Been lurking for a while, had to jump in here. No way a LeBron team gets swept when no one on the opposing team can stop him from doing whatever he pleases. Jefferson gets zero help defense from those bigs.
SA definitely takes the series, LeBron takes 1 game by himself, maaaaybe two.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_NBA_Finals
A lot has changed in five years, and while I respect the stats you showed displaying Lebron's - let's say lack of success - I still say he steals a game in this series.
Yeah he's just a more efficent player now, and up against a Spurs team that doesn't have the defensive grit (i.e. Bowen) that it had back then.
A surrounding rotation of Big Z/Sideshow/Gooden/Pavs/Hughes/Gibson/Damon Jones/Eric Snow
vs
Mullens/Landry/Big Baby/Battier/Reddick/S. Brown/Collison/Blake
The two surrounding casts actually seem eerily familiar...like, so familiar that i almost feel some sympathy for Bron Bron again.
I think that Cavs Finals team is significantly better. This is 5 yrs ago Big Z, when he was at his best. A real post-presence, especially defensively. Also, that was Gooden's breakout year (he got paid after that IIRC), and Larry Hughes's last run at respectability.
I'm not sure about "significantly."
Hughes was still respectable, but he was playing waaay too many minutes for what he could still do. I think Reddick is a better fit compared to 06/07 Hughes, though admittedly i'm not sure how Hughes looked defensively. Add Battier to the mix and that should be even, if not an edge for the Suns.
And i'll take Collison/Brown/Blake over the rest of the CLE backcourt hands down. Eric Snow.
'06 Gooden/Verajao vs Landry/Davis is pretty close really, but Verajao's defense gives the edge to CLE.
The Big mismatch is Z vs Mullins. Yes Mullins can start for the worst team in the NBA, but he doesn't belong next to Lebron.
The center position alone makes this an edge CLE, but i don't think it's by a huge margin.