Author Topic: NBA Season 2025-26  (Read 327160 times)

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Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1245 on: Yesterday at 09:08:58 PM »

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OKC beat CLE without SGA or J-Dub.

SGA has now missed the last 7 games for OKC. OKC have 4 wins and 3 losses. He missed another game in early January which OKC won. So OKC have 5 wins and 3 losses in the 8 games SGA has missed. Not bad. Around 50 win pace if they could maintain that over a full season. Good showing without SGA.

J-Dub only played 2 of the recent games without SGA and only played 24 min / 20min in those games but OKC did win both of them. J-Dub has only played 26 games (out of 58 games) this season. They are 19-7 with J-Dub and 25-7 without J-Dub this season. 

Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1246 on: Yesterday at 10:22:16 PM »

Online Moranis

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DEN-HOU-LAL-MIN are all basically tied or within 1 game of each other for the 3-6 seeds. That race and back-and-forth could end up being huge with how the playoffs can do depending on the matchups in the first few rounds.

I might be in the minority but MIN is a team that I think can be a big threat and maybe even make the WCF. They kind of remind me of us in the early 2020s where they'd be a bit bored in the regular season but then lock in and make a deep run in the playoffs, and MIN has come close a few times in recent years to reaching the Finals. Watch out for them.

With the exception of the LA Lakers, I think any of 5 other top 6 seeds in the West are capable of winning the conference and going to the NBA Finals.

OKC
SAS
DEN
MIN
HOU

5 contenders in the West.
Not that I think the Lakers will do anything, but Luka took a worse team to the Finals not that long ago.  Beating the Thunder and Wolves on the way to the Finals.  Obviously those teams are different now (though I'm not sure the Wolves are better), but I do think a Lakers team with Luka, Reaves, and Lebron could cause significant offensive problems for teams.  Their defense isn't good, but it would not surprise me if they won a whole bunch of playoff games 125-122.   
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Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1247 on: Yesterday at 10:45:54 PM »

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DEN-HOU-LAL-MIN are all basically tied or within 1 game of each other for the 3-6 seeds. That race and back-and-forth could end up being huge with how the playoffs can do depending on the matchups in the first few rounds.

I might be in the minority but MIN is a team that I think can be a big threat and maybe even make the WCF. They kind of remind me of us in the early 2020s where they'd be a bit bored in the regular season but then lock in and make a deep run in the playoffs, and MIN has come close a few times in recent years to reaching the Finals. Watch out for them.

With the exception of the LA Lakers, I think any of 5 other top 6 seeds in the West are capable of winning the conference and going to the NBA Finals.

OKC
SAS
DEN
MIN
HOU

5 contenders in the West.
Not that I think the Lakers will do anything, but Luka took a worse team to the Finals not that long ago.  Beating the Thunder and Wolves on the way to the Finals.  Obviously those teams are different now (though I'm not sure the Wolves are better), but I do think a Lakers team with Luka, Reaves, and Lebron could cause significant offensive problems for teams.  Their defense isn't good, but it would not surprise me if they won a whole bunch of playoff games 125-122.

Yeah. I expected more from them. That is a good trio. I am with you there. I just haven't seen enough out of the Lakers thus far to consider them a threat in the post-season.

I don't think their supporting cast is working out.

Smart has been a disaster for them. A large net negative. They got rid of Gabe Vincent (who wasn't great) which means Bronny or Nick Smith Jr are the next guards up on the depth chart.

The loss of DFS in the off-season has hurt. Vanderbilt is too limited - good defensively but atrocious offensively. Hachimura is the only dependable role player. Actually, strike that, Jake LaRavia as well. Both are bigger slower forwards like LeBron & Luka (defensively at least). Not great for team speed / matching up defensively.

Ayton has been okay but lukewarm. There isn't much help there beyond their Big 3. Their role players don't contribute enough. And their team defense isn't good enough either.

I expect them to have a tough time in the playoffs.

----------------

I forget who it was. I was listening to someone around the trade deadline. Maybe Legler. Maybe Jason Timpf. Whoever it was they were talking about the Lakers picking up Kennard. They were much higher on the pickup than I was. Their reasoning was that the Lakers lack so much in 3pt shooting in their role players. They don't have enough spot up shooting to take advantage of all the playmaking of Luka, LeBron and A Reaves.

They were saying Hachimura is their only dependable spot up shooter. He is making 1.8 threes per game on 44.5%. Smart takes 3s but he is shooting only 33%. Vanderbilt can't shoot. LaRavia only makes 1.1 threes per game at 33%. Gabe Vincent was okay but they lost him to get Kennard. Neither of their centers can shoot 3s. It is really just Hachimura and Kennard as quality three point shooters.

