Author Topic: would you bring back house , pj brown and offer posey something better??  (Read 34899 times)

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Offline D Dub

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Everyone seems to think PJ is going to retire after we win.I see it a little different.I think that there is more likelyhood that he will be back if we win.Also if we draft a center,I think he will be an excellent mentor.He also play,s a very controlled concise and smart game.I would like to see House back but there are so many players that have his type of game.That he could end up being a victim of numbers.Sam will find a home some where just not in Boston.Posey i hope they find a way to keep him here for the next 2/3 years but i have a funny feeling teams will be overpaying for his services.

will no one ever learn?  PJ has played about as awful as someone can play this postseason. Need proof? Check out the "Ray Allen for MVP" post linked today and see the Wins Contribution chart:  http://bucksdiary.blogspot.com/2008/06/ray-allen-is-runaway-mvp-of-these.html

He's washed up. He's done.  Removing him so Doc can't have an "experience hunch" is a huge positive for this team.

I guarantee that if we had PJ all year and he played ~17mpg like he has been, taking Powe's minutes, we would have won about 4 less games. 

And had he not been on the playoff roster, we would maybe have won 4 less post season games. 

He should be signed and used like Detroit used Hunter this year.  Let him sit out 80% of the regular season, and lace em up come playoff time.  Why not? 

Offline cmoney

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how can you say that with Powe racking up so many DNPs?  PJ has been absolutely ABYSMAL this entire postseason. He had 1 or 2 "solid" games against Cleveland, largely because their bigs suck.  He's slow, an offensive zero (which for some reason everyone ignores like it's totally OK to have someone who offers nothing on the offensive end), and he's rebounding at a pathetic rate (like between 3-4 per 36mins, which is just awful for a PF/C). 

I just can't understand how anyone with half a brain can support PJ Brown.  The numbers don't lie.  We give up a ton of ground when he's on the floor.

Offline cmoney

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I sort of expect House to walk, to be honest.  He might get better offers and Doc completely screwed him over.  Why would he want to come back so it could possibly happen again?  He's largely just a journeyman and he can't afford to not play.  Every year he needs playing time so another team will line up to sign his next contract.

Offline guava_wrench

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how can you say that with Powe racking up so many DNPs?  PJ has been absolutely ABYSMAL this entire postseason. He had 1 or 2 "solid" games against Cleveland, largely because their bigs suck.  He's slow, an offensive zero (which for some reason everyone ignores like it's totally OK to have someone who offers nothing on the offensive end), and he's rebounding at a pathetic rate (like between 3-4 per 36mins, which is just awful for a PF/C). 

I just can't understand how anyone with half a brain can support PJ Brown.  The numbers don't lie.  We give up a ton of ground when he's on the floor.

I can't understand how anyone with half a brain could use the phrase "The numbers don't lie."

Offline juice104

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I can not believe people are talking so much junk about PJ and barely anyone is defending him. You must not watch any games if you dont see PJ playing great d and getting important rebounds. He has been great and if he doesnt retire we certainly need him to win number 18.


sorry i miss urs Redz. Edgar. i deleted the last one. :)thanks-redz
« Last Edit: June 14, 2008, 11:16:38 PM by Redz »

Offline guava_wrench

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Everyone seems to think PJ is going to retire after we win.I see it a little different.I think that there is more likelyhood that he will be back if we win.Also if we draft a center,I think he will be an excellent mentor.He also play,s a very controlled concise and smart game.I would like to see House back but there are so many players that have his type of game.That he could end up being a victim of numbers.Sam will find a home some where just not in Boston.Posey i hope they find a way to keep him here for the next 2/3 years but i have a funny feeling teams will be overpaying for his services.

will no one ever learn?  PJ has played about as awful as someone can play this postseason. Need proof? Check out the "Ray Allen for MVP" post linked today and see the Wins Contribution chart:  http://bucksdiary.blogspot.com/2008/06/ray-allen-is-runaway-mvp-of-these.html

Don't put too much weight in that statistical analysis. It clearly overrates offense over defense.

Our regular season average win score is 48.7, far lower than the Lakers' 56.7.

There is too much that happens in Basketball that has no stats attached. This is not baseball.

Offline rondofan1255

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I'm not a huge fan of stat sheets either, and I usually don't look at box scores unless the Celtics lose by a lot, or certain players are said to have played "horribly."

Anyways, I like PJ (including how he plays), and statistics don't really show most of what he brings...

