Author Topic: How big of a miscalculation is POB?  (Read 26126 times)

0 Members and 0 Guests are viewing this topic.

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2008, 10:43:17 AM »

Offline cordobes

  • NCE
  • Ray Allen
  • ***
  • Posts: 3556
  • Tommy Points: 576
  • Basketball is like chess, only without the dice
Blame Don Nelson!

Seriously now, I never expected him to be ahead of Scalabrine in the depth chart, even more after his horrific performances in the pre-season (in spite of the amusing stuff wrote over here). Glad to see the expectations reseted to the right levels. As of now, he's terrible; let's see how much can he improve in the future.

Quote
Also, as much as the LLE doesn't sound like a bunch of money $3.1 million over 2 years is not the type of money one wants to waste either. It is not a small amount of cash to this ownership group. There could have been a solid 10th player we could have added to the rotation instead of a project that may or may not ever see the court.

Isn't his contract only 1 year guaranteed? After Miles got cut, I predicted Potsie O'Bryant would be the next one, because I thought only the 1st year of his contract was guaranteed. Does anyone knows this for sure?
http://hoopshype.com/salaries/boston.htm

Hoopshype's salary page is reporting 2 years guaranteed, no options.

Yeps, thanks for the feedback, I've just checked it. Shamsports lists the 2nd year as unguaranteed though:
http://www.shamsports.com/content/pages/data/salaries/celtics.jsp

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2008, 10:54:17 AM »

Offline EJPLAYA

  • NCE
  • Ray Allen
  • ***
  • Posts: 3816
  • Tommy Points: 127
Way too early to make this assessment! Everyone knew coming in he would not likely contribute right away and would take some time to make him a "Celtic". He has shown flashes of potential, and will either get it or he won't. I think it would be pretty tough to be around KG for a year or two and not change to some degree. He was cheap, didn't prevent us from picking anyone else up, and by the end of the year should really be able to make a judgement.

If you want to make an accurate thought in this title, although I make the same case for him too, how about putting JR Giddens name in that line?! I am much more disappointed in what I have seen out of him, and we used a first round draft pick on the guy. 

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2008, 11:01:25 AM »

Offline crownsy

  • Don Nelson
  • ********
  • Posts: 8469
  • Tommy Points: 157
Way too early to make this assessment! Everyone knew coming in he would not likely contribute right away and would take some time to make him a "Celtic". He has shown flashes of potential, and will either get it or he won't. I think it would be pretty tough to be around KG for a year or two and not change to some degree. He was cheap, didn't prevent us from picking anyone else up, and by the end of the year should really be able to make a judgement.

If you want to make an accurate thought in this title, although I make the same case for him too, how about putting JR Giddens name in that line?! I am much more disappointed in what I have seen out of him, and we used a first round draft pick on the guy. 

we used the 30th pick, which might as well be a 2nd rounder, and in the limited time he played, he looked alright. He's also more of a guard, a position we have alot of depth at, so i'd rather "redshirt" him and send him to the NBDL for the year. I'd like to do the same with walker, but im not sure scal is up to the task of being the back up 3.

as to POB, yea, to early.

His biggest problem seems to be conditioning. He can't keep up when he's on the floor, probley why he got the stink eye from don "run, run run!!!" nelson.

we run less, and he's a halfcourt guy, but he still has to bust it when we get a defensive turnover. If Big baby can run the floor every break, so can POB.

“I will hurt you for this. A day will come when you think you’re safe and happy and your joy will turn to ashes in your mouth. And you will know the debt is paid.” – Tyrion

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2008, 11:10:27 AM »

Offline nickagneta

  • James Naismith
  • *********************************
  • Posts: 48121
  • Tommy Points: 8800
  • President of Jaylen Brown Fan Club
Danny might be able to sign him. But at this point, after the Cassell debacle late last season, I don't think Danny can force Doc to play him. It would be a huge mistake that could polarize this team.

  Where does this come from? First of all, I was never a Cassell guy. I wasn't excited about the signing before it happened and I had much lower expectations of him than many on this board. But calling his signing/play a debacle is ridiculous.

  But, more to the point, where did you get the notion that Danny foisted Sam on Doc and tried to force Doc play Sam? Either you have quotes to back this up or you're just making things up to cast aspersions on Danny's judgement/abilities as a gm.


I get the notion that Cassell was forced upon Doc to play him from observations, personal speculations, and personal observations from what transpired.

House was playing well. Suddenly Cassell is brought in and he is eating up Eddie's minutes. Cassell wasn't just struggling he was horrible and yet Cassell was continued to be played. Finally the whole Cassell experiment was tossed aside, Eddie came back and the team played much better.

