this dude's barely played a full season and we're already coming to conclusions??? how the hell did Olynyk survive this long???
I'd say 100 games and close to 3000 minutes is enough time to start drawing some conclusions about a player's development and his potential for improvement.
loved your opening post, lots of good insights and research. thanks.
this statement, though, i can raise some question about. would you please analyze bradley's first 100 games and tell me if we could see his future? after 100 games he averaged around 5-6 points a game. and let's never discuss the cb thoughts after his first season.

next in line would be crowder. first hundred games he averaged less than 5 points a game, though in 16+ minutes. everyone saw his great defense with dallas, but the book on him after 181 games was "so-so shooter" with a 3 point percentage almost identical to smart's career now.
you may be completely correct on smart. but for me, i see too small a sample size to make any bold predictions on his offense. i am hopeful, and admittedly a "glass half full" type of guy, for smart.
i agree, i havent seen anything that screams "offensive juggernaut," but i also havent seen enough to predict with confidence that he will not be an average to better than average shooter.
i am patient and will wait another couple of seasons.