Therefore, I am against all this PJ bashing.

Offline Last Train

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I'll believe PJ played bad when you show me a stat that includes denying the ball and that he has a bad rating. I doubt you can.

Offline cmoney

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Quote
Don't put too much weight in that statistical analysis. It clearly overrates offense over defense.

agreed.  However, you can't ignore offense, either.  You need to be a very elite defender, along the lines of Bowen or Ben Wallace circa '04, to overcome such offensive woefulness.  Furthermore, these metrics have a pretty solid track record.  Yes, there are sample size issues, but it's not like PJ was great during the season, either, or the past 2 years for that matter.  You can whine all day about flawed metrics this, watch the games that, but the truth is there are some pretty obvious trends in PJ's play.  For some reason Celtics fans are in love with guys who can't play but are old and slow, starting with Greg Kite in the 80s, moving on to Joe Kleine, and now PJ frickin Brown.

Look, I'm used to ignoramuses who just balk at the notion that stats can mean anything.  But here's the thing.. I also watch the games.  I probably watch more basketball than 90% of this forum, on the order of 250 games a year.  I know good defense when I see it.  PJ ain't it.   

How is PJ playing great D?  He got LIT UP against Detroit. The only time 'Sheed was effective (besides that one game he nailed 6 3s) was when PJ guarded him.  He was slow as balls on rotations.  He never got out to McDyess on time.  He was very, very bad.  Against LA, he's been equally as bad.  In game 3 he made that critical error of giving Gasol a passing lane after a great defensive stand.   He had to foul him to prevent the layup.  He mauled him on the next possession (the one where Gasol hurled it over the backcourt) but got away with it.  In the 4th Q of game 4, he let Rony Turiaf of all people pin him under the basket, who Kobe passed to and PJ fouled since he had no chance of defending the shot. 

And nobody can deny he's rebounding like a little girly man out there (6.3/36min, well below his career #s).  He was especially bad versus detroit (something like 4 per 36/min.. i.e. worse than Ray Allen, Rondo, Pierce, etc).   And he's a foul machine, averaging 5/36min this season (it's gone up steadily since about 3 years ago, a sure sign of aging and less effective play).  In the playoffs it's even worse, averaging 5.9/36min.  Low rebound rates, high foul rates, and absurdly bad +/- numbers are all very clear signs of bad defense. 

Want more?  From 82games, his season production:  http://www.82games.com/0708/playoffs/07BOS10D.HTM.  Boston defense is an absurd +5.6/100possessions with him on the floor. 

Quote
I'll believe PJ played bad when you show me a stat that includes denying the ball and that he has a bad rating. I doubt you can.

? What?  Listen, math hater.  The onus is on you.  Every single metric on the frickin' planet points to the fact that the Celtics really, really struggle with PJ on the floor.  EVEN DEFENSIVELY.  Even if he's the world's best ball denier (not sure where you pulled that from, nor do I think there's any real truth to it), basketball is about a lot freaking more than ball denial.  It's a 5 man game and there's two ends of the floor.  When you absolutely can't score a quarter as efficiently as guys like Powe or even Glen Davis and you're slow on rotations and not crashing the glass, you're hurting your team.  End of story.

PJ is an OK guy to have in case of foul trouble or injuries (like we've had).  He's not a good first big man option off the bench.  Or a 20mpg game.  He's just not.   I mean, it's nice you all "like him".. I too have bad players I like for whatever reason (Ricky Davis!).. but right now I care a whole lot less about liking guys and whole lot more about winning.   We already got pretty lucky when PJ had an awesome game 2.  Let's stop rolling the dice (sorta like we did in game 4.. all of our runs came with him off the floor). 

And please Cs just win game 5 and let PJ ride off into the sunset after finally winning a trophy. 

Offline biggs1221

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My concern is that Eddie House won't want to resign here because he was yanked around throughout the playoffs after a successful regular season.  These guys have a lot of pride, and I'd bet he feels a bit disrespected.  Of course, tne fact that he was yanked around and still remained a good teamate, and that he has played great against cleveland and LA after riding the pine, makes me hope even more that the C's keep him.   

Offline Last Train

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I just used denying the ball as a random example. I like stats as much as anyone, but there are a lot of things you do on the court that don't get recorded and don't tell the whole story. That is what we have eyes for. If a guy deflects a pass and it remains the other team's ball but he ruined the rhythm of the possession, you would never know it by looking at the stat sheet. I'm not even a big PJ guy, but I think he has played fine. Certainly not a big liability. I'm just saying tell me why you feel like you do based on what you see, not what you read.

