Author Topic: 2024 NBA Season and Playoffs  (Read 1010673 times)

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Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2505 on: January 25, 2024, 09:33:29 PM »

Offline jpotter33

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Hasn't JB played most of his minutes as a small forward this year with us going small more often? I don't have a problem with him as a forward, as I think he's played more as a forward this year than guard.
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Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2506 on: January 25, 2024, 09:38:13 PM »

Offline tazzmaniac

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How the hell is Lillard an all-star starter???

Quote
The 2024 #NBAAllStar Starters!

EAST

Giannis Antetokounmpo (captain)
Joel Embiid
Tyrese Haliburton
Damian Lillard
Jayson Tatum

WEST

LeBron James (captain)
Luka Doncic
Kevin Durant
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Nikola Jokic

They had Jaylen Brown listed as a forward. That seems silly to me. He is a guard. He should have beat out Damian Lillard for the second guard spot.  Lillard has not been the second best guard in the east this season.

He was drafted as a small-forward  ;)
And with White and Holiday starting Jaylen is filling the traditional small forward role. 

Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2507 on: January 25, 2024, 09:40:52 PM »

Offline tazzmaniac

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Hasn't JB played most of his minutes as a small forward this year with us going small more often? I don't have a problem with him as a forward, as I think he's played more as a forward this year than guard.
Basketball-reference's position estimate has Jaylen as the SF 68% of the time. 

Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2508 on: January 25, 2024, 09:56:29 PM »

Offline ozgod

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I know KP probably has the best claim outside of the Jays to be the third Celtic, but I kind of hope Derrick gets it for 2 reasons: 1) KP's been recognized as an All Star before already and I don't want him getting hurt in some meaningless game and 2) I feel like it would be great recognition for Derrick's impact on our team. According to advanced stats he's the player that contributes most to winning in our team and he does it not just by scoring. And I like the fact that our Top 6 players would be all All-Stars (current and past)  :police:
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Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2509 on: January 25, 2024, 09:58:28 PM »

Offline radiohead

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Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2510 on: January 25, 2024, 10:00:45 PM »

Offline jpotter33

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I know KP probably has the best claim outside of the Jays to be the third Celtic, but I kind of hope Derrick gets it for 2 reasons: 1) KP's been recognized as an All Star before already and I don't want him getting hurt in some meaningless game and 2) I feel like it would be great recognition for Derrick's impact on our team. According to advanced stats he's the player that contributes most to winning in our team and he does it not just by scoring. And I like the fact that our Top 6 players would be all All-Stars (current and past)  :police:

With Dame making the starter spot and the coaches - who usually favor winning (White) over individual stats (Trae) - he has a shot.

I do think it's a 50/50 shot that we get a third All-Star at this point. With us distinguishing ourselves as the clear favorite at this point with a significant record lead, I think that'll show up favorably for the coaches. I just hope they don't compete against each other for a wildcard spot as the third Celtic and take votes away from each other.
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Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2511 on: January 25, 2024, 10:30:02 PM »

Offline Vermont Green

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How the hell is Lillard an all-star starter???

Quote
The 2024 #NBAAllStar Starters!

EAST

Giannis Antetokounmpo (captain)
Joel Embiid
Tyrese Haliburton
Damian Lillard
Jayson Tatum

WEST

LeBron James (captain)
Luka Doncic
Kevin Durant
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Nikola Jokic

They had Jaylen Brown listed as a forward. That seems silly to me. He is a guard. He should have beat out Damian Lillard for the second guard spot.  Lillard has not been the second best guard in the east this season.

He was drafted as a small-forward  ;)
And with White and Holiday starting Jaylen is filling the traditional small forward role.
I just don’t agree. We play with three guards. Tatum isn’t a power forward and Brown’s natural position isn’t small forward. He can play small forward. But that is not his natural position. His natural position is shooting guard. It has been his position for most of his career.

I can see how our lineups have led to him getting categorized as a forward. They want to apply the classic two guards two forwards one Center mold but it just doesn’t apply to this team this year.

Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2512 on: January 25, 2024, 10:40:22 PM »

Offline Who

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Jaylen is clearly a guard, but he also has worse stats than Lillard so he wouldn't start over him anyway.  Brunson should be starting with Haliburton.

