Author Topic: Noel to the bench  (Read 26676 times)

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Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #60 on: November 19, 2015, 08:18:43 PM »

Offline Eddie20

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Why are people so enamored with Noel?

A big that shoots 39.6% on 2PA is impressive?

Wait, but he can block shots right? He can rebound?

8.8 RPG isn't impressive when you take into account, other than Okafor, that entire team is bench warmers or D-Leaguers.

He can't even average over 2 BPG, and his defense is actually by the metrics considered slightly above average, (I haven't checked it recently, so not 100% sure). You don't have to be a genius to see how good Smart is on defense. I've seen it first hand, and now he neutralized Harden and Westbrook, and how much hustle plays he's done.

I wouldn't even trade Smart for Noel straight up.

I think Smart is going to be a better player than Noel.

Also people compare Noel to Chandler, but Chandler was by all means the late bloomer. If the comparison is actually close to the truth, you guys want to wait a few years for Noel to break out?

Just see if he opts out, and try to sign him in FA. No point in giving up assets for a center that is so limited offensively.
Saying that Noel's 8.8 RPG is unimpressive for a big is a lot like saying Marcus Smart's 32% shooting (24% from three) is unimpressive for a guard. 

Both of those guys will be better than they look right now.  They are 21 years old born a month apart.  They have a year of NBA experience.   If we're looking at small sample sizes, look at the 17 games Noel played in the month of March, Noel averaged 14 points, 11.2 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 2.1 blocks, 2.4 blocks with 50% shooting in 33mpg.

Why is it that March and early April of the 14-15 season are things you constantly bring up when it comes to both Noel and the Nets? Considering how both are doing this season it could very well be an aberration likely as a result of opponents packing it in for the off-season.


WHy is it that March and early April of the 14-15 season acted as proof that Boston wasn't going to end up in the lotto this year?

Because things changed preceding that. First, with the Crowder trade and then with Thomas one. So the sample size is far larger than the one you frequently use.

Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #61 on: November 19, 2015, 08:26:39 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

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Ultimately I think if you offered up Noel for Smart straight up, both sides say no because there's some value to keeping "your guy" who's already embedded into the team culture (assuming Philly even has something that could be called a culture.)

If this were a video game, it would make perfect sense though. They have pretty much completely equal trade value (same age, similar stage of development, Noel plays a position where starters are harder to find but Smart is under team control for a year longer.) You could make arguments for why one is better than the other but it's all marginal.

It is funny that about 8 months ago this would be considered a steal for the celtics, but now due some regression from Noel and improvement from Smart it is viewed as a fair swap.


"Improvement" from Smart?   How's that math work.  He's shooting 32% and 24% from three right now.  If Noel has "regressed" 10 games into the season, so has Smart.

Is there a way we can do a 4 or 5 team trade that nets us Bismack, Anthony Bennett, Stauskas and McLemore right now? All those guys are looking elite right now. I think those 4 with Noel would be a dynasty. #playerevaluation #onpoint

Spot on. Don't forget Embiid too though. When LB likes you, it's pretty much a kiss of death.
And har har... For all the flack I got about liking the Bismack Biyombo's of the world, it's interesting that nobody has pointed out that Willie Cauley Stein's season averages of 4.8 points, 5.8 rebounds, 0.9 blocks, with 52% from the line in 19mpg  are strikingly similar to Biyombo's stats of 4.6 points, 5.9 rebounds, 0.9 blocks with 76% FT shooting in 16.9mpg.

WCS:  4.8 points, 5.8 rebounds, 0.9 blocks, with 52% from the line in 19mpg
Biyombo:  4.6 points, 5.9 rebounds, 0.9 blocks with 76% FT shooting in 16.9mpg

That was all my point ever was... that I wouldn't trade the farm to move up in the draft and take the next Bismack Biyombo... I'd rather just throw some cheap money at Biyombo in free agency and give up ZERO assets.  I stand by it.  I'd rather keep the picks and get 80% of WCS than give up all our picks for a guy who looked pretty [dang] similar.   Will I eventually be proven wrong on that?  Perhaps.  Have I been proven wrong on that so far?  NOPE.  WCS is 21 ... Biyombo is 22... who knows what either develops into long-term.

I think I also suggested that I'd consider moving the #16 pick for Stauskas or Bennett.  Am I fool? Perhaps.  Rozier is averaging a blistering 1.8 points, 1.3 rebounds, on 18%/11%/00% shooting so far.  Bennett is averaging 1.3 points, 1.7 rebounds on 11%/00%/88% shooting so far.     Stauskas is averaging 9.5 points, 3 rebounds, 2.2 assists on 32%/27%/72% shooting so far.   Will I eventually be proven wrong on liking the ceiling of those two prospects more than what we were taking 16?  Perhaps.  Have I been proven wrong on that so far.  NOPE.     Rozier is 21.  Stauskas is 22.  Bennett is 22.  Who knows what any of them develop into long-term.  They all suck so far on the NBA level.  I think Rozier showed the least potential on the amateur level. 