They were pointing out that LAL just do not have the right personnel in their supporting cast. Luka needs shooters around him. LeBron needs shooters. A Reaves. Those guys create so many open looks for people. Most of LAL's players are reluctant to even shoot the 3 when it is created for them. Only Hachimura and Kennard can shoot it with good volume & accuracy. It is not enough.
« Last Edit: Yesterday at 10:52:26 PM by Who »

Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1248 on: Yesterday at 11:08:59 PM »

Online Moranis

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Lebron, Luka, and Austin shoot like 22 3's between them.  Rui adds another 4 and Smart is just under 5.  There aren't exactly a lot of shots outside of those 5.  They do need some better shooters, but they'd be very low volume just from a numbers game.
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Rotation - D. Daniels, Mitchell, G. Wallace, Melo, Noah
Deep Bench - Korver, Turner

Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1249 on: Today at 01:36:16 AM »

Online smicker16

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DEN-HOU-LAL-MIN are all basically tied or within 1 game of each other for the 3-6 seeds. That race and back-and-forth could end up being huge with how the playoffs can do depending on the matchups in the first few rounds.

I might be in the minority but MIN is a team that I think can be a big threat and maybe even make the WCF. They kind of remind me of us in the early 2020s where they'd be a bit bored in the regular season but then lock in and make a deep run in the playoffs, and MIN has come close a few times in recent years to reaching the Finals. Watch out for them.

With the exception of the LA Lakers, I think any of 5 other top 6 seeds in the West are capable of winning the conference and going to the NBA Finals.

OKC
SAS
DEN
MIN
HOU

5 contenders in the West.
Not that I think the Lakers will do anything, but Luka took a worse team to the Finals not that long ago.  Beating the Thunder and Wolves on the way to the Finals.  Obviously those teams are different now (though I'm not sure the Wolves are better), but I do think a Lakers team with Luka, Reaves, and Lebron could cause significant offensive problems for teams.  Their defense isn't good, but it would not surprise me if they won a whole bunch of playoff games 125-122.

I do think the Lakers offensive talent will give some teams problems but I am not sure the Mavs were a worse team. Kyrie felt like a better player than LeBron and Reeves at this point in their careers. Gafford and Lively were a better big man combination than Ayton and Hayes. Washington was a better role player than Rui or Laravia. I feel the Mavs had better coaching. Just think the Mavs roster complimented Luka more than the Lakers. It feels pretty close between the two as to which cast around Luka was better. And I do think the West is better now than it was then too.

Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1250 on: Today at 02:03:38 AM »

Offline SparzWizard

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What is wrong with Denver. Jokic with a monster triple-double tonight but still fell short to the Warriors without Curry, Draymond, and Porzingis.


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Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1251 on: Today at 07:43:52 AM »

Offline letsgoblue86

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What is wrong with Denver. Jokic with a monster triple-double tonight but still fell short to the Warriors without Curry, Draymond, and Porzingis.
They have no defense. Esp bad without Gordon.

Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1252 on: Today at 08:46:24 AM »

Online Moranis

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DEN-HOU-LAL-MIN are all basically tied or within 1 game of each other for the 3-6 seeds. That race and back-and-forth could end up being huge with how the playoffs can do depending on the matchups in the first few rounds.

I might be in the minority but MIN is a team that I think can be a big threat and maybe even make the WCF. They kind of remind me of us in the early 2020s where they'd be a bit bored in the regular season but then lock in and make a deep run in the playoffs, and MIN has come close a few times in recent years to reaching the Finals. Watch out for them.

With the exception of the LA Lakers, I think any of 5 other top 6 seeds in the West are capable of winning the conference and going to the NBA Finals.

OKC
SAS
DEN
MIN
HOU

5 contenders in the West.
Not that I think the Lakers will do anything, but Luka took a worse team to the Finals not that long ago.  Beating the Thunder and Wolves on the way to the Finals.  Obviously those teams are different now (though I'm not sure the Wolves are better), but I do think a Lakers team with Luka, Reaves, and Lebron could cause significant offensive problems for teams.  Their defense isn't good, but it would not surprise me if they won a whole bunch of playoff games 125-122.

I do think the Lakers offensive talent will give some teams problems but I am not sure the Mavs were a worse team. Kyrie felt like a better player than LeBron and Reeves at this point in their careers. Gafford and Lively were a better big man combination than Ayton and Hayes. Washington was a better role player than Rui or Laravia. I feel the Mavs had better coaching. Just think the Mavs roster complimented Luka more than the Lakers. It feels pretty close between the two as to which cast around Luka was better. And I do think the West is better now than it was then too.
I don't really think Kyrie was better than either Reaves or Lebron, but even if he was, there are 2 of those guys on the Lakers and just 1 on the Mavs.  Now we're the Mavs better fits, maybe but it would be more from someone like Derrick Jones who is a fairly classic 3 and D player.  Lively was a rookie and played like one at many different points though he and Gafford were both plus shot blockers (and never played together).  Rui is better than PJ on both ends of the court. 

The West is better this year, but I'd take the Lakers over that Mavs team any time and under any rules system.  They have way more talent overall. 
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Rotation - D. Daniels, Mitchell, G. Wallace, Melo, Noah
Deep Bench - Korver, Turner

Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1253 on: Today at 09:32:23 AM »

Offline keevsnick

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What is wrong with Denver. Jokic with a monster triple-double tonight but still fell short to the Warriors without Curry, Draymond, and Porzingis.
They have no defense. Esp bad without Gordon.

