Author Topic: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season  (Read 16163 times)

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Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #30 on: April 28, 2015, 05:27:36 PM »

Offline Ilikesports17

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Let's look at what type of roster, team, Ainge and Stevens want to build.
 
Primary roles

5- Defensive
4- Stretch with an Inside Game - combine Sully and Olynyk
3- Creator and Scorer
2- 3+D
1- Facilitator and Scorer

Who on the roster fits these descriptions and who can we trade for or sign that fits this model.

5 - we do not have a defensive center on the roster
4 - we do not have a complete player on the roster
3 - Turner is a poor mans version of this description
2 - the D is there the 3 not so much
1 - IT can score (sometimes), but can he facilitate and hold up against other starters?
I don think you can build a team like its a color by numbers situation.

Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #31 on: April 28, 2015, 05:27:48 PM »

Offline bcgenuis

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Ok here is probably a dumb question, how can we operate over the salary cap of 66 million next year or any year for that matter?  Can we use the tpe's, and then go over the 66 by signing crowder, using mid level exception?

We can resign some of our FAs using Bird rights, TPEs, MLE, bi-annual exception if available.

Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #32 on: April 28, 2015, 05:28:33 PM »

Offline Lucky17

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Ok here is probably a dumb question, how can we operate over the salary cap of 66 million next year or any year for that matter?  Can we use the tpe's, and then go over the 66 by signing crowder, using mid level exception?

The TPEs, MLE, and cap holds allow the Celtics to field payroll over the salary cap.

Otherwise, they will only have cap space, and the room exception (just under $3 mil), I believe.
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Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #33 on: April 28, 2015, 05:31:25 PM »

Offline Msimonetta2

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Thanks guys well that in itself would make it more attractive to ainge.  I want to operate within a 81 versus 66 payroll.

Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #34 on: April 28, 2015, 05:36:18 PM »

Offline LooseCannon

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Ok here is probably a dumb question, how can we operate over the salary cap of 66 million next year or any year for that matter?  Can we use the tpe's, and then go over the 66 by signing crowder, using mid level exception?

The Celtics have Crowder's Bird rights, so Ainge's doesn't have to use the MLE to give him a raise.
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Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #35 on: April 28, 2015, 05:42:43 PM »

Offline Msimonetta2

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Right gotcha on crowder, we can match offers for him and go over, got to say those tpe's are sneaky good.  They got one for prince 7.7 million and rondo of course.  The million dollar question is what teams have players they would want to let go or drop for salary purposes.  Situations where a team does not want any salary back and we could give some picks?  Ty Lawson?  Will teams need to drop payroll to sign their restricted free agents a la Chicago, golden state?  Lot still to sort out.

Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #36 on: April 28, 2015, 05:54:32 PM »

Offline Lucky17

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Right gotcha on crowder, we can match offers for him and go over, got to say those tpe's are sneaky good.  They got one for prince 7.7 million and rondo of course.  The million dollar question is what teams have players they would want to let go or drop for salary purposes.  Situations where a team does not want any salary back and we could give some picks?  Ty Lawson?  Will teams need to drop payroll to sign their restricted free agents a la Chicago, golden state?  Lot still to sort out.

Yeah, Ty Lawson was a guy I was thinking of too, if Denver decides to blow it up. Slots into the Rondo TPE perfectly.

Trade Wallace to Golden State for David Lee (big contract, but expiring next year, same as Wallace). Maybe the Dubs throw in the #30 pick as well to offload that big contract; they could stretch Wallace and thereby free up $12 million in payroll to go towards retaining Draymond Green.

Use the Prince TPE to take on an expiring contract from a team desperate to free up cap space, at the cost of another 1st rounder (to replace one dealt to Denver for Lawson, for instance).

Those three moves raise the talent level of the current roster at little net cost of assets, and still maintains some fiscal flexibility for the summer of 2016 (Lawson's contract comprising less than the spike to the cap).

Edit: obviously, that scenario begs the question whether Ainge feels that Lawson is a worthwhile target to pursue.
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Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #37 on: April 28, 2015, 05:58:15 PM »

Offline bcgenuis

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Thanks guys well that in itself would make it more attractive to ainge.  I want to operate within a 81 versus 66 payroll.

But, your not going to play with $81 and pay the tax, if you have no shot at a banner.
The TPE's expire within 1 year.

Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #38 on: April 28, 2015, 05:58:48 PM »

Offline Msimonetta2

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Wow thanks for giving some examples, this is more of a realistic route this summer in my opinion.

Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #39 on: April 28, 2015, 06:10:05 PM »

Offline Lucky17

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Had another idea.

How desperate are the Kings to shed Jason Thompson's contract? I'd heard rumors they were keen on doing so in the days before last trade deadline.

Ainge could slot Thompson into the Prince TPE. Would adding the #16 pick be enough to pry the Kings' 1st rounder from them on Draft Night? If not, what else in his cupboard might Ainge need to add?
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Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #40 on: April 28, 2015, 06:12:56 PM »

Offline BudweiserCeltic

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4) S&T using $12.9mm Rondo exception + future #2 for a scoring wing (M Ellis, Middleton)

You have to renounce that trade exception to create the cap space to do the free agent signings you mentioned.

Yep.

Which is why I maintain that the Celtics will not have big cap space this offseason. Ainge will use the TPEs, MLE, and keep cap holds from his UFAs in the event that he can use them in sign and trade.