Jaylen shooting 49% from field, 36% from 3. 23, 5 and 4 with above average defense. Lilliard 25, 4, 7 with 43% from field 35% from 3 with league worse defense for a team with a worse record. Lillard +204, brown +298. What stats are you referring
To? Or was this blind negativity towards Celtics hoping nobody had internet access?

Lillard has superior overall scoring efficiency at 60.3% TS% over Jaylen's 57.8% (average mark). Lillard gets to the FT line a lot more than Jaylen so even though Lillard hasn't shot the ball as well, he gets a lot of easy points at the line. He gets to the FT line at almost twice the rate of Jaylen. Jaylen gets 4.4 FTA. Lillard 8.1 FTA.

Add in Lillard's superior playmaking with 6.8apg to Jaylen's 3.4apg and Lillard is clearly having a much larger impact on the game offensively than Jaylen is. Offensive box plus/minus on Bball-ref has Lillard at a +3.8 to Jaylen's +0.7.

Jaylen is much better defensively. An above average defender vs Lillard's poor defense. Defensive box plus/minus on Bball-ref has Lillard as a -1.5 (bad) and Jaylen at +0.2.

I don't know how I'd rank them overall. I do think it is clear that Lillard has been far better offensively than Jaylen and that Jaylen has been far better than Lillard defensively.

Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2513 on: January 25, 2024, 11:22:29 PM »

Offline celticsclay

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Jaylen is clearly a guard, but he also has worse stats than Lillard so he wouldn't start over him anyway.  Brunson should be starting with Haliburton.

Jaylen shooting 49% from field, 36% from 3. 23, 5 and 4 with above average defense. Lilliard 25, 4, 7 with 43% from field 35% from 3 with league worse defense for a team with a worse record. Lillard +204, brown +298. What stats are you referring
To? Or was this blind negativity towards Celtics hoping nobody had internet access?

Lillard has superior overall scoring efficiency at 60.3% TS% over Jaylen's 57.8% (average mark). Lillard gets to the FT line a lot more than Jaylen so even though Lillard hasn't shot the ball as well, he gets a lot of easy points at the line. He gets to the FT line at almost twice the rate of Jaylen. Jaylen gets 4.4 FTA. Lillard 8.1 FTA.

Add in Lillard's superior playmaking with 6.8apg to Jaylen's 3.4apg and Lillard is clearly having a much larger impact on the game offensively than Jaylen is. Offensive box plus/minus on Bball-ref has Lillard at a +3.8 to Jaylen's +0.7.

Jaylen is much better defensively. An above average defender vs Lillard's poor defense. Defensive box plus/minus on Bball-ref has Lillard as a -1.5 (bad) and Jaylen at +0.2.

I don't know how I'd rank them overall. I do think it is clear that Lillard has been far better offensively than Jaylen and that Jaylen has been far better than Lillard defensively.

Yes of course lillard is gonna have more assists… they have very similar stats overall when you take into account defensive stats. Saying lillard has better stats is highly debatable. When you add in Jaylen is on the better team there isn’t much of an argument for Lilliard starting over him. 

Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2514 on: January 26, 2024, 12:39:26 AM »

Online Moranis

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Jaylen is clearly a guard, but he also has worse stats than Lillard so he wouldn't start over him anyway.  Brunson should be starting with Haliburton.

Jaylen shooting 49% from field, 36% from 3. 23, 5 and 4 with above average defense. Lilliard 25, 4, 7 with 43% from field 35% from 3 with league worse defense for a team with a worse record. Lillard +204, brown +298. What stats are you referring
To? Or was this blind negativity towards Celtics hoping nobody had internet access?

Lillard has superior overall scoring efficiency at 60.3% TS% over Jaylen's 57.8% (average mark). Lillard gets to the FT line a lot more than Jaylen so even though Lillard hasn't shot the ball as well, he gets a lot of easy points at the line. He gets to the FT line at almost twice the rate of Jaylen. Jaylen gets 4.4 FTA. Lillard 8.1 FTA.

Add in Lillard's superior playmaking with 6.8apg to Jaylen's 3.4apg and Lillard is clearly having a much larger impact on the game offensively than Jaylen is. Offensive box plus/minus on Bball-ref has Lillard at a +3.8 to Jaylen's +0.7.

