Author Topic: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis  (Read 25747 times)

0 Members and 0 Guests are viewing this topic.

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #60 on: July 24, 2023, 07:44:10 AM »

Offline Neurotic Guy

  • Tommy Heinsohn
  • *************************
  • Posts: 25580
  • Tommy Points: 2722
My list of for sure better are:

Embiid
Giannis
Jokic

That is it.  Then there is a list of "about the same":

Davis
Markkanen
Towns
Adebayo
(Zion)

I have Porzingis in the 4-8 range of all bigs.  Maybe 5-10.  That essentially means we are going to have the best big on the floor most of the time, maybe as much as 25 of 30.  Durability is the biggest concern with Porzingis but many of these top bigs have that concern also.  Jokic is pretty amazing in that regard.  He has been extremely durable, part of why he is really the #1 big of all of them.

Also, really great exercise by VG!

Agreed. Fun idea.

I don't compare Porzingis to PFs. I don't think he can play there full time anymore. So I am going to scratch all PFs off the list. So that is Zion, Giannis, Markkanen and Siakam. I am only going to compare Porzingis to other centers.

I have Jokic, Embiid, A Davis, Towns and Bam Adebayo as my top five centers. I have Porzingis in the next group in the 6-10 range. I have Gobert, D Sabonis, M Turner and Ayton. Then just outside that group I have B Lopez, W Carter Jr, Vucevic, Valanciunas, Kessler. That is my top 15. Or perhaps Wemby in that final 15th slot instead of Kessler.

I currently have Gobert and D Sabonis ahead of Porzingis. Porzingis is more talented than either but I do not trust him (his performance level) as much as the other two. I wonder about M Turner. Turner is the better defensive player; Porzingis the better scorer. I have Ayton behind them all at #10. So I have Porzingis at 8 or 9. Fair argument for him over Sabonis or Gobert but I lean the other way.

If we assume health holds up? Then Zinger is easily not-top 5:
Jokic
Giannis
Embiid
Zion
Davis
Bam
Towns

I have them all ahead of Zinger. He’s firmly in the next tier of bigs though, which also reads some impressive players:
Zinger
Sabonis
Markkanen
Vucevic

I think those guys are clearly a step above the next tier of bigs like Gobert (wow this dude has fallen off), Turner, Siakam, Ayton, etc.

I like Bam (wish he was here) but I think he’s 2nd tier. Looking forward to the matchup.  TP for anyone who can provide stats (or observations) on prior Bam-KP matchups.  The dynamics between Heat-Celtics changes having KP v. Bam and I’m not sure who it favors given their substantial differences as players.  My gut says I’d rather have Bam (defense) but it’s hard to judge.

I’d also put Towns in the 2nd tier. 

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #61 on: July 24, 2023, 08:22:24 AM »

Offline Surferdad

  • Reggie Lewis
  • ***************
  • Posts: 15242
  • Tommy Points: 1034
  • "He fiddles...and diddles..."
My list of for sure better are:

Embiid
Giannis
Jokic

That is it.  Then there is a list of "about the same":

Davis
Markkanen
Towns
Adebayo
(Zion)

I have Porzingis in the 4-8 range of all bigs.  Maybe 5-10.  That essentially means we are going to have the best big on the floor most of the time, maybe as much as 25 of 30.  Durability is the biggest concern with Porzingis but many of these top bigs have that concern also.  Jokic is pretty amazing in that regard.  He has been extremely durable, part of why he is really the #1 big of all of them.

Also, really great exercise by VG!

Agreed. Fun idea.

I don't compare Porzingis to PFs. I don't think he can play there full time anymore. So I am going to scratch all PFs off the list. So that is Zion, Giannis, Markkanen and Siakam. I am only going to compare Porzingis to other centers.

I have Jokic, Embiid, A Davis, Towns and Bam Adebayo as my top five centers. I have Porzingis in the next group in the 6-10 range. I have Gobert, D Sabonis, M Turner and Ayton. Then just outside that group I have B Lopez, W Carter Jr, Vucevic, Valanciunas, Kessler. That is my top 15. Or perhaps Wemby in that final 15th slot instead of Kessler.