Will you dispute any of that?

Well, my speculation is that there were conversations where it was mentioned to Doc to get Cassell up to speed with the team because he would be needed for the playoffs. He had a lot of advantages over Eddie as a backup PG. He would be needed in that capacity.

That's my speculation. I have no proof those conversations occurred. I think it's foolhardy to believe they didn't.

Do I think Danny went out of his way to say to Doc that he had to play Sam over Eddie? No. But we have all worked with people who were our superiors within a working place and had things discussed about how that person would like to see things transpire without being told point blank what was expected to be done. It was understood. I think this was one of those things.

Or will Danny cut ties early and call him a mistake? Danny has invested $3.1 million in O'Bryant, more if you count salary cap penalties. Danny gave the team's entire LLE to O'Bryant, or near enough. Could it have been spent wiser? Is that money wasted? Could this be a rather decent sized miscalculation for Danny? Would a more known commodity, someone like a Jake Voskul or Michael Doleac have been the more intelligent move?

  Would either of these players be playing over BBD? Would they have been active for all 4 games or would they have been sitting in suits with Sam? And, if they weren't playing, wouldn't you be claiming that Danny miscalculated when he signed them?

  How many gms look like geniuses if you judge them on players who are on the roster but not part of the regular rotation?
First off, read the post I wrote. I said players like those and not necessarily those too players. I also said that he could have gotten a proven player to fit in as the tenth player in the rotation, not ahead of BBD.

I do believe a good proven veteran would have been playing some minutes each of the four games as the tenth person in a rotation. Doc likes long benches although maybe he has learned his lesson because I love the nine man rotation he is going with. Love it. But a good proven vet, yeah I could see that guy getting minutes ahead of Gabe Pruitt(2nd year guy, no experience), Bill Walker and J R Giddens(unproven rookies, no experience), Sam Cassell(washed up vet that is here to coach), and Scal(nuff said, he's an air ball waiting to happen).

It is still probably way to early to make concrete judgments regarding this move. My point was, could someone better have been a better fit for this team, because it doesn't, at this early juncture, appear that POB is?  Also, my previous opinion of being open minded about his addition has turn sour and I don't like what I have seen or read about the kid in his first 5 weeks as a Celtics.

I think Danny is a fine GM and he has my loyalty. All I am saying is that he could have gaffed badly on Patrick O'Bryant. I had early firm opinions on Darius Miles and I was right. I had early opinions regarding Sam's addition last year and I was wrong. My logic is starting to tell me that Danny may have goofed here and maybe to the tune of:

$3.1 million - POB's salary
$1.55 million-$3.1 million - salary cap penalty
Vet min contract plus salary cap implication to sign another player

This total mistake might cost the team almost $7 million.

Now, maybe that second year of POB's contract isn't guaranteed, but Hoopshype is usually pretty accurate. Maybe they never cut him and maybe he gets his act together and becomes productive. If so, maybe this wasn't a mistake and maybe the money was invested wisely. We will see. But right now, I am not getting a good vibe on the situation.

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2008, 11:11:43 AM »

Offline EJPLAYA

  • NCE
  • Ray Allen
  • ***
  • Posts: 3816
  • Tommy Points: 127
True about the 30th pick, and a couple years down the road I might feel differently, but I would have rather picked Mario Chalmers with that pick. He would have been a great backup pg to Rondo and seems to be playing very well for Miami. I think that spot was a bigger need than JR's.  I wasn't impressed at all though with the preseason play by him. Hopefully the D league will help like it appears to have helped Gabe.

No question POB needs to get up the floor faster. I was hard on BBD his first 3 games, but he played a fair amount better last night. I wish he wouldn't take that awful looking jumper though.

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #20 on: November 05, 2008, 11:15:47 AM »

Offline nickagneta

  • James Naismith
  • *********************************
  • Posts: 48121
  • Tommy Points: 8800
  • President of Jaylen Brown Fan Club
True about the 30th pick, and a couple years down the road I might feel differently, but I would have rather picked Mario Chalmers with that pick. He would have been a great backup pg to Rondo and seems to be playing very well for Miami. I think that spot was a bigger need than JR's.  I wasn't impressed at all though with the preseason play by him. Hopefully the D league will help like it appears to have helped Gabe.

No question POB needs to get up the floor faster. I was hard on BBD his first 3 games, but he played a fair amount better last night. I wish he wouldn't take that awful looking jumper though.
That night I was praying for Donte Green or Darrell Arthur to drop. Those guys I thought would have fit in real well here.

