Author Topic: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)  (Read 108723 times)

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Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #210 on: February 29, 2012, 02:59:41 PM »

Offline indeedproceed

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So you believe that Amare Stoudemire didn't bring significant value to the Phoenix Suns and NYK?

I believe that there's enough data to support that he might not bring as much value as one might think. I know that sounds like an on the fence answer, but I guess that's where I am.

I've seen him dominate games and play incredible. But there's certainly some evidence to support that the pluses might not outweigh the negatives. Even with a strong supporting cast, if he's as elite as we seem to think, you'd think that there would be a bigger impact overall.



So the Suns losing 14 more games the year after he left, and the Knicks gaining (who were the other major changes?), and the Knicks gaining 13 games after his arrival doesn't carry any weight?

The 'evidence' Nick listed was the season he missed when he was 23, and a down year for the Suns where he only played in 53 of 82 games (possible contributing to the 'down' nature of the year?).

I don't see that as any kind of proof. Amare left a team while he was in his prime where he was the high scorer, and leader in minutes played, and the next season they fall from a 3rd seed to the lottery.

I just don't even get how this is a 'thing'.

"You've gotta respect a 15-percent 3-point shooter. A guy
like that is always lethal." - Evan 'The God' Turner

Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #211 on: February 29, 2012, 03:03:31 PM »

Online Roy H.

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So, Cavs vs. Hawks.  Let's do this.

("This" being an analysis that ends in "Cavs in four".  Rondo can't contain Irving.)


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Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #212 on: February 29, 2012, 03:11:01 PM »

Offline StartOrien

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Thunder - Clippers

On the surface this should be an absolute blow out. The scoring differential on the wings should honestly be about 50 points: Those wings won't be able to stop, nor counter the Sonics wings in any manner.

Blake and Scola should mostly counter each other, Blake might get the edge just because I think CP3 would force the pace and that could create a lot of easy baskets for Blake against a relatively slow Sonic front court. But Scola's still going to get his, and he should be able to get some help with great spacing.

And that should be it, but... the Clippers have Chris Paul. And you know, he's Chris Paul. He'll find ways to win.

Thunder 4, Chris Paul 2

------

Out of curiosity, would anyone else have selected DeAndre Jordan over Blake? Obviously Blake's the better talent, but I think it might've been easier to build around DeAndre and CP3.

Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #213 on: February 29, 2012, 03:15:09 PM »

Offline nickagneta

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So you believe that Amare Stoudemire didn't bring significant value to the Phoenix Suns and NYK?

I believe that there's enough data to support that he might not bring as much value as one might think. I know that sounds like an on the fence answer, but I guess that's where I am.

I've seen him dominate games and play incredible. But there's certainly some evidence to support that the pluses might not outweigh the negatives. Even with a strong supporting cast, if he's as elite as we seem to think, you'd think that there would be a bigger impact overall.



So the Suns losing 14 more games the year after he left, and the Knicks gaining (who were the other major changes?), and the Knicks gaining 13 games after his arrival doesn't carry any weight?

The 'evidence' Nick listed was the season he missed when he was 23, and a down year for the Suns where he only played in 53 of 82 games (possible contributing to the 'down' nature of the year?).

I don't see that as any kind of proof. Amare left a team while he was in his prime where he was the high scorer, and leader in minutes played, and the next season they fall from a 3rd seed to the lottery.

I just don't even get how this is a 'thing'.
That year he played 53 games they were 30-23 when he played and 16-13 when he didn't, a difference of 1 percentage point. That year is actually an excellent indicator of what a group of talent does with him on the team and without.

Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #214 on: February 29, 2012, 03:16:57 PM »

Offline StartOrien

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Quote
So you believe that Amare Stoudemire didn't bring significant value to the Phoenix Suns and NYK?

I believe that there's enough data to support that he might not bring as much value as one might think. I know that sounds like an on the fence answer, but I guess that's where I am.

I've seen him dominate games and play incredible. But there's certainly some evidence to support that the pluses might not outweigh the negatives. Even with a strong supporting cast, if he's as elite as we seem to think, you'd think that there would be a bigger impact overall.



So the Suns losing 14 more games the year after he left, and the Knicks gaining (who were the other major changes?), and the Knicks gaining 13 games after his arrival doesn't carry any weight?

The 'evidence' Nick listed was the season he missed when he was 23, and a down year for the Suns where he only played in 53 of 82 games (possible contributing to the 'down' nature of the year?).