I currently have Gobert and D Sabonis ahead of Porzingis. Porzingis is more talented than either but I do not trust him (his performance level) as much as the other two. I wonder about M Turner. Turner is the better defensive player; Porzingis the better scorer. I have Ayton behind them all at #10. So I have Porzingis at 8 or 9. Fair argument for him over Sabonis or Gobert but I lean the other way.

If we assume health holds up? Then Zinger is easily not-top 5:
Jokic
Giannis
Embiid
Zion
Davis
Bam
Towns

I have them all ahead of Zinger. He’s firmly in the next tier of bigs though, which also reads some impressive players:
Zinger
Sabonis
Markkanen
Vucevic

I think those guys are clearly a step above the next tier of bigs like Gobert (wow this dude has fallen off), Turner, Siakam, Ayton, etc.

I like Bam (wish he was here) but I think he’s 2nd tier. Looking forward to the matchup.  TP for anyone who can provide stats (or observations) on prior Bam-KP matchups.  The dynamics between Heat-Celtics changes having KP v. Bam and I’m not sure who it favors given their substantial differences as players.  My gut says I’d rather have Bam (defense) but it’s hard to judge.

I’d also put Towns in the 2nd tier.
Agreed, and Zion is not a center. Depending on how you feel about AD, that brings us back to just:
Jokic
Giannis
Embiid

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #62 on: July 24, 2023, 09:44:10 AM »

Online Vermont Green

  • K.C. Jones
  • *************
  • Posts: 13614
  • Tommy Points: 1026
I like Bam (wish he was here) but I think he’s 2nd tier. Looking forward to the matchup.  TP for anyone who can provide stats (or observations) on prior Bam-KP matchups.  The dynamics between Heat-Celtics changes having KP v. Bam and I’m not sure who it favors given their substantial differences as players.  My gut says I’d rather have Bam (defense) but it’s hard to judge.

I’d also put Towns in the 2nd tier.

The head to head stats are pretty easy to access at Stathead:

https://stathead.com/basketball/versus-finder.cgi?request=1&seasons_type=perchoice&player_id1=adebaba01&p1yrfrom=2021&p1yrto=2023&player_id2=porzikr01&p2yrfrom=2021&p2yrto=2023

What I found interesting is that over the last 3 seasons, Adebayo played 195 games and Porzingis 159 games.  That is more equal than I would have thought.  As to key stats, Porzingis more points (21.4 to 19.5), Adebayo more rebounds (9.4 to 8.4), Adebayo more assists and turnovers.  All pretty even, all pretty much what you would expect, both make about the same money.

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #63 on: July 24, 2023, 09:56:25 AM »

Online Vermont Green

  • K.C. Jones
  • *************
  • Posts: 13614
  • Tommy Points: 1026
If we assume health holds up? Then Zinger is easily not-top 5:
Jokic
Giannis
Embiid
Zion
Davis
Bam
Towns

I have them all ahead of Zinger. He’s firmly in the next tier of bigs though, which also reads some impressive players:
Zinger
Sabonis
Markkanen
Vucevic

I think those guys are clearly a step above the next tier of bigs like Gobert (wow this dude has fallen off), Turner, Siakam, Ayton, etc.

That is a reasonable list, it certainly could go that way, but it is not particularly likely that all of Towns, Davis, and Zion have good seasons going forward.  They are all capable of it of course.  I am not sure I would trade Porzingis straight up for any of them though.  They all have their own risks or uncertainties.  Davis for sure can do more than Porzingis when he plays, I am not so sure about Towns, but I really don't think Davis is going to hold up.  Zion is a total wild card.  If he plays, he could absolutely be right there with Giannis and Embiid and Jokic but there is a lot of reason to doubt that will happen.