As for Ben McLemore.  I still like him.  I'd love to trade for him.   I started a thread yesterday that suggested that now is a good time to trade Jared Sullinger.  You trade guys like Sullinger when they are on a hot streak.  You trade FOR guys like Ben McLemore when they are on a cold streak.  Right now is a good time to buy McLemore stock.  He's limited to 17.8 mpg on that cluster-f of a Kings team... but he's shooting 42%/46%/79%.. and he's coming off a season in which he started all 82 games and averaged 12 points, 2.9 rebounds, 1.7 assists, 44%/36%/81% shooting.  He's 22 years old.   Would I still gamble on him?  YOu're [dang] right i would.

Look, ya'll will have plenty of opportunity to gloat at my expense for opinions of mine that were proven wrong.  But 10 games into the season when I haven't in-fact been proven wrong isn't the time to do that.   I made my apologies for the Embiid situation... I was running around telling everyone that Embiid said he felt fine, was running around without a boot, dunking without issue and ready to go...   Turns out, none of what I said was inaccurate.  All these things were happening... I just wasn't aware that Embiid was doing all of this in spite of his team and his doctors...  that the team was lying about his condition... and that his situation was a complete disaster.  Nobody here was aware of that either... they were just speculating on the worst cuz "oden".  It's been several months and we still don't know if he did in-fact re-break his foot... and that situation continues to get weirder and weider as more details trickle out.   I took my licks for sharing info... so be it.  It happens.   



« Last Edit: November 19, 2015, 08:42:38 PM by LarBrd33 »

Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #62 on: November 19, 2015, 09:59:55 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

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Is there a way we can do a 4 or 5 team trade that nets us Bismack, Anthony Bennett, Stauskas and McLemore right now? All those guys are looking elite right now. I think those 4 with Noel would be a dynasty. #playerevaluation #onpoint

That's funny and TP, but mclemore is still getting better.. like Smart

I liked the way McLemore looked last season myself, however it seems like he has not really added anything to his game this season and has looked a bit worse. He is playing about the same as Belinelli this year which is probably less than you would expect in year 3.

Whoops, may have waited too long to buy low on Ben McLemore.  He's back in the starting lineup tonight and looking like his normal sharp-shooting young self.  (17 points on 7-12 shooting and 3-4 from three)... Still like the kid. 

Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #63 on: November 19, 2015, 10:21:08 PM »

Offline notthebowler

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Why are people so enamored with Noel?

A big that shoots 39.6% on 2PA is impressive?

Wait, but he can block shots right? He can rebound?

8.8 RPG isn't impressive when you take into account, other than Okafor, that entire team is bench warmers or D-Leaguers.

He can't even average over 2 BPG, and his defense is actually by the metrics considered slightly above average, (I haven't checked it recently, so not 100% sure). You don't have to be a genius to see how good Smart is on defense. I've seen it first hand, and now he neutralized Harden and Westbrook, and how much hustle plays he's done.

I wouldn't even trade Smart for Noel straight up.

I think Smart is going to be a better player than Noel.

Also people compare Noel to Chandler, but Chandler was by all means the late bloomer. If the comparison is actually close to the truth, you guys want to wait a few years for Noel to break out?

Just see if he opts out, and try to sign him in FA. No point in giving up assets for a center that is so limited offensively.

He has ties to New England, that's it.  Imagine if we could put together a team of Noel, Noah Vonleh, Rudy Gay, Jared Dudley and Sean Williams.  Just a few of the legends this board has pined for over the years.

And I say that mostly tongue-in-cheek.  It's human nature to want to see the local kid make good. I'm from Cincinnati and I see it in the NFL every spring.  People go crazy over Ohio State players and how the Bengals need to use all 7 draft picks on Buckeyes.

Noel is a nice young piece to a puzzle, but he isn't going to be the guy to carry a team.

Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #64 on: November 19, 2015, 10:28:07 PM »

Offline Eddie20

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Is there a way we can do a 4 or 5 team trade that nets us Bismack, Anthony Bennett, Stauskas and McLemore right now? All those guys are looking elite right now. I think those 4 with Noel would be a dynasty. #playerevaluation #onpoint

That's funny and TP, but mclemore is still getting better.. like Smart

I liked the way McLemore looked last season myself, however it seems like he has not really added anything to his game this season and has looked a bit worse. He is playing about the same as Belinelli this year which is probably less than you would expect in year 3.

Whoops, may have waited too long to buy low on Ben McLemore.  He's back in the starting lineup tonight and looking like his normal sharp-shooting young self.  (17 points on 7-12 shooting and 3-4 from three)... Still like the kid.