Jaylen is much better defensively. An above average defender vs Lillard's poor defense. Defensive box plus/minus on Bball-ref has Lillard as a -1.5 (bad) and Jaylen at +0.2.

I don't know how I'd rank them overall. I do think it is clear that Lillard has been far better offensively than Jaylen and that Jaylen has been far better than Lillard defensively.

Yes of course lillard is gonna have more assists… they have very similar stats overall when you take into account defensive stats. Saying lillard has better stats is highly debatable. When you add in Jaylen is on the better team there isn’t much of an argument for Lilliard starting over him.
Lillard scores over 2 more ppg on 0.5 less fga.  Lillard has nearly double the assists and turns it over less. Lillard commits 1 less foul and gets an equal amount of steals.  Brown gets about 1 more rebound and about a half a block more per game.  Lillard has a better PER on a lower usage.  Lillard has more total WS, better WS per 48, a better bpm, a better vorp, and just about any other advanced metric you want to look at.  The stats are not close and while Brown is obviously a better defensive player there is a larger gap offensively, which is why the stats aren't close.  Lillard has better stats than Brown because Lillard is a better player than Brown, even as he adjusts to a new team and new role.
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Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2515 on: January 26, 2024, 01:43:47 AM »

Offline celticsclay

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Jaylen is clearly a guard, but he also has worse stats than Lillard so he wouldn't start over him anyway.  Brunson should be starting with Haliburton.

Jaylen shooting 49% from field, 36% from 3. 23, 5 and 4 with above average defense. Lilliard 25, 4, 7 with 43% from field 35% from 3 with league worse defense for a team with a worse record. Lillard +204, brown +298. What stats are you referring
To? Or was this blind negativity towards Celtics hoping nobody had internet access?

Lillard has superior overall scoring efficiency at 60.3% TS% over Jaylen's 57.8% (average mark). Lillard gets to the FT line a lot more than Jaylen so even though Lillard hasn't shot the ball as well, he gets a lot of easy points at the line. He gets to the FT line at almost twice the rate of Jaylen. Jaylen gets 4.4 FTA. Lillard 8.1 FTA.

Add in Lillard's superior playmaking with 6.8apg to Jaylen's 3.4apg and Lillard is clearly having a much larger impact on the game offensively than Jaylen is. Offensive box plus/minus on Bball-ref has Lillard at a +3.8 to Jaylen's +0.7.

Jaylen is much better defensively. An above average defender vs Lillard's poor defense. Defensive box plus/minus on Bball-ref has Lillard as a -1.5 (bad) and Jaylen at +0.2.

I don't know how I'd rank them overall. I do think it is clear that Lillard has been far better offensively than Jaylen and that Jaylen has been far better than Lillard defensively.

Yes of course lillard is gonna have more assists… they have very similar stats overall when you take into account defensive stats. Saying lillard has better stats is highly debatable. When you add in Jaylen is on the better team there isn’t much of an argument for Lilliard starting over him.
Lillard scores over 2 more ppg on 0.5 less fga.  Lillard has nearly double the assists and turns it over less. Lillard commits 1 less foul and gets an equal amount of steals.  Brown gets about 1 more rebound and about a half a block more per game.  Lillard has a better PER on a lower usage.  Lillard has more total WS, better WS per 48, a better bpm, a better vorp, and just about any other advanced metric you want to look at.  The stats are not close and while Brown is obviously a better defensive player there is a larger gap offensively, which is why the stats aren't close.  Lillard has better stats than Brown because Lillard is a better player than Brown, even as he adjusts to a new team and new role.

Whatever you say chief

Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2516 on: January 26, 2024, 01:47:10 AM »

Offline Who

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Utah were 9-17. They have won 14 of their last 20 games to go .500 tonight.

Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2517 on: January 26, 2024, 06:25:14 AM »

Offline Kernewek

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Jaylen is clearly a guard, but he also has worse stats than Lillard so he wouldn't start over him anyway.  Brunson should be starting with Haliburton.