As to Bam, I get that some are going to have him above Porzingis.  I like Bam, but I have him more about the same as Porzingis.  I definitely don't have Adebayo in the top tier and it isn't like say Davis, where you say if healthy or if whatever, then he could be in the top tier.  I don't think I would trade Porzingis for Adebayo straight up, although if we had traded Smart for Adebayo (and two picks) instead, I would be very happy with that too.
« Last Edit: July 24, 2023, 10:08:55 AM by Vermont Green »

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #64 on: July 24, 2023, 10:17:08 AM »

Online Vermont Green

  • K.C. Jones
  • *************
  • Posts: 13614
  • Tommy Points: 1026
Agreed, and Zion is not a center. Depending on how you feel about AD, that brings us back to just:
Jokic
Giannis
Embiid

That is fine, you can interpret this how you want, but the original question that I posed was where does Porzingis rank among "bigs", not necessarily just centers.  I know everyone's idea of what a "big" is is different.  To me a big is a player that can play center or PF or both.  Even Grant Williams played center at times so I consider Grant to fall within the classification of a "big".  Some "bigs" are more PF than C, some more C than PF, some not really either but can play both.  It is definitely subjective, everyone will see it a little differently.  I consider Zion a big but I can see the argument that he is more of a Wing/PF swing than a big.  It has been so long since I have seen him play so to some extent it is moot.

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #65 on: July 24, 2023, 01:18:23 PM »

Online Who

  • James Naismith
  • *********************************
  • Posts: 52962
  • Tommy Points: 2570
Talent is needed of course, but I think chemistry is the real differentiator.  Looking back:

2023 Denver great chemistry
2022, 2015, 2017, 2018 GSW elite chemistry for all along with just pure elite talent for 2 of them
2021 Bucks very complementary players all having solid and accepted roles
2020 and 2015 Lebron LAL and Cavs teams are the 2 main exceptions here IMO, while his 2 Heat title teams I thought had very good chemistry
2019 Raptors had good chemistry, but a lucky season with GSW's injuries
2003, 2005, 2007, 2014 Spurs all elite chemistry of course
2011 Mavs great chemistry
2009 and 2010 Lakers pretty mediocre chemistry, but they worked well together
2008 Celtics had great chemistry
2006 Heat had well defined roles and role players
2004 Pistons great chemistry and identity

And that covers every NBA champion over the past 20 seasons.  And the word chemistry starts to look weird when you type it so many times.

I'll be curious how the Celtics chemistry comes into form this season.

This is also the part that concerns me about Porzingis. After Tatum, the next three players Jaylen, Porzingis and Brogdon are all individualistic and not team orientated in their style of play. It is hard to have high caliber chemistry when your top guys are looking out for themselves more than the team.

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #66 on: July 24, 2023, 01:37:54 PM »

Online Vermont Green

  • K.C. Jones
  • *************
  • Posts: 13614
  • Tommy Points: 1026
Talent is needed of course, but I think chemistry is the real differentiator.  Looking back:

2023 Denver great chemistry
2022, 2015, 2017, 2018 GSW elite chemistry for all along with just pure elite talent for 2 of them
2021 Bucks very complementary players all having solid and accepted roles
2020 and 2015 Lebron LAL and Cavs teams are the 2 main exceptions here IMO, while his 2 Heat title teams I thought had very good chemistry
2019 Raptors had good chemistry, but a lucky season with GSW's injuries
2003, 2005, 2007, 2014 Spurs all elite chemistry of course
2011 Mavs great chemistry
2009 and 2010 Lakers pretty mediocre chemistry, but they worked well together
2008 Celtics had great chemistry
2006 Heat had well defined roles and role players
2004 Pistons great chemistry and identity

And that covers every NBA champion over the past 20 seasons.  And the word chemistry starts to look weird when you type it so many times.

I'll be curious how the Celtics chemistry comes into form this season.

This is also the part that concerns me about Porzingis. After Tatum, the next three players Jaylen, Porzingis and Brogdon are all individualistic and not team orientated in their style of play. It is hard to have high caliber chemistry when your top guys are looking out for themselves more than the team.

I am not sure this is a true conclusion.  Brogdon came the the Celtics and accepted a 6th man role, embraced the role enough to win 6MOY award.  He did pretty much everything the Celtics asked him to do.  And I don't know where you are getting that about Brown.  We have been hearing for years that Tatum and Brown can't play together yet the team has done well and both players have improved every year.

On Porzingis, I think the farthest you can go is TBD.  So far, Porzingis has said all the right things.  The trade would not have happened if he didn't want to be here, he could have not picked up his option and not agreed to extend on fairly team friendly terms.  That would have killed the trade and he would be a UFA right now.

