I'm not sure how they're going to have the top 10 defense you need to win a championship. Their defensive personnel is underwhelming to say the least. Their only above-average defensive big is DeAndre Jordan; all the rest are below-average. It's going to be a field day for the opposition when DeAndre sits. Their "center" has to come from a group of Griffin, Hollins, Jamison and Mullens. Yeah, that's not going to stand up to the top teams in the West, or really any team. Maybe they could weather the storm if they had stout perimeter defenders but they're just as weak there as well.
First game or not, I think they're pretenders. Just because of Paul's greatness in close games, I think they'll win 50 games but they have zero chance of beating OKC, Houston or San Antonio in the playoffs.