Jaylen shooting 49% from field, 36% from 3. 23, 5 and 4 with above average defense. Lilliard 25, 4, 7 with 43% from field 35% from 3 with league worse defense for a team with a worse record. Lillard +204, brown +298. What stats are you referring
To? Or was this blind negativity towards Celtics hoping nobody had internet access?

Lillard has superior overall scoring efficiency at 60.3% TS% over Jaylen's 57.8% (average mark). Lillard gets to the FT line a lot more than Jaylen so even though Lillard hasn't shot the ball as well, he gets a lot of easy points at the line. He gets to the FT line at almost twice the rate of Jaylen. Jaylen gets 4.4 FTA. Lillard 8.1 FTA.

Add in Lillard's superior playmaking with 6.8apg to Jaylen's 3.4apg and Lillard is clearly having a much larger impact on the game offensively than Jaylen is. Offensive box plus/minus on Bball-ref has Lillard at a +3.8 to Jaylen's +0.7.

Jaylen is much better defensively. An above average defender vs Lillard's poor defense. Defensive box plus/minus on Bball-ref has Lillard as a -1.5 (bad) and Jaylen at +0.2.

I don't know how I'd rank them overall. I do think it is clear that Lillard has been far better offensively than Jaylen and that Jaylen has been far better than Lillard defensively.

Yes of course lillard is gonna have more assists… they have very similar stats overall when you take into account defensive stats. Saying lillard has better stats is highly debatable. When you add in Jaylen is on the better team there isn’t much of an argument for Lilliard starting over him.
Lillard scores over 2 more ppg on 0.5 less fga.  Lillard has nearly double the assists and turns it over less. Lillard commits 1 less foul and gets an equal amount of steals.  Brown gets about 1 more rebound and about a half a block more per game.  Lillard has a better PER on a lower usage.  Lillard has more total WS, better WS per 48, a better bpm, a better vorp, and just about any other advanced metric you want to look at.  The stats are not close and while Brown is obviously a better defensive player there is a larger gap offensively, which is why the stats aren't close.  Lillard has better stats than Brown because Lillard is a better player than Brown, even as he adjusts to a new team and new role.

Whatever you say chief
Eh, I think most people would say that Lillard is probably more valuable to more teams, even if Brown is a much better fit for us.
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Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2518 on: January 26, 2024, 06:49:08 AM »

Online Moranis

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Jaylen is clearly a guard, but he also has worse stats than Lillard so he wouldn't start over him anyway.  Brunson should be starting with Haliburton.

Jaylen shooting 49% from field, 36% from 3. 23, 5 and 4 with above average defense. Lilliard 25, 4, 7 with 43% from field 35% from 3 with league worse defense for a team with a worse record. Lillard +204, brown +298. What stats are you referring
To? Or was this blind negativity towards Celtics hoping nobody had internet access?

Lillard has superior overall scoring efficiency at 60.3% TS% over Jaylen's 57.8% (average mark). Lillard gets to the FT line a lot more than Jaylen so even though Lillard hasn't shot the ball as well, he gets a lot of easy points at the line. He gets to the FT line at almost twice the rate of Jaylen. Jaylen gets 4.4 FTA. Lillard 8.1 FTA.

Add in Lillard's superior playmaking with 6.8apg to Jaylen's 3.4apg and Lillard is clearly having a much larger impact on the game offensively than Jaylen is. Offensive box plus/minus on Bball-ref has Lillard at a +3.8 to Jaylen's +0.7.

Jaylen is much better defensively. An above average defender vs Lillard's poor defense. Defensive box plus/minus on Bball-ref has Lillard as a -1.5 (bad) and Jaylen at +0.2.

I don't know how I'd rank them overall. I do think it is clear that Lillard has been far better offensively than Jaylen and that Jaylen has been far better than Lillard defensively.

Yes of course lillard is gonna have more assists… they have very similar stats overall when you take into account defensive stats. Saying lillard has better stats is highly debatable. When you add in Jaylen is on the better team there isn’t much of an argument for Lilliard starting over him.
Lillard scores over 2 more ppg on 0.5 less fga.  Lillard has nearly double the assists and turns it over less. Lillard commits 1 less foul and gets an equal amount of steals.  Brown gets about 1 more rebound and about a half a block more per game.  Lillard has a better PER on a lower usage.  Lillard has more total WS, better WS per 48, a better bpm, a better vorp, and just about any other advanced metric you want to look at.  The stats are not close and while Brown is obviously a better defensive player there is a larger gap offensively, which is why the stats aren't close.  Lillard has better stats than Brown because Lillard is a better player than Brown, even as he adjusts to a new team and new role.

