Collins. Collins and TL would wreak havoc. No one would dare stand near the rim or follow the rolling big. The rebounding and defense would be impressive. Now with White here the team should set up easier buckets for the bigs. Unlike Grant, Collins is dunking the ball if given point blank shots.
I actually think the defense would get worse by subbing in Collins for Horford. Collins isn't a very good defender or shot blocker. Or at least, he isn't as good as Horford is in those areas.
Very true. And Al has been the unsung hero of the Celtics' outstanding team defense this year.
I would also add that Al is much better at moving the ball and playing a team game on offense. Maybe if Collins would get more touches he would also give up the ball more often. Al's Ast% is almost double John's: 17.7% vs. 9.3%. That's already indicative, but in the big picture Al's game is just more team-oriented on offense.
Looking at the bigger picture for the Celtics, is John Collins a good complement to The Two Jays®? I have to say I'm doubtful, as efficient a scorer as he is - and it's an awful lot of money.
He would become the only true big that can both pick and roll and pick and pop at successful rates. Horford hasn't been able to do both successfully at all this year.
That's a good observation. I'd say that time has been good to Al Horford, on the whole, but even he can't do what he once did. In his last stint in Boston, .242 of his shots were at the rim and .281 were threes; so far this year the split is .164 at the rim and .422 from the arc - one indication among many that his game has evolved to a more complementary role.
His rebounding is also better than Al's, more so defensively.
Let me give you better numbers - wherever you're getting this.
Defensive Rebound % controls for possessions played and available rebounds; so far this year John Collins is at 21.2% and Al Horford at 21.9%. Neither of those numbers would have you call the player a rebounder; those are very modest numbers for a big.
It would take a sustained string of games of drastically changed production to flip those stats. It's fair to say that Al is a modestly better defensive rebounder than John.
An off-season trade centered around Collins for Smart would make the most sense for both teams.
Except that Marcus Smart
is not going anywhere.