I saw on another site that the Nets have the 2nd-best betting odds to win the East, behind the Bucks. To me that's crazy and I think it's evidence that people are locked into imagining the Nets as what they were last year, not this year.
It's not just that they no longer have Harden. It's that they no longer have Harden AND a number of important role players that they had last year.
For instance, Joe Harris shot 48% from 3 last year and had an eFG of 65% during the regular season. He was a major part of what they did offsensively, and even played decent defense by his own standards. He played 37 min per game in the semifinals vs the Bucks.
Moreover, Jeff Green played 27 mpg in that series and averaged 10 ppg. Landry Shamet and Mike James (who was an underrated part of that team last year) played about 16 mpg each. None of those guys is an all-star, but the Nets would kill to have those guys in their supporting cast right now.
By contrast, at this point the Nets are playing the following players who were not on the team last year significant minutes: Seth Curry, Andre Drummond, Kessler Edwards, Nick Claxton, Patty Mills, Lamarcus Aldridge, Goran Dragic, David Duke. With the exception of Curry, who hasn't integrated particularly well since coming over from the Sixers, and possibly Patty Mills, who isn't what he once was, none of those guys is a good role player. And even in the case of Curry and Mills, we are talking about good shooters/floor spacers who are major defensive liabilities. (Please do not tell me Aldridge and Dragic are good role players. This is 2022, not 2017.)
Lastly: A number of people have asked "What happened to Steve Nash?" His coaching doesn't seem to be what it was a year ago. Well, the answer is simple: they lost a number of key assistant coaches, including Mike D'Antoni and Ime Udoka. This is hugely underrated.
Folks, the Celtics can and will win a 1st round series against the Nets. (It's not a cakewalk to beat the Cavs in the play-in, by the way.) This is a different Nets team from what many of us have lingering in our minds from last year.