Whatever you say chief
Eh, I think most people would say that Lillard is probably more valuable to more teams, even if Brown is a much better fit for us.
my orogonal comment wasn't even about that. All I said was Lillard had better stats and thus implied because of that, that Lillard would be more likely to be an all star.  There is nothing controversial or untrue in that statement.  Lillard had better stats than Brown. 

I mentioned Brunson, but I looked at this a bit deeper. My 5th starter would have been Mitchell.  What he has done after Garland and Mobley went down has been amazing.  Cavs are on a role and he is playing great.  Mitchell might be in the top 5 of MVP at this point (I didn't look that closely).  His numbers are great and the Cavs are winning down 2 starters
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Re: NBA Season 2023-24
« Reply #2519 on: January 26, 2024, 08:05:08 AM »

Offline RodyTur10

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Jaylen is clearly a guard, but he also has worse stats than Lillard so he wouldn't start over him anyway.  Brunson should be starting with Haliburton.

Jaylen shooting 49% from field, 36% from 3. 23, 5 and 4 with above average defense. Lilliard 25, 4, 7 with 43% from field 35% from 3 with league worse defense for a team with a worse record. Lillard +204, brown +298. What stats are you referring
To? Or was this blind negativity towards Celtics hoping nobody had internet access?

Lillard has superior overall scoring efficiency at 60.3% TS% over Jaylen's 57.8% (average mark). Lillard gets to the FT line a lot more than Jaylen so even though Lillard hasn't shot the ball as well, he gets a lot of easy points at the line. He gets to the FT line at almost twice the rate of Jaylen. Jaylen gets 4.4 FTA. Lillard 8.1 FTA.

Add in Lillard's superior playmaking with 6.8apg to Jaylen's 3.4apg and Lillard is clearly having a much larger impact on the game offensively than Jaylen is. Offensive box plus/minus on Bball-ref has Lillard at a +3.8 to Jaylen's +0.7.

Jaylen is much better defensively. An above average defender vs Lillard's poor defense. Defensive box plus/minus on Bball-ref has Lillard as a -1.5 (bad) and Jaylen at +0.2.

I don't know how I'd rank them overall. I do think it is clear that Lillard has been far better offensively than Jaylen and that Jaylen has been far better than Lillard defensively.

Yes of course lillard is gonna have more assists… they have very similar stats overall when you take into account defensive stats. Saying lillard has better stats is highly debatable. When you add in Jaylen is on the better team there isn’t much of an argument for Lilliard starting over him.
Lillard scores over 2 more ppg on 0.5 less fga.  Lillard has nearly double the assists and turns it over less. Lillard commits 1 less foul and gets an equal amount of steals.  Brown gets about 1 more rebound and about a half a block more per game.  Lillard has a better PER on a lower usage.  Lillard has more total WS, better WS per 48, a better bpm, a better vorp, and just about any other advanced metric you want to look at.  The stats are not close and while Brown is obviously a better defensive player there is a larger gap offensively, which is why the stats aren't close.  Lillard has better stats than Brown because Lillard is a better player than Brown, even as he adjusts to a new team and new role.

Whatever you say chief
Eh, I think most people would say that Lillard is probably more valuable to more teams, even if Brown is a much better fit for us.
my orogonal comment wasn't even about that. All I said was Lillard had better stats and thus implied because of that, that Lillard would be more likely to be an all star.  There is nothing controversial or untrue in that statement.  Lillard had better stats than Brown. 

I mentioned Brunson, but I looked at this a bit deeper. My 5th starter would have been Mitchell.  What he has done after Garland and Mobley went down has been amazing.  Cavs are on a role and he is playing great.  Mitchell might be in the top 5 of MVP at this point (I didn't look that closely).  His numbers are great and the Cavs are winning down 2 starters

Mitchell would be mine too. He's overlooked, like Markkanen and Sabonis may be overlooked as reserves in the West. Stars who shine under the radar on smaller franchises.