I am not worried about "chemistry".  Chemistry always appears good when teams do well.  I agree that it can be a factor to some extent, but I am not sure what comes first; does good chemistry lead to winning or does winning lead to good chemistry?

If anything, Brogdon may be a little put off as a result of almost being traded, and the whole world knowing that.  But I actually think he will deal with that just fine.  He has been nothing but a consummate professional on the Celtics and his entire career.  And if he does have some lingering issue with this, and wants out, he is easy enough to trade.  I think all the players you mention, Brown, Brogdon, and Porzingis are very happy to be on the Celtics and all of them will do whatever is asked.

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #67 on: July 24, 2023, 02:15:54 PM »

Online Who

  • James Naismith
  • *********************************
  • Posts: 52962
  • Tommy Points: 2570
Talent is needed of course, but I think chemistry is the real differentiator.  Looking back:

2023 Denver great chemistry
2022, 2015, 2017, 2018 GSW elite chemistry for all along with just pure elite talent for 2 of them
2021 Bucks very complementary players all having solid and accepted roles
2020 and 2015 Lebron LAL and Cavs teams are the 2 main exceptions here IMO, while his 2 Heat title teams I thought had very good chemistry
2019 Raptors had good chemistry, but a lucky season with GSW's injuries
2003, 2005, 2007, 2014 Spurs all elite chemistry of course
2011 Mavs great chemistry
2009 and 2010 Lakers pretty mediocre chemistry, but they worked well together
2008 Celtics had great chemistry
2006 Heat had well defined roles and role players
2004 Pistons great chemistry and identity

And that covers every NBA champion over the past 20 seasons.  And the word chemistry starts to look weird when you type it so many times.

I'll be curious how the Celtics chemistry comes into form this season.

This is also the part that concerns me about Porzingis. After Tatum, the next three players Jaylen, Porzingis and Brogdon are all individualistic and not team orientated in their style of play. It is hard to have high caliber chemistry when your top guys are looking out for themselves more than the team.

I am not sure this is a true conclusion.  Brogdon came the the Celtics and accepted a 6th man role, embraced the role enough to win 6MOY award.  He did pretty much everything the Celtics asked him to do.  And I don't know where you are getting that about Brown.  We have been hearing for years that Tatum and Brown can't play together yet the team has done well and both players have improved every year.

On Porzingis, I think the farthest you can go is TBD.  So far, Porzingis has said all the right things.  The trade would not have happened if he didn't want to be here, he could have not picked up his option and not agreed to extend on fairly team friendly terms.  That would have killed the trade and he would be a UFA right now.

I am not worried about "chemistry".  Chemistry always appears good when teams do well.  I agree that it can be a factor to some extent, but I am not sure what comes first; does good chemistry lead to winning or does winning lead to good chemistry?

If anything, Brogdon may be a little put off as a result of almost being traded, and the whole world knowing that.  But I actually think he will deal with that just fine.  He has been nothing but a consummate professional on the Celtics and his entire career.  And if he does have some lingering issue with this, and wants out, he is easy enough to trade.  I think all the players you mention, Brown, Brogdon, and Porzingis are very happy to be on the Celtics and all of them will do whatever is asked.

I would say that 90% of what is called chemistry is skill-based and is about having players (1) with team based skills [team offense, team defense, rebounding) and (2) who complement each other's skill-sets.

So when I say individual based in this context, I am talking about the style of play of Jaylen Brown, Porzingis and Brogdon.

Brogdon is more of a one-on-one type guard. He has nice floor spacing skills as a team offensive player but impact as a go-to option is one-on-one based. His playmaking and passing comes from one-on-one play. His driving ability. He is not a true PG in terms of being a floor general and setting up the team. He is a passer out of one-on-one opportunities. So he is either a one-on-one player who can be a 20ppg 6-7apg threat or a role player guy who is a 12-14ppg 3-4apg threat depending on whether he gets enough one-on-one opportunities. And ever since he blew up in Indy, he calls his number quite a bit. He looks after himself.

This isn't character based. This skill based. So yeah, Brogdon accepted a smaller role and came off the bench but he maintained the style of play he had in Indy just did in shorter minutes.

