Those reb numbers I posted - I don't know the exact calculations, but I think they would project out to Glen Davis averaging over 9 rebs a game in a starting role for us with the same minutes he had in the post-season in 08-09.
So - I think that if he was a starter now, this man could realistically pull down right around 9 rebs a game for us, and post 16-18 pts. Someone with better calculations pls correct me if I'm off.
He even seemed more active defensively last postseason, too...he wasn't a Perk or KG, but he sent back more than a few during our run from April-June 10.
If BBD played 36 minutes, his regular season stats project to:
13.1 points, 7.9 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 0.8 steals, 0.5 blocks, 2.0 turnovers, 5.1 personal fouls
TP4U Roy, thanks.
I'll even stretch it to say that those numbers would be higher in a regular season setting against weaker opponents - he put up 15 pts and 5.6 rebs in 08-09 playoffs against the likes of Joakim Noah, Tyrus Thomas, Dwight Howard and Rashard Lewis - all tall timber.
I like those turnover numbers, too...he's not a high risk when we need him.
I'd like to see those assists up, but he's only 24? He's going to get better.
I think Danny may have a dillemma on his hands come next yr - when he decides whether or not to keep Glen. I hope Glen stays, or if he gets traded I hope Danny can swing equal value for him.
I would counter that his numbers would drop, and not increase, in a role that required more minutes. A good percentage of his numbers that you are extrapolating out are against the opposing team's bench. Ergo, against starters, he would not do as well.
To answer the Original Poster's question, Glen Davis is on this team currently b/c at the end of last season we signed him for $3mil / year for 2 years, and no other team was going higher than that. Glen is a good 4th big man on the team, and if the Celtics traded him they would have to fill that spot. It is not easy to have a decent 4th big man on a roster for only $3million, which is where Davis' real value is.
And the counter to that argument is that he would also be playing most of his minutes with much better players which would make him a better player and increase his stats back to the extrapolated numbers.
For proof: The 2009 post season where playing 36 MPG Davis averaged 15.8PPG, 5.6 RPG, 1.8 APG, 1.29 SPG, 0.57 BPG with a FG% of 49.1%. In 16 games as a starter that year he had near identical numbers except he averaged about 13 PPG. I contend that two years later and in better physical condition, Davis would improve on these stats.
Good point. However, during that exact same season that you cited, the Celtics went from a +260pt and 73% win team to a -39pt and 43% win team when you replaced KG with Davis. While much of that could be counted as "not having KG", I think a good deal of it is that Davis was in the lineup. Therefore, yes his stats may have been better as a result of playing with better players, but the team as a whole greatly suffered and he should not be a starter.
I don't really care how the numbers "may" extrapolate out b/c he should not be a starter. His role is to come off the bench, and I hope he continues to progress down that road.
Glen Davis was a defensive liability + a major liability on the backboards two years ago when he started. Those negative contributions cost the team more than what he gave on the other end of the floor.
Davis' time as a starting power forward was a failure.
Who - Yes, Glen was a defensive liability and a major liability on the backboards - two yrs ago.
What we lost when KG went down two yrs ago no PF was going to replace - not even Pau Gasol. And it hurt us even more when Powe went down in that CHI series.
That being said, Glen gave us his best back then, and even extended the series with that shot at the buzzer.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y3smxdUWquM&feature=relatedThe best part was at 1:00 when he almost took that poor kid out

.
Two yrs later he's a steal.
God forbid if KG went down again, I'd feel even better about Glen's production as a starter this time around than two yrs ago.
Could Glen duplicate KG's presence? No player in the NBA right now can do that - no one. Pau Gasol is Very, Very Close - maybe 99.999999 of KG - but not quite KG. Pau proved that to me when he disappeared in the road games in Boston during the playoffs.
But I trust that if pressed into that role he could hold down the fort until KG returned.