I don't see that as any kind of proof. Amare left a team while he was in his prime where he was the high scorer, and leader in minutes played, and the next season they fall from a 3rd seed to the lottery.

I just don't even get how this is a 'thing'.

I think you could argue that the examples are extreme:

Amare, as well as Ronny Turiaf joined an absolutely pathetic Knicks front court, and the Suns replaced Amare with Hakim Warrick and Josh Childress.

I know what you're saying, but I think you could also make the argument that even an average PF would have similar effects here.

Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #215 on: February 29, 2012, 03:17:22 PM »

Offline nickagneta

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Love that Cav play Hawks and the question mark for the Cavs is Irving and last night he torched Rondo, a game that I am guessing most who visit this site witnessed.

Timing is everything in life.

Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #216 on: February 29, 2012, 03:23:16 PM »

Offline StartOrien

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Love that Cav play Hawks and the question mark for the Cavs is Irving and last night he torched Rondo, a game that I am guessing most who visit this site witnessed.

Timing is everything in life.

SAMPLE SIZE

 ;)

Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #217 on: February 29, 2012, 03:23:45 PM »

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Out of curiosity, would anyone else have selected DeAndre Jordan over Blake? Obviously Blake's the better talent, but I think it might've been easier to build around DeAndre and CP3.

I'd be pretty shocked if you are not alone on that one.

Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #218 on: February 29, 2012, 03:24:01 PM »

Offline indeedproceed

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So you believe that Amare Stoudemire didn't bring significant value to the Phoenix Suns and NYK?

I believe that there's enough data to support that he might not bring as much value as one might think. I know that sounds like an on the fence answer, but I guess that's where I am.

I've seen him dominate games and play incredible. But there's certainly some evidence to support that the pluses might not outweigh the negatives. Even with a strong supporting cast, if he's as elite as we seem to think, you'd think that there would be a bigger impact overall.



So the Suns losing 14 more games the year after he left, and the Knicks gaining (who were the other major changes?), and the Knicks gaining 13 games after his arrival doesn't carry any weight?

The 'evidence' Nick listed was the season he missed when he was 23, and a down year for the Suns where he only played in 53 of 82 games (possible contributing to the 'down' nature of the year?).

I don't see that as any kind of proof. Amare left a team while he was in his prime where he was the high scorer, and leader in minutes played, and the next season they fall from a 3rd seed to the lottery.

I just don't even get how this is a 'thing'.
That year he played 53 games they were 30-23 when he played and 16-13 when he didn't, a difference of 1 percentage point. That year is actually an excellent indicator of what a group of talent does with him on the team and without.

That's a valid point (I did same math when i was making my initial rebuttal), but it doesn't factor what they could've done with a full season of Amare as well. Was it a weak portion of the schedule? Would they have won more games?

And it still doesn't support your theory that he's Derrick Coleman, and its only 1 year out of 6 full seasons of elite contention and elite performance from STAT, and you're pointing to a 23 game sample of 'what they could've done without him'.

Still, doesn't hold water. Not against the larger sample size of Stat's excellence, not against the rapid decline of the Suns when he was out the entire year.

Its like pointing to the 08-09 Celtics and saying that KG didn't make an impact because they went 17-9 without him, or that they could sustain that pace over an entire season if he was never there. (Actually the second statment is more similar, because the Celtics were 45-11 with KG in the lineup)

"You've gotta respect a 15-percent 3-point shooter. A guy
like that is always lethal." - Evan 'The God' Turner

Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #219 on: February 29, 2012, 03:25:44 PM »

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Relative to his fellow star players, Amare Stoudemire is not a dominant player.

2nd or 3rd best player on a high quality team. Not capable of leading a squad to anything of significance.

Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #220 on: February 29, 2012, 03:26:53 PM »

Online Roy H.

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------

Out of curiosity, would anyone else have selected DeAndre Jordan over Blake? Obviously Blake's the better talent, but I think it might've been easier to build around DeAndre and CP3.

No way.  Blake is a monster, Jordan is a decent but flawed player.  Now, I would have liked to see Bahku add a better center; I probably would have taken Batum in the first, and Pekovic in the second, but there were other options out there (Perk, Haywood, etc.)

I think you've got to go with elite front end talent, rather than "fit", when you're choosing your teams. 


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Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #221 on: February 29, 2012, 03:28:35 PM »

Offline indeedproceed

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So you believe that Amare Stoudemire didn't bring significant value to the Phoenix Suns and NYK?