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2008, 11:27:14 AM »

Offline crownsy

  • Don Nelson
  • ********
  • Posts: 8469
  • Tommy Points: 157
True about the 30th pick, and a couple years down the road I might feel differently, but I would have rather picked Mario Chalmers with that pick. He would have been a great backup pg to Rondo and seems to be playing very well for Miami. I think that spot was a bigger need than JR's.  I wasn't impressed at all though with the preseason play by him. Hopefully the D league will help like it appears to have helped Gabe.

No question POB needs to get up the floor faster. I was hard on BBD his first 3 games, but he played a fair amount better last night. I wish he wouldn't take that awful looking jumper though.

i actually would have prefered chalmers too, but I'm still unwilling to rule on giddeons. with the team working out pruitt and Tony in the preseason, he got almost no playing time, I'm willing to wait until we really get a look at him, mabey next year. He's a time investment.

I would have prefered mario though, or even more so CDR because i thinkhe's going to be a great guy off the bench immeditly, and mabey a starter down the road. just not ready to rule on JR yet.

as to baby's jumper, yea, it looks badddd right now. I hear it goes down a ton  in practice though, and as cor mentioned, it might just be a confidence thing. hopefully we get a blow out tonight so if he tries it, he has the luxary of the pressure being off a bit.

“I will hurt you for this. A day will come when you think you’re safe and happy and your joy will turn to ashes in your mouth. And you will know the debt is paid.” – Tyrion

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2008, 12:01:01 PM »

Offline cordobes

  • NCE
  • Ray Allen
  • ***
  • Posts: 3556
  • Tommy Points: 576
  • Basketball is like chess, only without the dice
Way too early to make this assessment! Everyone knew coming in he would not likely contribute right away and would take some time to make him a "Celtic". He has shown flashes of potential, and will either get it or he won't. I think it would be pretty tough to be around KG for a year or two and not change to some degree. He was cheap, didn't prevent us from picking anyone else up, and by the end of the year should really be able to make a judgement.

If you want to make an accurate thought in this title, although I make the same case for him too, how about putting JR Giddens name in that line?! I am much more disappointed in what I have seen out of him, and we used a first round draft pick on the guy. 

we used the 30th pick, which might as well be a 2nd rounder, and in the limited time he played, he looked alright. He's also more of a guard, a position we have alot of depth at, so i'd rather "redshirt" him and send him to the NBDL for the year. I'd like to do the same with walker, but im not sure scal is up to the task of being the back up 3.

as to POB, yea, to early.

His biggest problem seems to be conditioning. He can't keep up when he's on the floor, probley why he got the stink eye from don "run, run run!!!" nelson.

we run less, and he's a halfcourt guy, but he still has to bust it when we get a defensive turnover. If Big baby can run the floor every break, so can POB.



Conditioning is the least of POB's problems, I don't even think it's a problem. Lack of basketball skills is his biggest problem as of now. It's not too early to assess his current skill set, it is what it is.

JR Giddens, at least from my perspective, has showed much more than POB. Solid defensive fundamentals and lateral quickness for a perimeter player. Better chances to build on that than POB.

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #23 on: November 05, 2008, 12:17:17 PM »

Offline crownsy

  • Don Nelson
  • ********
  • Posts: 8469
  • Tommy Points: 157
Way too early to make this assessment! Everyone knew coming in he would not likely contribute right away and would take some time to make him a "Celtic". He has shown flashes of potential, and will either get it or he won't. I think it would be pretty tough to be around KG for a year or two and not change to some degree. He was cheap, didn't prevent us from picking anyone else up, and by the end of the year should really be able to make a judgement.

If you want to make an accurate thought in this title, although I make the same case for him too, how about putting JR Giddens name in that line?! I am much more disappointed in what I have seen out of him, and we used a first round draft pick on the guy. 

we used the 30th pick, which might as well be a 2nd rounder, and in the limited time he played, he looked alright. He's also more of a guard, a position we have alot of depth at, so i'd rather "redshirt" him and send him to the NBDL for the year. I'd like to do the same with walker, but im not sure scal is up to the task of being the back up 3.

as to POB, yea, to early.

His biggest problem seems to be conditioning. He can't keep up when he's on the floor, probley why he got the stink eye from don "run, run run!!!" nelson.

we run less, and he's a halfcourt guy, but he still has to bust it when we get a defensive turnover. If Big baby can run the floor every break, so can POB.



Conditioning is the least of POB's problems, I don't even think it's a problem. Lack of basketball skills is his biggest problem as of now. It's not too early to assess his current skill set, it is what it is.

JR Giddens, at least from my perspective, has showed much more than POB. Solid defensive fundamentals and lateral quickness for a perimeter player. Better chances to build on that than POB.

