From the Game Thread
How is SGA the MVP favorite now over Jokic? OKC has a talented team around him too right?
Meanwhile Tatum and even someone like Giannis gets screwed over
Interesting comparison of supporting casts
Supporting Star PlayersJ-Dub vs Jamal Murray
Chet vs MPJ
Hartenstein vs Aaron Gordon
That is an interesting comparison of supporting star players. I would think Hartenstein and Aaron Gordon is fairly even. Chet is far more dynamic than MPJ. That said, Chet and Hartenstein have both missed significant time so I am not sure this has created an advantage for SGA / OKC in the standings.
The big one there is Jalen Williams vs Jamal Murray. Murray has struggled for the first month and a half of the season. He has picked up lately but clearly he has not been in All-Star form this season. Jamal Murray of post-season fame has outplayed J-Dub but he hasn't this regular season. J-Dub has outplayed him. Advantage SGA.
Role PlayersLu Dort vs C Braun
A Caruso vs Westbrook
C Wallace vs P Watson
I Joe vs J Strawther
Kenrich Williams vs DeAndre Jordan
That is actually close than I would have expected it to be. Denver has a weak supporting cast. OKC has some super role players. Only really 2 though with Lu Dort and Alex Caruso ... then their supporting cast gets weak.
C Braun has played very well. Dort is an elite defender. Braun is a very good defender. Braun is a more dynamic / rounded offensive player. Dort a better three point shooter. Advantage Dort but Braun's growth has shrunk the size of that gap.
Alex Caruso and Westbrook is a great one. Polar opposites. I'd rather have Caruso in 95% of situations. A low usage high end glue guy whereas Westbrook is a ball dominant bad shooting creative player which as a result is generally less useful on title contenders. In some situations though, that offensive creation is more valuable.
Caruso has sucked offensively this year with 38% FG% and 26% 3PT%. Westbrook has sucked with his shooting too but has actually out-shot Caruso with 45% FG% 31% 3PT%. He has out-rebounded and out-assisted Caruso. Caruso has obviously played the better defense and played a role in OKC's league leading defense. Caruso is also averaging an outstanding 1.9 steals in only 20mpg. Westbrook gets 1.7spg in 26mpg which is also very good but his general defense isn't as good. I am not sure this has been an advantage for SGA / OKC.
The Isaiah Joe vs Julian Strawther looks a wash. I lean Strawther because he is bigger physically. Similar type of players. Both shooters. Strawther has actually shown more off the dribble and the ability to be a well rounded offensive player. A little passing too. Neither guy convinces defensively. Strawther slow footed. Joe small and easily bullied. So either neutral or advantage Strawther.
Cason Wallace vs Peyton Watson. I like Cason. A high level defensive PG with a developing low usage offensive game. Similar to A Caruso. Again though, shooting the ball badly this season. Only 41% FG% 29% 3PT%. Peyton Watson is a dodgy shooter too with only 2 3PAs in 24mpg but he makes the a solid number shots he takes at 49.5% FG% and 35% 3PT%. Cason the better defender. Peyton is useful defensively but his lack of three point shooting limits him. I am not sure this has worked out as an advantage for either team. I say this is a wash. Long term, advantage OKC as Cason is a legit talent.
Both team's backup centers suck. Whose suck less? I don't know. They both suck. OKC play 6-6 J-Dub at center to avoid playing their backup big man.
Team RecordOKC = 27 wins 5 losses
DEN = 18 wins 13 losses
Is OKC's supporting cast that much better to justify this difference in the standings?
Especially given the injuries to Hartenstein / Chet? I forgot to mention A Gordon has missed a significant chunk of time as well (17 played, 14 games missed). Chet has played 10 games missed 21 games. Harteinstein 17 games played 14 games missed. Same as A Gordon. So it would be 10 games of Chet or 31 games from MPJ. Clear advantage DEN. Chet is better than MPJ but he is not that much better to make up 3 times as many games played.