You asked why they should do any scouting if drafting is a crapshoot. I merely pointed out that it is, and they do.
I don't understand. you criticized a position I didn't take. I never said BB drafted perfectly.
you do realize that there is ground between "crapshoot" and "drafting perfectly" do you not?
Yes, I realize that. The same way I realize that asking you if you think that BB drafts perfectly is different than claiming that you said BB drafts perfectly.
then what's the relevance of drafting perfectly?
The whole "crapshoot" thing...
your position was that of course picking Locker and/or Mallett was a crapshoot even if your scouting tells you that you have a franchise QB on your hands...If your scouting doesn't take you out of the realm of "crapshoot" then why have it?
how about this...how about you place "crapshoot" on your spectrum of degree of risk? how about that?
I'd say close to 50/50 is a crapshoot, and it's nonsensical to think that drafting a franchise qb in the middle of the first round will work out any better than that.
Where you draft is irrelevant. If you think someone is a good evaluator of talent then it's about the evaluation not the draft position.
If Belichick said to me in a private conversation that he thought Mallett or Locker was a franchise QB and was going to draft him at #16, then I would say the pick moves out of the "crapshoot" category for me....
You're kidding right? There's dozens of draft busts a year that coaches just like Belichick evaluate as "franchise" players. Prior to Mayo and Merriweather, Bill's picks were criticized often (who was that wide-out from Florida?). Thus, as stated and proven by hard facts, it's a crapshoot.
well if your crapshoot is 50/50 like Bball's then I'll take those odds....
Plus, do the odds go up after you get the player in working with the team and still think he's a franchise player? How about training camp? How about preseason?
Is there any point at which your "likelihood" gets you to the point where you would think about trading Brady for the massive package of talent he would net?