He's consistantly the last one down the floor on breaks, behind everybody. thats conditioning. I don't belive that he's going "screw running, i want to get down thier after the play is in motion." espcially since when he comes in, he beats guys down the floor.

He gets tired, and thus he gets lazy. Thats conditioning problems.

and lack of defensive skills, right with you, his footwork sucks, but on offense he often looks great. the problem is after a limited amount of time he starts to drag behind and thus can't get down on the block, since the play is over or in motion once he gets down thier. or, he gets down thier and uses it as time to catch his breath and not work.
“I will hurt you for this. A day will come when you think you’re safe and happy and your joy will turn to ashes in your mouth. And you will know the debt is paid.” – Tyrion

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #24 on: November 05, 2008, 01:14:38 PM »

Offline Birdbrain

  • Jim Loscutoff
  • **
  • Posts: 2939
  • Tommy Points: 235
  • 36 charges and counting..
Catastrophic. Its like the Hershel Walker trade happening on the Titanic during the Perfect Storm while listening to the Paris Hilton album... funded by Alt A mortgages...

This may hurt us more than the "Cassell debacle" which prevented us from winning last year's... uh... anyway, huge problem. Best to blow up the team, his salary will be weighing is down for years. Glad you brought this up.

Nice.  It's a miscalculation of monumental proportions. Does that sound bad enough?  Next up.. Is Walker a certified Bust??
Little Fockers 1.5/10
Gulliver's Travels 1/10
Grown Ups -20/10
Tron Legacy 6.5/10

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #25 on: November 05, 2008, 01:32:50 PM »

Offline BballTim

  • Dave Cowens
  • ***********************
  • Posts: 23724
  • Tommy Points: 1123
Danny might be able to sign him. But at this point, after the Cassell debacle late last season, I don't think Danny can force Doc to play him. It would be a huge mistake that could polarize this team.

  Where does this come from? First of all, I was never a Cassell guy. I wasn't excited about the signing before it happened and I had much lower expectations of him than many on this board. But calling his signing/play a debacle is ridiculous.

  But, more to the point, where did you get the notion that Danny foisted Sam on Doc and tried to force Doc play Sam? Either you have quotes to back this up or you're just making things up to cast aspersions on Danny's judgement/abilities as a gm.


I get the notion that Cassell was forced upon Doc to play him from observations, personal speculations, and personal observations from what transpired.

House was playing well. Suddenly Cassell is brought in and he is eating up Eddie's minutes. Cassell wasn't just struggling he was horrible and yet Cassell was continued to be played. Finally the whole Cassell experiment was tossed aside, Eddie came back and the team played much better.

Will you dispute any of that?

  Sure. Sam wasn't "suddenly" brought in. It was discussed ad nauseum for weeks if not months before it happened. And Doc went with Cassell in the playoffs as Rondo's backup. He then switched to House during the Cavs series because Sam was playing so poorly. He then went BACK to Sam during the Detroit series before going back to Eddie during the LA series.

Well, my speculation is that there were conversations where it was mentioned to Doc to get Cassell up to speed with the team because he would be needed for the playoffs. He had a lot of advantages over Eddie as a backup PG. He would be needed in that capacity.

That's my speculation. I have no proof those conversations occurred. I think it's foolhardy to believe they didn't.

  Why is it foolhardy to believe they didn't? How would things have progressed differently if Doc (who's known to favor vet players) wanted Sam on the team and contributing in the playoffs? I'd guess that in that case he'd still want to get Sam up to speed for the playoffs.

  Honestly, if you can't show A) evidence that Danny made Doc play Sam, B) evidence that Danny's dictated lineups to Doc in the past or C) evidence that Doc playing Sam was either out of character or done differently that it would have been done if Doc actually wanted to play Sam then this is pure fantasy.

Or will Danny cut ties early and call him a mistake? Danny has invested $3.1 million in O'Bryant, more if you count salary cap penalties. Danny gave the team's entire LLE to O'Bryant, or near enough. Could it have been spent wiser? Is that money wasted? Could this be a rather decent sized miscalculation for Danny? Would a more known commodity, someone like a Jake Voskul or Michael Doleac have been the more intelligent move?

  Would either of these players be playing over BBD? Would they have been active for all 4 games or would they have been sitting in suits with Sam? And, if they weren't playing, wouldn't you be claiming that Danny miscalculated when he signed them?

  How many gms look like geniuses if you judge them on players who are on the roster but not part of the regular rotation?
First off, read the post I wrote. I said players like those and not necessarily those too players. I also said that he could have gotten a proven player to fit in as the tenth player in the rotation, not ahead of BBD.