You're basing this off on? You renounce the TPEs, trade/stretch Wallace, you'd have $29-$32+ million give or take in cap space.

See my edit above re: UFA cap holds.

Ainge would have to renounce a lot of potential assets to free up the cap space to lure a max free agent. It seems counter to his style.

Renouncing UFA cap holds is pointless to consider. If you're signing a free-agent you're after, you renounce them. It's really not worth giving thought to that.

The only one you wouldn't do is Crowder solely because his cap hold is very small, and you can sign him to a bigger contract after all our FAs signings, if any.

I think that's only if you a) are not bringing Bass or Jerebko back and b) not interested in signing and trading them to other teams for additional assets. I think both have value on the market.

I guess the question is whether Boston can land a franchise cornerstone in FA using cap space, or whether it's better to use the Rondo and Prince TPEs, sign and trade options, and the MLE to build a better roster. I think the second route is a more prudent use of assets.

I don't think you have to favor any one route to consider potential cap space. If a free-agent you're actually interested in wants to sign, none of those issues should impede the signing... and more importantly, you still retain your future assets.

And yes, the interest in bringing Bass and/or Jerebko is very very small to us. That said, their cap hold is quite higher than whatever we'd be willing to retain them for, so renouncing their rights is not that important once is all said and done.

And if the interest is in keeping Bass or Jerebko, and have enough left over to do the moves you want, then you simply go and do it and reduce their cap hold they might have on us.

There's a lot of things you can do whatever way you want to go about it.

The important part is that these issues shouldn't impede our team of creating cap space if the opportunity to sign a player of interest is available.

Well, yeah. There are a lot of options.

But if freeing up the maximum amount of cap space possible is the path to take, it involves burning a lot of assets that I believe a GM like Ainge could actually leverage into a greater return.

If Ainge does get signals from a free agent that Boston is high on the list, I'm sure we're see him clear that cap space. But that course of option seems counter to Ainge's MO.

I seem to remember Ainge commenting on how spending cap space yielded a comparatively poor return, because you have to overbid/outbid the competition. I'll see if I can find it.

You're not freeing up the maximum amount of cap space possible for the sake of doing it. You'd be doing it for a very specific purpose, and only then. So it isn't about "oh no Ainge renounced everything and got nothing out of it", that's really not the issue, but going after target players. Now are those target players worth it or not? That's another discussion entirely.

The point is that we have the ability and the ease to generate plenty of cap space if/when needed. Nothing more and nothing less.

As for spending cap space and yielding poor return, that's mostly about using cap space unwisely... mainly because you get stuck with the wrong players and their long contracts, and lose all the flexibility you have going for you.

That's not the case with this Summer and with this team. This Summer and this team's circumstances are quite peculiar. For example, we can spend all our cap space this year AND when 2016 comes around have cap space to spend once again, and plenty of it... that very rarely happens, it's not normal. And secondly, we have a lot of future and young assets to trade and develop, that's also very very unusual.

So take those comments with a grain of salt. For example, everyone talked about trying to get cap space during the big 3 era, or not keeping X players because of having a higher payroll, I was contrary to those visions. For free-agency I've been very averse about spending money if it isn't for the right player (when using cap space).... but with the new deals that come into effect soon, this is not the time for prudence as far as using cap space is concerned. It's time to outbid and overspend, else you'll be left behind.

But thankfully, if we don't manage to spend, we have other instruments at our disposal to improve the team, as the TPEs and draft picks.

In the end, the important part of this discussion is that cap space can be had if needed. It's not a matter of "I don't think we'd have a lot of cap space to spend", that's simply false. It's a choice, not a restriction.

Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #41 on: April 28, 2015, 06:18:29 PM »

Offline Msimonetta2

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Too bad Gibson is too high for the prince type, but they would like to dump him.  For our trouble maybe dougie buckets or snell?  I want to use the tpe's for getting a player upgrade, take salary dump/add young player, or take salary dump in trade that nets us a high pick.  I do not want to add any more lower level picks. 

Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #42 on: April 28, 2015, 06:24:01 PM »

Offline gpap

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I'd be happy with signing Millsap for the max if Atlanta doesn't want to give that much money to a 30-year-old, then signing using the rest of the cap space to sign a center like Omer Asik or Robin Lopez.

I'd be happy with that

HUGE upgrade over what we have now. Would much rather have R. Lopez over Asik.

Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #43 on: April 28, 2015, 06:26:39 PM »

Offline Lucky17

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In the end, the important part of this discussion is that cap space can be had if needed. It's not a matter of "I don't think we'd have a lot of cap space to spend", that's simply false. It's a choice, not a restriction.

I agree. If that's a response to my initial post in the thread, I can see why.

What I should have said was "I don't believe the Celtics will have max cap space, because I don't believe Ainge will find a max-level target willing to sign in Boston." Thankfully, as you rightly point out, Ainge doesn't have to clear that space first, and then go hunting for a guy to spend it on.

I'd be happy to be proven wrong on that. I think.
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Re: Celtics Free Agent Plan for 2015 off season
« Reply #44 on: April 28, 2015, 06:33:39 PM »

Offline gpap

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Another idea if we whiff on the big fish like Love, Gasol and Aldridge is offer a max deal to someone like Brook Lopez, Enes Kanter or Greg Monroe and then include Turner and Isaiah Thomas in a deal for Lawson and Wilson Chandler.

Resign Crowder.