The problem is with Ben is that he's a horrid defender, lacks feel for the game, is inconsistent, and doesn't have the best IQ. He's an amazing athlete and has a beautiful stroke, but I'm not sure he'll ever put it together. These are things that a box score doesn't tell.

Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #65 on: November 19, 2015, 10:32:19 PM »

Offline tarheelsxxiii

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Is there a way we can do a 4 or 5 team trade that nets us Bismack, Anthony Bennett, Stauskas and McLemore right now? All those guys are looking elite right now. I think those 4 with Noel would be a dynasty. #playerevaluation #onpoint

That's funny and TP, but mclemore is still getting better.. like Smart

I liked the way McLemore looked last season myself, however it seems like he has not really added anything to his game this season and has looked a bit worse. He is playing about the same as Belinelli this year which is probably less than you would expect in year 3.

Whoops, may have waited too long to buy low on Ben McLemore.  He's back in the starting lineup tonight and looking like his normal sharp-shooting young self.  (17 points on 7-12 shooting and 3-4 from three)... Still like the kid.

The problem is with Ben is that he's a horrid defender, lacks feel for the game, is inconsistent, and doesn't have the best IQ. He's an amazing athlete and has a beautiful stroke, but I'm not sure he'll ever put it together. These are things that a box score doesn't tell.

He is inconsistent, a lot like Jeff Green. Given his situation, it's hard to tell definitively if he can break out if it or not though. I think he's worth it for the right price: the Ranadive special of James Young (UK). We get a young guy with tons of athleticism and some upside, get rid of one with neither, and help SAC get one step closer to becoming UK of the NBA.
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Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #66 on: November 19, 2015, 10:42:01 PM »

Offline footey

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Excellent. If they determine that Noel and Ok can't play together long term we may be able to snag one.
Especially if Embiid ever comes back healthy.   It's a good problem for Philly to have, though.  Three potential franchise players at the most coveted position in the league.  It'll be interesting to see when they inevitably bite on an offer and what the team looks like a few years from now.

There is enough of a body of evidence out there to dispel any notion that Noel is a "potential franchise player."  Get real, LB...

Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #67 on: November 19, 2015, 10:46:29 PM »

Offline trickybilly

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Is there a way we can do a 4 or 5 team trade that nets us Bismack, Anthony Bennett, Stauskas and McLemore right now? All those guys are looking elite right now. I think those 4 with Noel would be a dynasty. #playerevaluation #onpoint

That's funny and TP, but mclemore is still getting better.. like Smart

I liked the way McLemore looked last season myself, however it seems like he has not really added anything to his game this season and has looked a bit worse. He is playing about the same as Belinelli this year which is probably less than you would expect in year 3.

Whoops, may have waited too long to buy low on Ben McLemore.  He's back in the starting lineup tonight and looking like his normal sharp-shooting young self.  (17 points on 7-12 shooting and 3-4 from three)... Still like the kid.

The problem is with Ben is that he's a horrid defender, lacks feel for the game, is inconsistent, and doesn't have the best IQ. He's an amazing athlete and has a beautiful stroke, but I'm not sure he'll ever put it together. These are things that a box score doesn't tell.

I don't pretend to really understand technical stuff, but I'm pretty sure his DX video on youtube disagrees with you on a couple of points. Watch the vid, especially his shooting mechanics inconsistency, fixable, I know... he DEFINTELY has a "feel" for the game though.
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Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #68 on: November 19, 2015, 11:14:56 PM »

Offline Eddie20

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Is there a way we can do a 4 or 5 team trade that nets us Bismack, Anthony Bennett, Stauskas and McLemore right now? All those guys are looking elite right now. I think those 4 with Noel would be a dynasty. #playerevaluation #onpoint

That's funny and TP, but mclemore is still getting better.. like Smart

I liked the way McLemore looked last season myself, however it seems like he has not really added anything to his game this season and has looked a bit worse. He is playing about the same as Belinelli this year which is probably less than you would expect in year 3.

Whoops, may have waited too long to buy low on Ben McLemore.  He's back in the starting lineup tonight and looking like his normal sharp-shooting young self.  (17 points on 7-12 shooting and 3-4 from three)... Still like the kid.

The problem is with Ben is that he's a horrid defender, lacks feel for the game, is inconsistent, and doesn't have the best IQ. He's an amazing athlete and has a beautiful stroke, but I'm not sure he'll ever put it together. These are things that a box score doesn't tell.

I don't pretend to really understand technical stuff, but I'm pretty sure his DX video on youtube disagrees with you on a couple of points. Watch the vid, especially his shooting mechanics inconsistency, fixable, I know... he DEFINTELY has a "feel" for the game though.

His shooting mechanics are beautiful. His feel for the game is a different story. Perhaps it's because he's used to having the ball in his hands while growing up. However, he doesn't move well off the ball and is never in the right place at the right time. He's totally opposite from RJ Hunter (similar age/position) who always seems to make heady basketball plays and has terrific feel.

Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #69 on: November 19, 2015, 11:15:49 PM »

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I think the problem with McLemore is that he has a limited offensive game. He is a very good spot up shooter, capable catch and shoot shooter and a sometimes cutter plus a very good transition scorer. On the downside, I think his ball-handling is weak which limits his ability to create for himself (shot-creation) or for others (playmaking). Rarely created shots for others. I don't think he has a wide enough range of ways to score the ball to be a prolific scorer.

Looks most comfortable as a 3+D role player (10-14ppg scorer). I do like his defense. I thought McLemore showed good improvement last year. That really impressed me. How large an improvement he made in a short time on defense. Plus defender already who could be a very good defensive player with continued hard work. 

The weak handle would leave him as a borderline starter in my eyes. Closer to peak Brandon Rush than a Courtney Lee ... as a 3+D role player.

Not high on his overall potential. I would need to see more flashes of shot-creation and/or playmaking ability. More ball-handling ability. Too reliant on others to create shots for him. McLemore has the explosive athleticism to beat defenders. Just not the skill (ball-handling) to pull it off on a frequent enough basis.

Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #70 on: November 20, 2015, 03:58:58 AM »

Offline LarBrd33

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Excellent. If they determine that Noel and Ok can't play together long term we may be able to snag one.
Especially if Embiid ever comes back healthy.   It's a good problem for Philly to have, though.  Three potential franchise players at the most coveted position in the league.  It'll be interesting to see when they inevitably bite on an offer and what the team looks like a few years from now.

There is enough of a body of evidence out there to dispel any notion that Noel is a "potential franchise player."  Get real, LB...
Samesies for Smart then, I guess. 

Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #71 on: November 20, 2015, 07:09:17 PM »

Offline Eddie20

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The franchise is coming off the bench...


Quote
Keith Pompey
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Robert Covington gets the start at PF over Nerlens Noel. #Sixers

Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #72 on: November 20, 2015, 07:13:32 PM »

Offline Monkhouse

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Excellent. If they determine that Noel and Ok can't play together long term we may be able to snag one.
Especially if Embiid ever comes back healthy.   It's a good problem for Philly to have, though.  Three potential franchise players at the most coveted position in the league.  It'll be interesting to see when they inevitably bite on an offer and what the team looks like a few years from now.

There is enough of a body of evidence out there to dispel any notion that Noel is a "potential franchise player."  Get real, LB...
Samesies for Smart then, I guess.

I don't know if franchise player is the words I would use to describe Smart right now.

Hes certainly a viable and useful player that hustles hard, and has different intangibles that don't show up on the box score. Simply put if we had a dominant scorer like Curry or Klay, I think he would be putting up numbers similar to Draymond Green right now. Smart isn't 1A or 1B.
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Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #73 on: November 20, 2015, 07:33:00 PM »

Offline celticsclay

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Is there a way we can do a 4 or 5 team trade that nets us Bismack, Anthony Bennett, Stauskas and McLemore right now? All those guys are looking elite right now. I think those 4 with Noel would be a dynasty. #playerevaluation #onpoint

That's funny and TP, but mclemore is still getting better.. like Smart

I liked the way McLemore looked last season myself, however it seems like he has not really added anything to his game this season and has looked a bit worse. He is playing about the same as Belinelli this year which is probably less than you would expect in year 3.

Whoops, may have waited too long to buy low on Ben McLemore.  He's back in the starting lineup tonight and looking like his normal sharp-shooting young self.  (17 points on 7-12 shooting and 3-4 from three)... Still like the kid.

We could probably still have for a bag of balls. Do you still want to buy low on Bennett, Stauskas and Bismack?

Re: Noel to the bench
« Reply #74 on: November 20, 2015, 07:33:13 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

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Looks like they are going to try staggering Noel and Okafor's minutes for now:


Quote
As mentioned about an hour ago, Noel was been a complete disaster at power forward because he's useless as a scorer from beyond three feet. Now, coach Brett Brown can stagger his minutes with Jahlil Okafor. This is a good thing for Noel.

Smart move, because when you only have two nba-caliber players, you might as well stagger their minutes so at least one of them is on the court for all 48 minutes.

And this tidbit:

Quote
Coach Brett Brown said he's considering moving Nerlens Noel to the five and Jahlil Okafor to the four.

I'd say it's a good thing for anyone hoping that Philly eventually trades one of those guys.  It's clear that playing Noel out of position for the season hasn't worked.  They might try moving Okafor out of position... for now they'll stagger their minutes as expected and long-term, maybe a team like Boston can offer a bunch of pieces for someone like Noel... maybe the pipe dream of offering Smart and a future 1st for Noel is actually in play.  That'd be amazing.