I do believe a good proven veteran would have been playing some minutes each of the four games as the tenth person in a rotation. Doc likes long benches although maybe he has learned his lesson because I love the nine man rotation he is going with. Love it. But a good proven vet, yeah I could see that guy getting minutes ahead of Gabe Pruitt(2nd year guy, no experience), Bill Walker and J R Giddens(unproven rookies, no experience), Sam Cassell(washed up vet that is here to coach), and Scal(nuff said, he's an air ball waiting to happen).

  Somehow I don't see our 3rd string center battling for minutes with Gabe Pruitt or JR Giddens.

It is still probably way to early to make concrete judgments regarding this move. My point was, could someone better have been a better fit for this team, because it doesn't, at this early juncture, appear that POB is?  Also, my previous opinion of being open minded about his addition has turn sour and I don't like what I have seen or read about the kid in his first 5 weeks as a Celtics.

I think Danny is a fine GM and he has my loyalty. All I am saying is that he could have gaffed badly on Patrick O'Bryant. I had early firm opinions on Darius Miles and I was right. I had early opinions regarding Sam's addition last year and I was wrong. My logic is starting to tell me that Danny may have goofed here and maybe to the tune of:

$3.1 million - POB's salary
$1.55 million-$3.1 million - salary cap penalty
Vet min contract plus salary cap implication to sign another player

This total mistake might cost the team almost $7 million.

Now, maybe that second year of POB's contract isn't guaranteed, but Hoopshype is usually pretty accurate. Maybe they never cut him and maybe he gets his act together and becomes productive. If so, maybe this wasn't a mistake and maybe the money was invested wisely. We will see. But right now, I am not getting a good vibe on the situation.

  Maybe Danny did make a mistake with POB. I'm not saying he didn't. But he probably signed him expecting a contribution either in the spring or even next fall if he doesn't re-sign Davis or Powe (or just as the 3rd center then. But if the "vet center" that he passed over to take a flyer on POB isn't good enough to take minutes from BBD then it's not much of an issue.

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #26 on: November 05, 2008, 01:38:16 PM »

Offline Mr October

  • Paul Silas
  • ******
  • Posts: 6129
  • Tommy Points: 247
There is still time with POB. Lets give him a year to show what he's got. He was a nice low risk signing.

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #27 on: November 05, 2008, 02:32:32 PM »

Offline ManUp

  • Don Nelson
  • ********
  • Posts: 8511
  • Tommy Points: 285
  • Rondo doesn't believe in easy buckets...
Danny knew exactly what he was getting when he signed him. A project center who might take a while, but definitely had the talent to contribute in a position of need. The main problem with POB is that he doesn't go at 110% all the time. If O'Bryant gave the type of effort Doc wanted he'd be on the floor, skill & talent wise he's an NBA player.

I think O'Bryant doesn't know exactly what Doc wants from him. What POB thinks is 100% probably doesn't cut it for Doc, and it's the same for Davis. That's why you sometimes see Davis running around like a chicken with it's head cut off.

Doc likes players with an attack mentalities. If you look at some of his favorite players from the past (with the exception of Scalabrine) it's obvious what he likes. Doc likes players like Delonte, Gomes, Allen, and Powe. If you think about the way those guys play that's a lot to ask for a lot of energy, but totally under control, just relentless. Not everyone has that mentality and a young player without that won't get much love from Doc.

I think right now the teams just trying to put the right mentality inside of O'Bryant's head. POB is just a bit too laid back on the floor, and Doc's just trying to get him to bring some intensity.

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #28 on: November 05, 2008, 05:10:47 PM »

Offline 2short

  • Paul Silas
  • ******
  • Posts: 6080
  • Tommy Points: 428
It was a worthwhile signing by danny, low risk high reward.  POB shows flashes on offense and is a nba shot blocker right now.  Its his career to salvage or throw away.  His practices are going to be against perk, leon, davis and kg who might kill him.  If he doesn't shed the lazy attitude he's done.  If he "perks" up he is more than an effictive backup.  Too early in season to tell.

Re: How big of a miscalculation is POB?
« Reply #29 on: November 05, 2008, 05:12:40 PM »

Offline wdleehi

  • In The Rafters
  • James Naismith
  • *********************************
  • Posts: 34114
  • Tommy Points: 1612
  • Basketball is Newtonian Physics
I think POB has a lot of work if he wants to keep a roster spot.


Eventually, the Celtics are going to make sure they have a 2nd C they can play in the playoffs.  If POB hasn't taken that spot (or at least shown alot of improvement), I can see the Celtics waiving him to bring in his replacement.