Author Topic: Yes, another pro tanking thread. Lets look at recent NBA history for some facts.  (Read 19678 times)

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Offline crimson_stallion

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This intentionally tanking idea is utter garbage and does not interest me at all.

Cleveland drafted LeBron, but he won a title with Miami.
Toronto drafted Bosh, he won a title with Miami

Lakers couldn't win a title with just Kobe, they needed Shaq and Gasol...both of whom came in trades and never won title with their original teams.

Chris Paul was drafted by the Hornets, if he wins a title it will be with the Clippers.

Pierce won his title in Boston where he was drafted, but they were a garbage lottery team until Danny swung a big deal to get Ray and KG over, while also masterfully drafting Rondo.

OKC have been one of the best success stories in this regard with Durant, Westbrook, Green and Harden.  Green and Harden have since moved on, while Durant and Westbrook still don't have a ring.

When Detroit got Wallace and Billups in trades

Indiana were great last year and a big part of that was David West, who they got in a trade.  They did well drafting Hibbert and George, but where's that ring?

Chicago drafted Derek Rose, no ring.

Portland drafted Greg Oden, Brandon Roy...where are they now?

About the ony team I can think of in recent history who genuinely won a title with great drafting as San Antonio, and that's it.

See the problem with this concept is that the only way a team typically gets a high lottery pick is by either:

a) trading way a very good player or
b) sucking royally

usually iit's the latter.  Now when a team sucks THAT bad, simply adding a future hall of fame calibre draft pick won't change that.  How long did it take the bulls to become good once they got Jordan? Or the Knicks when they got Ewing? Ir the rockets when they got Hakeem?

The only way that happens is if you get two insane draft successes very quickly (e.g.Shaq and Penny).

The next problem is because you are a crap team, no free agent wants to sign with you, no matter what crash hot rookie you just drafted...so you tend to suck for years while you draft multiple future stars (hopefully) and or gradually convince fr agents that you are a place worth coming.  OKC sucked for years before they saw this success, so did the bulls after Jordan left.

Because nobody wants to play for a crappy team what usually happens is two or three seasons later this superstar rookie gets sick of losing on a crappy team, gets offered a contract by a good team that has the potential to actually win some games, then walks.

Sure that star will probably end up contending at one point, but with another team. 

No thanks.

Offline chambers

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This intentionally tanking idea is utter garbage and does not interest me at all.

Cleveland drafted LeBron, but he won a title with Miami.
Toronto drafted Bosh, he won a title with Miami

Lakers couldn't win a title with just Kobe, they needed Shaq and Gasol...both of whom came in trades and never won title with their original teams.

Chris Paul was drafted by the Hornets, if he wins a title it will be with the Clippers.

Pierce won his title in Boston where he was drafted, but they were a garbage lottery team until Danny swung a big deal to get Ray and KG over, while also masterfully drafting Rondo.

OKC have been one of the best success stories in this regard with Durant, Westbrook, Green and Harden.  Green and Harden have since moved on, while Durant and Westbrook still don't have a ring.

When Detroit got Wallace and Billups in trades

Indiana were great last year and a big part of that was David West, who they got in a trade.  They did well drafting Hibbert and George, but where's that ring?

Chicago drafted Derek Rose, no ring.

Portland drafted Greg Oden, Brandon Roy...where are they now?

About the ony team I can think of in recent history who genuinely won a title with great drafting as San Antonio, and that's it.

See the problem with this concept is that the only way a team typically gets a high lottery pick is by either:

a) trading way a very good player or
b) sucking royally

usually iit's the latter.  Now when a team sucks THAT bad, simply adding a future hall of fame calibre draft pick won't change that.  How long did it take the bulls to become good once they got Jordan? Or the Knicks when they got Ewing? Ir the rockets when they got Hakeem?

The only way that happens is if you get two insane draft successes very quickly (e.g.Shaq and Penny).

The next problem is because you are a crap team, no free agent wants to sign with you, no matter what crash hot rookie you just drafted...so you tend to suck for years while you draft multiple future stars (hopefully) and or gradually convince fr agents that you are a place worth coming.  OKC sucked for years before they saw this success, so did the bulls after Jordan left.

Because nobody wants to play for a crappy team what usually happens is two or three seasons later this superstar rookie gets sick of losing on a crappy team, gets offered a contract by a good team that has the potential to actually win some games, then walks.

Sure that star will probably end up contending at one point, but with another team.

No thanks.

Haha you've just used examples to support your own terrible argument which has no basis in reality.

*Lebron took the Cavs to the NBA finals
*Dwight Howard took the Magic to the NBA finals
*Jordan took the Bulls to the NBA finals
*Durant was drafted by the Thunder, took them to the finals.
*Shaq took the magic to the finals
*as did Duncan
*as did Larry Bird
*KG took the Timberwolves to the WCF where they faced the Lakers with Kobe and Shaq
*Nowitzki took the Mavs
*Wade took the Heat with the help of Shaq.