And Peyton Watson out too. Gordon and Watson have been probably their 3rd and 4th best players this year. Both excellent 3&D guys.

Denver now 4-6 since Jokic returned.

Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1254 on: Today at 12:32:14 PM »

Online Vermont Green

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Here are the winning percentages for all teams since Jan 1 (varies from 21 to 26 games depending on team).  Some real surprises in there for me.

17    5   0.773   Detroit Pistons
17    6   0.739   Cleveland Cavaliers
17    7   0.708   Boston Celtics
16    7   0.696   San Antonio Spurs
16    9   0.640   Charlotte Hornets
16    9   0.640   LA Clippers
14    8   0.636   Toronto Raptors
15    9   0.625   Oklahoma City Thunder
14   10   0.583   Minnesota Timberwolves
14   10   0.583   Portland Trail Blazers
14   11   0.560   Houston Rockets
14   11   0.560   Los Angeles Lakers
14   11   0.560   New York Knicks
14   11   0.560   Phoenix Suns
14   12   0.538   Philadelphia 76ers
12   11   0.522   Golden State Warriors
13   12   0.520   Denver Nuggets
13   12   0.520   Miami Heat
12   12   0.500   Atlanta Hawks
11   11   0.500   Orlando Magic
10   11   0.476   Milwaukee Bucks
 9   15   0.375   Indiana Pacers
 8   14   0.364   Dallas Mavericks
 8   15   0.348   New Orleans Pelicans
 8   16   0.333   Washington Wizards
 8   17   0.320   Chicago Bulls
 6   16   0.273   Memphis Grizzlies
 6   19   0.240   Utah Jazz
 5   21   0.192   Brooklyn Nets
 4   21   0.160   Sacramento Kings

Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1255 on: Today at 12:32:59 PM »

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Quote
Tyrese Haliburton was diagnosed with shingles and will be away from the Indiana Pacers for a few weeks, according to head coach Rick Carlisle.

That is an odd one. Wasn't there some link between Covid and the rise / return of shingles?

Quote
Phoenix Suns wing Dillon Brooks sustained a broken left hand in his team's victory over the Orlando Magic on Saturday. Brooks was injured after just playing just over seven minutes. Despite being without Brooks and Devin Booker, the Suns beat the Magic in double overtime.

On the season, Brooks has averaged a career-high 21.2 points per game.

Big loss for Phoenix. That could threaten his chances of being available for the playoffs.

Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1256 on: Today at 12:36:05 PM »

Offline Donoghus

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I wouldn't wish shingles on my worst enemy.   It is awful and incredibly painful.


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Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1257 on: Today at 12:53:13 PM »

Offline Neurotic Guy

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I wouldn't wish shingles on my worst enemy.   It is awful and incredibly painful.

I had it about 15 years ago - was lucky, bad rash but not the misery others have had.  I would have thought young people like Tyrese would be unlikely to get it.

Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1258 on: Today at 01:09:49 PM »

Online slamtheking

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Here are the winning percentages for all teams since Jan 1 (varies from 21 to 26 games depending on team).  Some real surprises in there for me.

17    5   0.773   Detroit Pistons
17    6   0.739   Cleveland Cavaliers
17    7   0.708   Boston Celtics
16    7   0.696   San Antonio Spurs
16    9   0.640   Charlotte Hornets
16    9   0.640   LA Clippers
14    8   0.636   Toronto Raptors
15    9   0.625   Oklahoma City Thunder
14   10   0.583   Minnesota Timberwolves
14   10   0.583   Portland Trail Blazers
14   11   0.560   Houston Rockets
14   11   0.560   Los Angeles Lakers
14   11   0.560   New York Knicks
14   11   0.560   Phoenix Suns
14   12   0.538   Philadelphia 76ers
12   11   0.522   Golden State Warriors
13   12   0.520   Denver Nuggets
13   12   0.520   Miami Heat
12   12   0.500   Atlanta Hawks
11   11   0.500   Orlando Magic
10   11   0.476   Milwaukee Bucks
 9   15   0.375   Indiana Pacers
 8   14   0.364   Dallas Mavericks
 8   15   0.348   New Orleans Pelicans
 8   16   0.333   Washington Wizards
 8   17   0.320   Chicago Bulls
 6   16   0.273   Memphis Grizzlies
 6   19   0.240   Utah Jazz
 5   21   0.192   Brooklyn Nets
 4   21   0.160   Sacramento Kings
interesting that the top 3 teams, 4 of the top 5 and 5 of the top 7 are in the East.  Enjoying the fact the Knicks aren't one of them.

Re: NBA Season 2025-26
« Reply #1259 on: Today at 03:57:17 PM »

Online Celtics4ever

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I am expecting CLE to implode in the playoffs with James Harden has a career NBA playoff record of  90-83 across 173 games.  He is not a good playoff player at all.