The positive: He's a high intangibles guy. I was desperate for us to tank in 2013 on the basis that there were 8 quality guys available. Smart was one of those 8 guys I wanted. I have no regrets on how that played out. He's still really young and things might click for him eventually.
Clearly, a lot has been written about him defensively. He has uncanny timing picking off passes. I would, however, like someone to share some more advanced statistics that show his defensive impact. Last I checked, the stats didn't really back up the narrative that he was an otherworldly defender.
That said... I got flack for saying this months ago, but I've been pretty massively disappointed in Marcus Smart since he joined the league. Let's put aside the defense for a second. Maybe he's an elite defender. Fine. I'm talking about the rest of his game. I've been really disappointed. Coming into the league, I was lead to believe on the offensive end this guy was Tyreke Evans at worst.
Originally I thought he had a ceiling of D-Wade and a floor of Tyreke Evans.
That quickly changed to thinking he had a ceiling of Rodney Stuckey with a floor of Tony Allen.
At this point? I mean... let's not make fanboy excuses here. There's still time for him to figure it out, but at this point it's not looking good. Two years in he should be showing a bit more development than this. He shot 36%/32%/63% over the second half of last season. He shot 36%/29%/75% over the first half of this season. He's shot 31%/19%/76% over the second half of this season. That's regression. At this point what is he... Ricky Rubio/Rajon Rondo without the passing instinct?
Actually, earlier this season when folks like Bill Simmon and Zach Lowe asked if Smart would some day develop into a player similar to Tony Allen, there was pretty significant backlash from fans here who pointed to Smart's sub-par three point shooting as proof that Smart was a superior offensive player to Tony Allen. Might be time to revisit that. Allen has career shooting percentages of 48%/28%/72%... Allen is shooting 38% from three this year. Smart has career shooting of 36%/30%/70%... shooting 26% from three this year. Just because he takes more and bricks more doesn't necessarily make him a better shooter. Allen has pretty consistently been able to score at the hole more efficiently. People love to take "True shooting percentage" out of context in defense of bad shooters. Smart has a career TS% of .477. Tony Allen has a career TS% of .534.
Guys from his class are coming on strong since the all-star break:
Aaron Gordon has looked sensational. Averaging 12 points, 7.7 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.2 steals with 50%/33%/62% shooting in 27.7mpg
I got buried for saying I'd trade the Brooklyn pick for Jabari Parker. Luckily the Brooklyn pick is keeping delicious pace, but I'd sure as heck still trade it for Jabari. 19.1 points, 6.4 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 1.1 steals, 50%/39%/82% since the all-star break.
Julius Randle is still in the midst of his rookie season, but it's fair to point out he's averaging 13.3 points, 10.7 rebounds, 1.2 assists with 47%/25%/70% shooting since the break.
Yeah I get it... it's not all about stats. But let's not just gloss over the stats. Statistically, Smart has been pretty terrible. In-fact, if you just look at the EFF rating since the all-star break (points + rebounds + assists + steals + blocks... subtract missed shots and turnovers), SMart's ranking 19th among Sophomores.
Puts him behind Parker, Randle, Wiggins, Lavine, Clarkson, Payton, McDermot, Nukic...
... Even Nik Stauskas: 9.3 points, 2.6 rebounds, 1.7 assists, with 44%/36%/79% shooting in just 23.2 mpg.
Ouch.
There's still time. But yeah... I'm disappointed.
Luckily, it doesn't matter. We're getting another binkie in the top 6 this year and our team is set up to have potentially the greatest Summer in 20+ years. Smart having a destiny as a defensive role player off the bench has been a possibility I've been prepared for for well over a year. I'm still rooting for him to be much more.