certain Sullinger will be all but gone unless his market value is poor, so that's the unknown in this.
I'm not saying that we should overpay Sullinger, and I have no interest in that, but in the scheme of things, that's the least of our worries in the context of how it'll affect this particular free-agency period. After that is analyzing how it'll affect future free-agency situations.
We have a lot of youth coming in, we have a big man prospect that seems to project favorably, so losing Sullinger is not the end of the world.
But worth pointing out that there's room to retain him if management still has interest in him without it actually affecting our buying power much this off season. That's why interest and timing are the key factors here, and price comes in right after that.
If Ainge has no interest in him, then just move him at the trade deadline and move on. There's still quite of basketball to be played, let's see how it goes from here through February.