Shaq and Gasol both joined Kobe. You're acting like the rings don't come without those two but ignoring the fact they had Kobe there to add those pieces to. Same with the Celtics and Pierce. He's still a franchise guy that took the C's to the ECF but didn't have the support cast to go all the way until Ainge came along.

Look what happened once the Rockets drafted Hakeem. And the Bulls drafted Jordan. And the Magic drafted Shaq. And the Cavs drafted Lebron.
If Roy and Oden don't BOTH go down, is it arguable that the Blazers at least make the NBA finals or WCF as a contender? Same with Rose? Injuries are a part of the game. You can get a lottery pick or an NBA superstar but if they get injured it's out of your control.
Roses's Bulls team at full strength is something Miami has seen once when Rose was a 2nd year player.

No one is arguing that you can win a title just with the franchise draftee but it's a MASSIVE part of championship teams.
Like I said, go back and name me some teams other than Detroit that won a title without their own lottery pick.
The only one is Kobe with the Lakers and he refused to play for the Hornets after being picked 14th as a European high schooler- he has played for them since day one so yeah, he is their lottery pick in a sense.

*Chris Bosh is a good player, not a franchise guy
*Chris Paul is a good player, maybe a franchise guy.


Their teams could never put the right cast around them and they weren't good enough to carry a mediocre team to the finals like Lebron and Howard or KG to the WCF and Pierce to the ECF.

Your argument has zero basis in historical evidence of championship winning teams.
"We are lucky we have a very patient GM that isn't willing to settle for being good and coming close. He wants to win a championship and we have the potential to get there still with our roster and assets."

quoting 'Greg B' on RealGM after 2017 trade deadline.
Read that last line again. One more time.

Offline BballTim

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  ...and after we lost the lottery all of the people who were calling for the Celts to tank were crucifying Danny and Doc for tanking and calling for their heads for getting the team into the position it was in.

Until Ainge traded for Ray Allen and then for KG.  You see, whether or not you land the #1 overall pick, a high lotto pick is always an ASSET that can be moved if need be for another player that will help your team.

  Of course it's an ASSET. But how often have you seen teams do what we did that summer?

Offline Celtics18

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6. BUT ON THE OTHER HAND, sometimes, there is a year with MANY potential superduper stars at the top of the draft, and all indications are that this coming year is one of them.


The most superduper stars I've ever seen in one draft is four (that's if you count Chris Bosh and Carmelo Anthony as superduper stars) in the legendary 2003 draft.

People are getting carried away and predicting that there are upwards of six or seven franchise type talents in the 2014 draft.  With all due respect to these  high school kids, I think that's incredibly unlikely.

To do the "tank job" right, we would have to be one of the three worst teams in the league.  I don't think we have the "talent" for that.
just because you never seen it happen doesnt mean it cant. all signs are pointing to really good. 2 superstars and 6-7 stars in the upcoming draft is good. to say otherwise is to ignore reality.

I'm not saying it's not going to be a good draft.  I'm sure it is.  We'll see how it pans out, but I do think there are other options than putting all our eggs in a lottery basket.

As far as me ignoring reality, I don't think you know the reality of how the 2014 draft is going shape up at this point.  The hype is out of control.  The reality can't possibly end up living up to it. 

 
« Last Edit: July 14, 2013, 08:38:27 PM by Celtics18 »
DKC Seventy-Sixers:

PG: G. Hill/D. Schroder
SG: C. Lee/B. Hield/T. Luwawu
SF:  Giannis/J. Lamb/M. Kuzminskas
PF:  E. Ilyasova/J. Jerebko/R. Christmas
C:    N. Vucevic/K. Olynyk/E. Davis/C. Jefferson

Offline Moranis

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This intentionally tanking idea is utter garbage and does not interest me at all.

Cleveland drafted LeBron, but he won a title with Miami.
Toronto drafted Bosh, he won a title with Miami

Lakers couldn't win a title with just Kobe, they needed Shaq and Gasol...both of whom came in trades and never won title with their original teams.

Chris Paul was drafted by the Hornets, if he wins a title it will be with the Clippers.

Pierce won his title in Boston where he was drafted, but they were a garbage lottery team until Danny swung a big deal to get Ray and KG over, while also masterfully drafting Rondo.

OKC have been one of the best success stories in this regard with Durant, Westbrook, Green and Harden.  Green and Harden have since moved on, while Durant and Westbrook still don't have a ring.

When Detroit got Wallace and Billups in trades

Indiana were great last year and a big part of that was David West, who they got in a trade.  They did well drafting Hibbert and George, but where's that ring?

