I wouldn't be surprised if Bender moves ahead of Ben Simmons on Ainge's board.
I would. Simmons is an NBA-ready player with Hall of Fame upside. Bender is neither.
I think there are legitimate reasons to be concerned that Simmons is too mentally soft to be a star. He seems like he could be a bigger, better, but less intense version of Jeff Green. On the other hand, Bender comes across as the opposite of soft. Ainge values toughness and competitiveness.
That's ridiculous. Simmons grabbed more rebounds in 33 college games than Green did in 80 pro games. He was 7th nationally and 1st in his conference in rebounding, and 4th nationally in free throw attempts. You don't get that many rebounds and get fouled that often if you're not in the middle of the action.
Right now he's a 6'10" version of Rajon Rondo. That's an incredibly difficult matchup and an NBA all-star. If he learns to shoot at even a league average ability, he's a Hall of Famer.
This. Yes, there's an issue about the shooting, as with Rondo. But he shot 67% FT's, so it's probable that he can get to 75% or better, given the work. Givony is questioning his character but Simmons didn't get where he is without some serious dedication. A great team player who had to play in a bad situation. You do want a guy who goes down fighting, though... Great NBA body, great fit for the Celtics. I could go either way at #1 but wouldn't hesitate to take him at #2 if available.
No to Bender. The body is terrible - long limbs with weak shoulders and hips; it's excruciatingly slow to get his limbs moving. He'll have to do a lot more than lifting to get up to speed. I would never say never to developing a body but this is a long-term project at best. Even if Boston were at the beginning of the rebuilding process I'd be skeptical but the floor for next year is to win a playoff series.
I'm no scout and college ball is a bore for me at this point, but from what I've seen there are two players you want; I'm sure there are hidden gems in the draft, too, but having said that you need to be mindful of where the franchise is in the cycle. Boston has some really good (not great) players who play great team defense. That's pretty remarkable, given how young they are, and I'm advocating for hanging onto the 4-6 core guys and adding stars to them. This is not the time to be drafting more good players who have a chance to get in your rotation three seasons from now. This is where you grab for the brass ring.