Perkins is not worth more than the full MLE. The fact is that he has barely improved, if at all, since he signed his last contract. If Miami signs him, I can't say I'll be disappointed. Perkins is not rebuilding material.
Of course he's improved since he signed his contract. That's nonsense. Put him on the Heat and their biggest weakness goes away. They'd be much less vulnerable than they are (or might be) now.
I agree completely. While I am not sure he is the best fit as a building block for the C's going forward (beyond the next 1-2 years), because his next contract will likely be too big to fit in their plans (may not be the case after the injury though)
Perk isn't a building block but he's a useful piece, if you know what I mean. When we're rebuilding around Rondo and we still have PP for 2 years we'll need to replace Ray and KG. That's *much* easier than trying to replace Ray, KG and Perk.
Agreed. My point was that its all about the price. If its at $5-6 million per year, great. If it is 8-10 million per year, then suddenly he needs to be more than just a "useful piece". But, hopefully the injury will keep him in the C's range to hold on to him.
Which asks another question.
Do you open negotiations with Perk this summer for an extension? Perk may be more amenable to taking a reasonably contract extension now (something like 3/$20M). While he's rehabbing, the value of long-term security may be more valuable to Perk than a couple extra million per year.
If he comes back and plays well, I don't see how he signs for anything less than $8M or $9M annually. I wouldn't be shocked to see him get something like 5/$50M. He may not be WORTH that much, but if there's one thing you can guarantee is that NBA GMs will overpay for big men.
I don't think Danny wants to even go there - he wants as much 2012 flexibility as he can get - but do you take a chance on re-signing Perk when his value might be depressed?
Or, are they planning on watching him walk?
I would rather wait to see if Perkins can make a full recovery from his injury.
Being stuck with a less effective Perk at $7 million per year + Pierce's contract would make rebuilding overly difficult.
I think the downside -- if Perk can't get back to his best -- outweighs the advantage of getting him at a lower price.
I agree. Unless he is willing to take a huge discount (like 4-5 million per year)...which I doubt he is...the best bet is to wait it out. Chances are his agent is not going to let him take a huge discount this summer, and given the possibility of the lockout next summer, and the new CBA, there just is too much risk to sign him now.
Worst case scenario, they sign and trade him and get a large trade exception.
Most likely though, I think he will come back, and not have enough time to fully prove his worth, so he will resign to a 2-3 year deal at reasonable money (5-6 million per), hoping to make big money on his next deal.
I'm fine either way - extend him, or wait it out - but I would be absolutely flabbergasted if Perk signs next summer for something like 3/$18. That's basically what Brad Miller and Darko got this summer.
Perk (and his agent) aren't going to be waiting for his big payday any longer. Perk's young, but he's been in the league a while, he's solidly in his prime. He's had enough injury concerns (with things like knees, that can be problematic long-term) where I'm not sure he can count on still being an effective player well into his thirties. Kind of makes me think of JO, who came right from high school even though he didn't play a lot initially, but had some injury issues and now he's seen his career slow down in his early 30s. THIS is the contract for Perk to get paid.
Unless Perk comes back and is totally ineffective, I just think the numbers you're bandying about are extremely optimistic.
Of course, with the new CBA, all bets are off.
Topic: Miami Fans reaction to Shaq signing - Feel this means they'll get Perk next year (Read 22754 times)