Loose Cannon:
I'd love it if Olynyk won rookie of the year. I also don't believe that would keep us out of the lottery. OKC went to the lottery the season after they landed Durant....
I just think there are two ways this team can go this year. If they:
1. Go all in with a blend of the mediocre, non game changing vets they have such as Humphries,Wallace,Bass & Lee.
2. Get major growth years out of Sully, Olynyk & Green
3. AND Rondo comes back and plays like a stud - I say this team lands somewhere between the 6th and 8th pick. I think they'll be much better than people think.
And while it's nice to make the playoffs, I don't feel it's the fast track to long term contention - more like medium term mediocrity...
Conversely, if they:
1. Are able to move move Humphries and Bass - both of which I think should be very easy, at leat by the trade deadline - Humphries is an expiring this year and Bass next...
2. Move Lee and Wallace - which will be more challenging, especially with Wallace - you might find a taker for Lee on a contender that needs a tough back up defender at the two.
3. Bring Rondo back slowly and in the meantime - play the crap out of Olynyk, Melo, Faverani, Sully, Green, Brooks, Crawford & and Pressey -
Olynyk could have a Rookie of the year season and all the other young guys could show major growth by being put through the fire of heavy minutes but I still don't think that would keep them out of the lottery.
The young guys would get a lot better but would be taking "a lot" of lumps in the process this season.
Then, you get a high lottery pick and continue to clear cap space with the intent of signing some significant talent in the summer of 2015 to compliment your young, growing players.
I think that's the real choice for management this season;
1. Are you playing to compete for the 6th to 8th spot and the 15th pick
or
2. Are you playing to develop your young guys as quickly as possible, which will "most likely" result in a trip to the lottery this year, but ultimately moves you ahead more quickly.
So I see this year as a major evaluation of which young guys we'll end up keeping as core and which ones we'll look to ship out in a package.
If this team adds a player like Parker or Wiggins, you are probably one trade away from securing a legitimate long term solution at center from competing for a title for a long time.
For me, I'm definitely in the move the vets, play the crap out of the young guys camp.