I believe that there's enough data to support that he might not bring as much value as one might think. I know that sounds like an on the fence answer, but I guess that's where I am.

I've seen him dominate games and play incredible. But there's certainly some evidence to support that the pluses might not outweigh the negatives. Even with a strong supporting cast, if he's as elite as we seem to think, you'd think that there would be a bigger impact overall.



So the Suns losing 14 more games the year after he left, and the Knicks gaining (who were the other major changes?), and the Knicks gaining 13 games after his arrival doesn't carry any weight?

The 'evidence' Nick listed was the season he missed when he was 23, and a down year for the Suns where he only played in 53 of 82 games (possible contributing to the 'down' nature of the year?).

I don't see that as any kind of proof. Amare left a team while he was in his prime where he was the high scorer, and leader in minutes played, and the next season they fall from a 3rd seed to the lottery.

I just don't even get how this is a 'thing'.

I think you could argue that the examples are extreme:

Amare, as well as Ronny Turiaf joined an absolutely pathetic Knicks front court, and the Suns replaced Amare with Hakim Warrick and Josh Childress.

I know what you're saying, but I think you could also make the argument that even an average PF would have similar effects here.

Hakim Warrick yr before Suns: 15.7 PER
First yr with Suns: 16.51 PER

League Average: 15.0

Hakim Warrick: Average PF.

"You've gotta respect a 15-percent 3-point shooter. A guy
like that is always lethal." - Evan 'The God' Turner

Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #222 on: February 29, 2012, 03:29:59 PM »

Offline indeedproceed

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Relative to his fellow star players, Amare Stoudemire is not a dominant player.

2nd or 3rd best player on a high quality team. Not capable of leading a squad to anything of significance.

I'm okay with that. I think Amare could be the most talented player on a championship caliber team (cuz he was), and as long as the identity there allows him to play to his strengths they'd be fine.

I'm just sayin Amare ain't no Derrick Coleman.

"You've gotta respect a 15-percent 3-point shooter. A guy
like that is always lethal." - Evan 'The God' Turner

Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #223 on: February 29, 2012, 03:33:58 PM »

Offline StartOrien

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So you believe that Amare Stoudemire didn't bring significant value to the Phoenix Suns and NYK?

I believe that there's enough data to support that he might not bring as much value as one might think. I know that sounds like an on the fence answer, but I guess that's where I am.

I've seen him dominate games and play incredible. But there's certainly some evidence to support that the pluses might not outweigh the negatives. Even with a strong supporting cast, if he's as elite as we seem to think, you'd think that there would be a bigger impact overall.



So the Suns losing 14 more games the year after he left, and the Knicks gaining (who were the other major changes?), and the Knicks gaining 13 games after his arrival doesn't carry any weight?

The 'evidence' Nick listed was the season he missed when he was 23, and a down year for the Suns where he only played in 53 of 82 games (possible contributing to the 'down' nature of the year?).

I don't see that as any kind of proof. Amare left a team while he was in his prime where he was the high scorer, and leader in minutes played, and the next season they fall from a 3rd seed to the lottery.

I just don't even get how this is a 'thing'.

I think you could argue that the examples are extreme:

Amare, as well as Ronny Turiaf joined an absolutely pathetic Knicks front court, and the Suns replaced Amare with Hakim Warrick and Josh Childress.

I know what you're saying, but I think you could also make the argument that even an average PF would have similar effects here.

Hakim Warrick yr before Suns: 15.7 PER
First yr with Suns: 16.51 PER

League Average: 15.0

Hakim Warrick: Average PF.

You could send me every stat in the world, there's no chance I will accept Hakim Warrick as an average power forward.

Re: IP Ranks The Pick-Two Teams By Divison (All Divisions Are Up)
« Reply #224 on: February 29, 2012, 03:34:54 PM »

Online Roy H.

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If anybody should appreciate Irving, it's Celtics fans.

He's averaging 22.7 points, 5.0 assists, 3.0 rebounds, 56.8% shooting, and 71.4% 3PT shooting against us.  All in 32.7 minutes per game.

Also, I like Amare.  If you put him on our team, and slid KG over to the center position, we easily win the title this year in my mind.  He's a guy who needs good players around him, but I think if slotted properly he could be a big piece on a championship team.


I'M THE SILVERBACK GORILLA IN THIS MOTHER——— AND DON'T NONE OF YA'LL EVER FORGET IT!@ 34 minutes