From ESPN today. They feel Walker is more appealing. Link and full article below
http://www.espn.com/nba/insider/story/_/id/26387828/buy-sell-kemba-better-free-agent-target-kyrieBuy or sell: Kemba Walker is a better free-agent target than Kyrie IrvingAt the end of the season, Irving will become a free agent. Though he said before the season that he anticipated re-signing with the Celtics, he has since left the door open to the possibility that he could sign elsewhere. This makes him one of the most coveted free agents on the market, tied in rumors to every major market team with cap space from the East to the West.
But when you take a step back, is Irving even the best point guard prospect in the 2019 free-agent class? Is it possible that Walker could actually be a better target?
Irving is an electric guard, combining incredible ballhandling ability with an excellent jump shot and a fearless attitude to make him one of the highest impact offensive players in the league. Walker has a very similar set of skills, though, and utilizes them to similar effect. A perusal of their stylistic approaches to the game -- and how effective they are -- speaks to what they would bring to a new team.
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Irving and Walker are both among the best in the NBA as ballhandlers in screens. The pick-and-roll is one of the most difficult plays to defend in basketball, and a masterful operator of the set imbalances defenses, creates open looks and finishes at a high clip to put pressure on the entire opposing unit. Per Second Spectrum data, Irving has utilized 18.7 direct picks per game (18th most in NBA) since joining the Celtics. He has generated 1.06 points per pick directly ending in a shot or assist opportunity, tied for the second-best mark in the NBA. Walker actually runs the set more often, utilizing 25.9 direct picks per game (fourth in NBA) at a similar efficiency (1.05 points per direct pick).
Both are also excellent at breaking down defenses off the dribble. Irving has generated 1.15 points per direct drive during the past two seasons (tied for first among players with at least 500 drives) on 9.6 direct drives per game, per Second Spectrum. Walker has generated 1.08 points per direct drive on 10.6 drives per game. Although Irving was slightly more efficient, Walker's aggressiveness has generated more foul shots (7.5 vs. 6.0 per 100 possessions).
One area in which Irving has had a clear advantage is with his jumper, particularly when operating off the ball. Walker has a great jump shot, but Irving's has been better. These numbers do require some context, as Irving has played with more offensively talented teammates. Considering how similar their percentages are when working off the dribble, it is possible that some of Irving's advantages in the two catch-and-shoot categories could come from better spacing and more attention paid to teammates.
Moving beyond the stylistic comparison, Walker acquits himself very well against Irving in overall offensive impact. A review of offensive real plus minus (ORPM) over the past two seasons indicates that Walker and Irving have been very similar, with the slight advantage to Walker. Irving currently ranks ninth in the NBA with an ORPM of plus-3.9, which indicates that his presence on the floor has correlated with an improvement of 3.9 points per 100 possessions in the Celtics' offense. Walker is right there ahead of him, ranking eighth in the NBA with an ORPM of plus-4.0. A similar relationship held true last season, with Irving having a big offensive impact (plus-3.7 ORPM, 13th in NBA) but Walker having an incrementally larger one (plus-4.4, sixth in NBA).
There are other factors to consider in this comparison as well. Irving is undoubtedly the bigger draw, with Uncle Drew fame and a championship pedigree from his days playing next to LeBron James in Cleveland. Walker is lesser known after toiling in a smaller market like Charlotte during his NBA career, though he still has some recognition from his legendary NCAA championship run with UConn. With Irving's added fame has come added difficulties, though, from his publicized breakup with LeBron in Cleveland to the equally public growing pains of the Celtics this season. Walker has seemingly avoided similar drama -- instead earning a reputation as a leader and team player while growing into a perennial All Star for the Hornets.
Walker has also been by far the healthier of the two, missing only six games since the start of the 2015-16 season. Irving, on the other hand, has missed 74 games during that same period, and also sat out the 2018 playoffs because of a series of injuries. Though Irving is slightly younger, having just turned 27 while Walker will be 29 in May, Walker has much less wear and tear. Walker appears to carry less of an injury risk.
Irving is set to become one of the most coveted free agents in the NBA this offseason, but Walker plays a similar style with similar results. Walker is one of the biggest offensive impact players in the NBA, he has a more reliable injury history and appears to be a more stable locker room presence.
Thus, I buy that Walker is actually a better free-agent target than Irving this offseason.