I do agree with you. My point is more actuarial. I think Thibs will definitely trade Lopez's health for wins. In fact, I think he'll use him up completely.
My point is that he'll get more wins out of the transaction than Hollins or just about any other coach would.
What would that look like? Maybe Lopez plays 35 minutes a night between now and March, the Nets go .500 in that span, and then he breaks down. The Nets finish the season 30-52 and slot 7th in the draft, whereas with a gentler coach they'd have gone 24-58 and slot 4th.
Of course keeping him healthy is difficult for any coach, but one notorious for playing his starters 35+ minutes per game is gonna have a much harder time than any other coach. I can't see Lopez staying healthy for the rest of the year with Thibs