2) Milwaukee over Indiana- Jason Kidd is bigger and better than Derick Fisher. Kobe is way better than Rip Hamilton. Pietrus is good enough to slow down Maggette and maggette is bad enough on defense that Pietrus should get close to 10 ppg. Nowitzki will absolutely destroy Ty THomas, and Marc Gasol is better than Marcin Gortat, but neither is a particularly amazing defender, so I see Gortat getting 10-12, to Gasol's 17-8. The key here will be who has an easier time; Nowitzki or Kobe, and with Jason Kidd providing the ammunition (and 10 points, 10 assists and 5 or 6 boards himself), Nowitzki has more to work with.
I have a great amount of respect for Milwaukee. I believe I voted them 2nd or 3rd in the East.
But I'm surprised so many people are considering Indiana out of the running so easily. I happen to think IP is very on point with his analysis right here, except I'd like to clarify a few things.
"Jason Kidd is bigger and better than Derek Fisher"
OK, maybe some truth here. What does bigger have anything to do with anything though? Because Jason Kidd can post up smaller point guards like we've seen him do before? Correct. But when was the last time you ever saw Derek Fisher posted up by another pg? I just asked my friend, he replied, "never". My answer was the same. Fisher is a strong dude...
J-Kidd averaged 8ppg in 40+ mpg in last year's first round playoff matchup against T. Parker/G. Hill. My point guards are not horrendously worse than those 2. Especially Fisher against a pg like Kidd who Fisher can stay in front of. If Jack wants any meaningful playing time, Kidd won't play 40 mpg. Due to that, I don't see Kidd averaging over 8ppg against my team and I don't see ANY reason why Fisher can't score 9 ppg in 32 mpg. He scored averages of 10.2 (vs. Westbrook), 11.3 (Deron Williams), 11.8 (Nash), and 8.6 ppg (Rondo/Ray) in the ordered rounds of the playoffs last postseason. I think people are seriously sleeping on how much Fisher steps it up in the playoffs!! Please reconsider this and I welcome anyone to refute this logic. Out perform in rebounds and assists? Perhaps. Will Kidd outscore Fisher? Fisher outscored Kidd in last season's playoffs against better defenders in LESS minutes!! So, I think NOT. Again, all are welcome to refute.