Poll: Over Under 47 Wins

[Evantime34]

I guess we all now have to admit that this team is good and that the end of last season had more to do with them being good than anything else.

The future is mighty bright in Boston, very soon people will have very little to complain about on Celticsblog.

[DarkAzcura]

Can't wait to break this thread out of the archives at the all-star break when we are 20-30 lol.

That's my prediction at the 50 game point with the current roster. Now if Danny makes a real move from now until than, brings in a true starter than we have to re-argue hehehe.

Not too sure you want to break any of this thread out of the archives.

[Donoghus]

I'm just glad that I simply stated "under" and didn't go on any long rants.

Some of the posts in this thread are so ridiculously wrong, its laughable in retrospect.

This is also one of those instances where being wrong is actually a good thing.

[Chris22]

I guess we all now have to admit that this team is good and that the end of last season had more to do with them being good than anything else.

The future is mighty bright in Boston, very soon people will have very little to complain about on Celticsblog.

I predicted 50 wins, so I win the internet.
And I never understood the Negative Nancys among the Celtic fans.

[fairweatherfan]

Eh, the thread came out before even the draft, let alone any FA signings/trades.  We couldn't factor in David Lee!  I'm cool with saying 45-48, and glad to be (probably) underestimating them.

[Roy H.]

I'm pretty surprised at how good the team is presently. I thought it would take  longer for the Celts to be a top-4 team in the East.

[DarkAzcura]

I guess we all now have to admit that this team is good and that the end of last season had more to do with them being good than anything else.

The future is mighty bright in Boston, very soon people will have very little to complain about on Celticsblog.

I predicted 50 wins, so I win the internet.
And I never understood the Negative Nancys among the Celtic fans.

Never really did either. The mindset was that our 24-12 run was completely unsustainable once teams start to actually "respect" us in the new season. The other idea was that every team behind us got better because they dealt with tons of injury. That's fine I guess. I get it to an extent. The thing is 24-12 is a 55 win pace or thereabouts. Even if you predicted them to slip up and not maintain that pace, how could anyone think they would go from a ~55 win pace to a ~35-37 win pace?! That's a pretty crazy drop off. I had them "falling" to a 45-47 win pace with an outside shot at ~50 wins depending on development.

I always thought it was odd that people propped up the injuries of other teams as a large reason why we were so successful over the last 36 games but ignored how much roster turnover we had in season, which is just as significant if not more significant than any injury other teams had to deal with.

[slamtheking]

I figured 40-41 wins this season.  even though they haven't gotten there yet, it looks like they'll pass that easily.  never been so happy to be so wrong.

[greece66]

47+ wins is far from a certainty (it's only June), but I think it is quite likely we make it.

If we perform close to what we did in the post-break last season, 47 wins is an attainable target.

thanks for bumping the thread 

with hindsight, i feel i was being too pessimistic

[guava_wrench]

Congrats to those who thought 47 was attainable. Turns out our second half success last season was a fair representation of our team.

[Granath]

I predicted 50 wins, so I win the internet.
And I never understood the Negative Nancys among the Celtic fans.

Well, we know who the NN's are around here and they'll never change. It's not really worth understanding them at this juncture. Some people just think the grass is greener on the other side no matter what.


My prediction was in another thread. I said 43 wins and consistently repeated the mantra that the Cs could actually be a better team with a worse record due to better Eastern Conference competition. I figured one team would make the "leap" this year to something close to 50 wins but I expected it to be the Bucks rather than the Cs.

[loco_91]

I guess we all now have to admit that this team is good and that the end of last season had more to do with them being good than anything else.

The future is mighty bright in Boston, very soon people will have very little to complain about on Celticsblog.

You're wrong about one thing: there will *always* be something to complain about on Celticsblog.

[kozlodoev]

The emergence of Crowder, Turner, and Bradley has made a difference. It was far from a given one year ago.

[PhoSita]

I really thought the league was going to catch up to the Celts a bit this year, that they wouldn't be taking anybody by surprise this time around.

I was wrong.  The Celts have struggled at times this year, but since they solidified the rotation, they've looked like a team that knows what it does well and has the confidence to keep doing it even when things aren't going well, and that allows them to stay in games.  They almost always play hard, and they've figured out ways to keep the offense going when Isaiah isn't in the game, or when Isaiah is struggling.

Crowder has added elements to his game, and he's doing things I didn't think he could do.  Turner has been pretty much the same, but he's confident in his role and the team seems to have figured out how to work around him.  Not as much standing and watching when Turner is doing his jazz-solo ball-handler thing.


Overall, the Celts find ways to score a lot of points even when it seems like they're not doing anything especially well on offense.  Lots of second and third efforts, and just keeping the ball moving.

They've also played excellent team defense.  They don't seem to have the personnel to lock down opponents, but they're just so aggressive that I think they still, despite having done this for over a year now, catch opponents off-guard.


I thought their ceiling this year was 45 wins, but it now looks like they'll be comfortably ahead of that.

It will be very interesting to see if they can carry over this success to the playoffs.  I still have concerns that when things slow down and the intensity rackets up in the playoffs, it'll be much harder for the Celts to succeed in the ways they've been succeeding. 

Specifically, my concern is that their 25th ranking in Defensive Rebound Rate will catch up to them -- especially since they still don't shoot particularly well as a team, ranked 21st in TS% -- and they won't be able to take advantage of playing at a top 3 pace.  Despite the top 3 pace, the Celts are below average in free throws attempted per game.  The playoffs are in large part about rebounds and free throws.

But I may be underestimating them again. 

[slamtheking]

I predicted 50 wins, so I win the internet.
And I never understood the Negative Nancys among the Celtic fans.

Well, we know who the NN's are around here and they'll never change. It's not really worth understanding them at this juncture. Some people just think the grass is greener on the other side no matter what.


My prediction was in another thread. I said 43 wins and consistently repeated the mantra that the Cs could actually be a better team with a worse record due to better Eastern Conference competition. I figured one team would make the "leap" this year to something close to 50 wins but I expected it to be the Bucks rather than the Cs.

that's a pretty broad stroke to be painting people that didn't see the optimism this season.  As someone who wasn't optimistic this year, that viewpoint has changed year to year prevoiusly depending on roster and expectations of player development or team cohesiveness.

granted, there are a handful of constant doom and gloomers but the majority of people here have changed their outlook as the team changes players or changes performance level.