To: sofutomygaha
Wow, what a great post - TP.
I clipped your post so as not to fill up the page, but I wanted to catch your attention. I think you are on to something, ScoobyDoo, but there is a counter-argument to be made. It is built on the premise that Cousins and Gay are classic examples of high-volume team killers who look so good and so toolsy that, even in this age of analysis, GMs still can't resist.
Basically, if you believe as so many quantitative analysts do that Gay is purely a volume scorer and that Cousins is both a bad decision maker and an even worse defender, then you could only conclude that the upside for the Celtics on this trade is enormous.
If you judge Rudy Gay and Demarcus Cousins to be nothing more than Nick Young and Andray Blatche in disguise, as the numberZ folks seem to, then the team that the Kings are trying to build is modeled after the circa 2011-12 Washington Wizards, right down to Rondo in the role of John Wall.
If you buy that, then the Rondo-led Kings would be destined to stay in the cellar and to send Boston two lottery picks.
Our warchest would make the 2012 Rockets' look like a piggy bank, and by all accounts draft picks are growing in value these days.
To be honest, while I understand the quantitative analysis metrics, I'm not up on it, but I 100% get your point.
And why I liked your post so much is because is one half of what I consider distilling a trade down to it's key components for both sides.
That is, to me:
For Sacramento:
Does Rondo's addition transform both Gay's and Cousins' games to another level?
For Boston:
Is Ben McLemore a bust or a future all star?
Everything else in that equation is distraction to me. That is not say the draft picks or other players involved couldn't be valuable, but they are not what I would be making the decision on.
Ben Mclemore is only 21 - if he turns out to be a Ray Allen type with 2-3 years of development, this trade is a no brainer to me.