Yeah, let's face it, the Heat won't see much real competition until the NBA Finals. Brooklyn choked last night, and Indiana's 3-1 lead over the Wizards is probably the least inspiring 3-1 lead I've ever seen. I'm sure the Pacers will take that series against DC, but something's going to have to change radically for them to give the Heat a fight like they did last year.
My guess: Whichever team comes out of the West probably would beat the Heat if all things were equal, but they aren't ... the West team will probably have gone through a serious battle in each round, while the Heat will have pretty much coasted and will be well-rested. Heat win the title in 6.