Chicago drafted Derek Rose, no ring.

Portland drafted Greg Oden, Brandon Roy...where are they now?

About the ony team I can think of in recent history who genuinely won a title with great drafting as San Antonio, and that's it.

See the problem with this concept is that the only way a team typically gets a high lottery pick is by either:

a) trading way a very good player or
b) sucking royally

usually iit's the latter.  Now when a team sucks THAT bad, simply adding a future hall of fame calibre draft pick won't change that.  How long did it take the bulls to become good once they got Jordan? Or the Knicks when they got Ewing? Ir the rockets when they got Hakeem?

The only way that happens is if you get two insane draft successes very quickly (e.g.Shaq and Penny).

The next problem is because you are a crap team, no free agent wants to sign with you, no matter what crash hot rookie you just drafted...so you tend to suck for years while you draft multiple future stars (hopefully) and or gradually convince fr agents that you are a place worth coming.  OKC sucked for years before they saw this success, so did the bulls after Jordan left.

Because nobody wants to play for a crappy team what usually happens is two or three seasons later this superstar rookie gets sick of losing on a crappy team, gets offered a contract by a good team that has the potential to actually win some games, then walks.

Sure that star will probably end up contending at one point, but with another team. 

No thanks.
Shaq signed as a free agent in LA.  David West signed as a free agent.  Bosh and Lebron signed as free agents in Miami.  You need cap space to sign free agents and it helps if you have a nice young team there to add the free agent to.
2025 Historical Draft - Cleveland Cavaliers - 1st pick

Starters - Luka, JB, Lebron, Wemby, Shaq
Rotation - D. Daniels, Mitchell, G. Wallace, Melo, Noah
Deep Bench - Korver, Turner

Offline lightspeed5

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being a middle of the pack team is NBA purgatory. We need to suck and suck bad.

Offline LooseCannon

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being a middle of the pack team is NBA purgatory. We need to suck and suck bad.

Teams that end up being contenders usually spend at least a season or two in the middle of the pack.
"The worst thing that ever happened in sports was sports radio, and the internet is sports radio on steroids with lower IQs.” -- Brian Burke, former Toronto Maple Leafs senior adviser, at the 2013 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference

Offline lightspeed5

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being a middle of the pack team is NBA purgatory. We need to suck and suck bad.

Teams that end up being contenders usually spend at least a season or two in the middle of the pack.
but they started from the bottom....

Heat after shaq left were horrid... pick #2

OKC after ray allen left was horrid

the top 2 contenders were terrible for at least a season or 2

Offline tarheelsxxiii

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6. BUT ON THE OTHER HAND, sometimes, there is a year with MANY potential superduper stars at the top of the draft, and all indications are that this coming year is one of them.


The most superduper stars I've ever seen in one draft is four (that's if you count Chris Bosh and Carmelo Anthony as superduper stars) in the legendary 2003 draft.

People are getting carried away and predicting that there are upwards of six or seven franchise type talents in the 2014 draft.  With all due respect to these  high school kids, I think that's incredibly unlikely.

To do the "tank job" right, we would have to be one of the three worst teams in the league.  I don't think we have the "talent" for that.

Many potential super duper stars in one draft...
There have only been 2 in the league the past couple years.

If there were 6-7 franchise-type players in this draft, we would all know their names, nicknames, and mothers' names. I've seen four names thrown around, and 2 twins (that aren't Irving unless combined).
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Offline Celtics18

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being a middle of the pack team is NBA purgatory. We need to suck and suck bad.

Teams that end up being contenders usually spend at least a season or two in the middle of the pack.
but they started from the bottom....

Heat after shaq left were horrid... pick #2

OKC after ray allen left was horrid

the top 2 contenders were terrible for at least a season or 2

The Lakers count as a team that was dominant in the early 2000s, then sank to mediocre for three years before becoming top contenders again from '08 to '11. 

They've sunk back to mediocre, but chances are they'll find a way to get back up nearer the top before too long. 

DKC Seventy-Sixers:

PG: G. Hill/D. Schroder
SG: C. Lee/B. Hield/T. Luwawu
SF:  Giannis/J. Lamb/M. Kuzminskas
PF:  E. Ilyasova/J. Jerebko/R. Christmas
C:    N. Vucevic/K. Olynyk/E. Davis/C. Jefferson

Offline EDWARDO

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being a middle of the pack team is NBA purgatory. We need to suck and suck bad.

Teams that end up being contenders usually spend at least a season or two in the middle of the pack.
but they started from the bottom....

Heat after shaq left were horrid... pick #2

OKC after ray allen left was horrid

the top 2 contenders were terrible for at least a season or 2



The Lakers count as a team that was dominant in the early 2000s, then sank to mediocre for three years before becoming top contenders again from '08 to '11. 