Offline Last Train

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My concern is that Eddie House won't want to resign here because he was yanked around throughout the playoffs after a successful regular season.  These guys have a lot of pride, and I'd bet he feels a bit disrespected.  Of course, tne fact that he was yanked around and still remained a good teamate, and that he has played great against cleveland and LA after riding the pine, makes me hope even more that the C's keep him.   


I'm think you might be right about this.

Offline cmoney

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I just used denying the ball as a random example. I like stats as much as anyone, but there are a lot of things you do on the court that don't get recorded and don't tell the whole story. That is what we have eyes for. If a guy deflects a pass and it remains the other team's ball but he ruined the rhythm of the possession, you would never know it by looking at the stat sheet. I'm not even a big PJ guy, but I think he has played fine. Certainly not a big liability. I'm just saying tell me why you feel like you do based on what you see, not what you read.

not sure what you're watching, but when I watch PJ, I see a guy who isn't crashing the glass, isn't even JUMPING for rebounds, committing bail out fouls, and offering us zero offense.  You make it sound like I watch the games, am really thrilled with what I see, and then go read about how awful he is and change my mind.  Quite the contrary.  I watch, get really annoyed by how poorly he is playing (especially his failure to crash the glass), then later check the #s to see if it was really as bad as I thought.  And it usually is.

I would LOVE PJ if he got ~5-10 min a night.  He's not a bad guy if you need a warm body to help protect a lead while your starters rest.  But that's not how he's being used.  Doc routinely has played him in key minutes over Perk and Powe, 2 flat out better players.  That's my concern. 

Offline Last Train

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I just used denying the ball as a random example. I like stats as much as anyone, but there are a lot of things you do on the court that don't get recorded and don't tell the whole story. That is what we have eyes for. If a guy deflects a pass and it remains the other team's ball but he ruined the rhythm of the possession, you would never know it by looking at the stat sheet. I'm not even a big PJ guy, but I think he has played fine. Certainly not a big liability. I'm just saying tell me why you feel like you do based on what you see, not what you read.

not sure what you're watching, but when I watch PJ, I see a guy who isn't crashing the glass, isn't even JUMPING for rebounds, committing bail out fouls, and offering us zero offense.  You make it sound like I watch the games, am really thrilled with what I see, and then go read about how awful he is and change my mind.  Quite the contrary.  I watch, get really annoyed by how poorly he is playing (especially his failure to crash the glass), then later check the #s to see if it was really as bad as I thought.  And it usually is.

I would LOVE PJ if he got ~5-10 min a night.  He's not a bad guy if you need a warm body to help protect a lead while your starters rest.  But that's not how he's being used.  Doc routinely has played him in key minutes over Perk and Powe, 2 flat out better players.  That's my concern. 


Fair enough. I'd rather see Powe most of the time also. But I do think PJ has gotten better as we've gone. He was really bad when he first joined the team, and I think he has improved. The lack of Powe sometimes is amazing...

Offline bucknersrevenge

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I just used denying the ball as a random example. I like stats as much as anyone, but there are a lot of things you do on the court that don't get recorded and don't tell the whole story. That is what we have eyes for. If a guy deflects a pass and it remains the other team's ball but he ruined the rhythm of the possession, you would never know it by looking at the stat sheet. I'm not even a big PJ guy, but I think he has played fine. Certainly not a big liability. I'm just saying tell me why you feel like you do based on what you see, not what you read.

exactly. is pj brown the greatest backup center ever? no. but i disagree completely with the assertion hes been hurting us so badly out there. do i think he should be back? no. and he probably wont wanna be if we win anyway. hes 38 and with a ring he probably feel comfortable hanging it up but hes had his moments where hes helped during the finals. are the numbers great? no. but he has made a number of timely big plays be it rebounds to keep a possession a live, making a good defensive play or even scoring a big basket. his experience and toughness out there has meant a bunch to this team. fans see it, writers see it, and most importantly of all celtics players and doc see it. and leading 3-1 in a series where perk has been largely ineffective im sorry that trumps most numerical data. i dont look at just him. i see the summation of the parts(brown, posey, powe) all coming off the bench to play in the frontcourt and pick up perkins. he hasnt been superb but hes played his role when called on and thats all you can ask.
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