They've sunk back to mediocre, but chances are they'll find a way to get back up nearer the top before too long.


Excellent point!!!!!

We can just follow that plan!!

1. Have one of the best 7 players of all-time......

HEY, wait a second here!! I SEE HOW THEY DID IT NOW!!!!

Offline Celtics18

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being a middle of the pack team is NBA purgatory. We need to suck and suck bad.

Teams that end up being contenders usually spend at least a season or two in the middle of the pack.
but they started from the bottom....

Heat after shaq left were horrid... pick #2

OKC after ray allen left was horrid

the top 2 contenders were terrible for at least a season or 2



The Lakers count as a team that was dominant in the early 2000s, then sank to mediocre for three years before becoming top contenders again from '08 to '11. 

They've sunk back to mediocre, but chances are they'll find a way to get back up nearer the top before too long.


Excellent point!!!!!

We can just follow that plan!!

1. Have one of the best 7 players of all-time......

HEY, wait a second here!! I SEE HOW THEY DID IT NOW!!!!

Are you calling Kobe Bryant one of the seven best players of all time?
 
DKC Seventy-Sixers:

PG: G. Hill/D. Schroder
SG: C. Lee/B. Hield/T. Luwawu
SF:  Giannis/J. Lamb/M. Kuzminskas
PF:  E. Ilyasova/J. Jerebko/R. Christmas
C:    N. Vucevic/K. Olynyk/E. Davis/C. Jefferson

Offline lightspeed5

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being a middle of the pack team is NBA purgatory. We need to suck and suck bad.

Teams that end up being contenders usually spend at least a season or two in the middle of the pack.
but they started from the bottom....

Heat after shaq left were horrid... pick #2

OKC after ray allen left was horrid

the top 2 contenders were terrible for at least a season or 2



The Lakers count as a team that was dominant in the early 2000s, then sank to mediocre for three years before becoming top contenders again from '08 to '11. 

They've sunk back to mediocre, but chances are they'll find a way to get back up nearer the top before too long.


Excellent point!!!!!

We can just follow that plan!!

1. Have one of the best 7 players of all-time......

HEY, wait a second here!! I SEE HOW THEY DID IT NOW!!!!

Are you calling Kobe Bryant one of the seven best players of all time?
hes up there

Offline Celtics18

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being a middle of the pack team is NBA purgatory. We need to suck and suck bad.

Teams that end up being contenders usually spend at least a season or two in the middle of the pack.
but they started from the bottom....

Heat after shaq left were horrid... pick #2

OKC after ray allen left was horrid

the top 2 contenders were terrible for at least a season or 2



The Lakers count as a team that was dominant in the early 2000s, then sank to mediocre for three years before becoming top contenders again from '08 to '11. 

They've sunk back to mediocre, but chances are they'll find a way to get back up nearer the top before too long.


Excellent point!!!!!

We can just follow that plan!!

1. Have one of the best 7 players of all-time......

HEY, wait a second here!! I SEE HOW THEY DID IT NOW!!!!

Are you calling Kobe Bryant one of the seven best players of all time?
hes up there

Pretty good for a 13th pick in the draft. 
DKC Seventy-Sixers:

PG: G. Hill/D. Schroder
SG: C. Lee/B. Hield/T. Luwawu
SF:  Giannis/J. Lamb/M. Kuzminskas
PF:  E. Ilyasova/J. Jerebko/R. Christmas
C:    N. Vucevic/K. Olynyk/E. Davis/C. Jefferson

Offline EDWARDO

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Around 7th. Let' say top 10 to be safe. As for being a 13th pick, yes amazing value. I touched on this earlier. KG and Kobe were the first HS players in 20 years to go pro right out of HD and the market did not value them at all correctly. What a mistake.

"I would say that in the case of Dirk, Kobe and KG it is 100% safe to say if they had done 1-2 years of college, they would EASILY have been the #1/2 overall picks and that the world has changed greatly since they were drafted. KG and Kobe were the FIRST PLAYERS IN 20 YEARS TO COME RIGHT OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL!    Where would they have been drafted after their freshman years?  No brainer top 1-2 picks.

Coming out of HS in 1995/96 was seen as far too risky for people to make them high picks, but people know now that its smart to draft HS kids because the best ones adjust quickly. And Dirk coming from Europe was a relative unknown. If any of these guys had done 1-2 years at Kansas, UNC, Duke, wherever, they were sure fire #1/2 overall picks."

Let's not pretend that top #1 options on title teams are going to be there at 13. KG, Kobe, Dirk came out and teams valued them wrong. Kids go to college now and foreign players are scouted extremely well and are no longer undervalued.
« Last Edit: July 14, 2013, 11:13:54 PM by EDWARDO »