Jaylen Brown's issue is similar to Porzingis in terms of possessions used for scoring attempts (FGAs, FTAs, TOs) relative to possessions used to create an opportunity for a teammate (ASTs). Both are high volume scorers with low volume passing. This makes it harder to have good ball movement and team based offense. It makes the offense more likely to devolve into iso ball or my turn / your turn type offense.

This has been an issue for Boston for several years now due to Tatum and Jaylen. Tatum has gotten better in the last few years at this and is less of an issue now although he is merely good rather than great in terms of his balance of creating for himself vs creating for others. Jaylen continues to be an issue. Porzingis has been issue his entire career in this regard as well. So adding Porzingis is likely to increase this issue for Boston.

So the individual focus vs team focus I am talking about here is skill-based and style of play based. And this is why I consider each of these three players to be individualistic in their approach to basketball as opposed to team based.



With Jokic being the ultimate team based approach. Magic, Bird. The holy grail of team based style of play. Those three dudes. Pau Gasol team based. Kevin Garnett team based. Rondo team based. Pierce and Ray were more like Tatum level team based.

The opposite extreme would be guys like Rudy Gay or Corey Maggette. Some big guys like Al Jefferson. Or even our own beloved Kevin McHale who was a black hole in the post. Did not like passing out of the post. Hakeem Olajuwon was a black hole in the early years of his career before becoming more team based in the 90s when he learned the value of drawing double teams, passing out and creating easier opportunities for his teammates. Or Moses Malone. Some of these guys can go on to have great careers but they are a challenge to team offense and if you put too many of them on a team together they can limit your offensive ceiling due to lack of ball movement.

Sticking with McHale, just look at Boston's offense that year that Bird was out for the season and they tried to run the offense through McHale and Parish. Neither guy was a good enough passer. The offense kept stalling. Both were individual based on offense although team based on defense & rebounding so they were not as individualistic as our current trio (Jaylen, Porzingis, Brogdon) but they certainly were on the offensive side of the floor. You take Bird away and their flaws / limitations showed up much more clearly.

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #68 on: July 24, 2023, 02:28:40 PM »

Offline Neurotic Guy

  • Tommy Heinsohn
  • *************************
  • Posts: 25580
  • Tommy Points: 2722
Tatum - 1st team all-NBA
Brown - 2nd team all-NBA
Porzingis - 1x all-star; 23ppg
White - All-defensive team 2022-23
Williams - All-defensive team 2021-22
Brogdon - 6th man of the year - top 5 3pt%
Horford - 5-time all-star - top 5 3pt%

Obviously health matters, but if healthy, I think the worry belongs with Cs opponents.

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #69 on: July 24, 2023, 03:13:19 PM »

Offline green_bballers13

  • NCE
  • Ray Allen
  • ***
  • Posts: 3308
  • Tommy Points: 336
Tatum - 1st team all-NBA
Brown - 2nd team all-NBA
Porzingis - 1x all-star; 23ppg
White - All-defensive team 2022-23
Williams - All-defensive team 2021-22
Brogdon - 6th man of the year - top 5 3pt%
Horford - 5-time all-star - top 5 3pt%

Obviously health matters, but if healthy, I think the worry belongs with Cs opponents.

Yeah, but did Tatum deserve 1st team all nba?

Jk- this team is stacked. It is officially go time. No more excuses.
The only real mistake is the one from which we learn nothing.

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #70 on: July 24, 2023, 04:29:31 PM »

Offline obnoxiousmime

  • Bailey Howell
  • **
  • Posts: 2427
  • Tommy Points: 260
Our stars' skillsets are going to dictate how we play, there's just no way around that. I would love having more talent that actually played with ball movement and unselfishness and scoring without isolation/ball in hand, but we simply don't have the personnel. If you look at most of the "stars" around the league, a lot of them are scorers who need the ball. True superduperstars that make their teammates better are rare.

They went for the talent that was available. Porzingis was available for an OK price. The risk is you're committing for at least two years to him, but the alternative risk is Horford is too old and Rob can't take a true starter's load + responsibility due to health. When The Celtics let themselves be outbid for Horford, they had to get by with a frontcourt of Theis and Thompson for two seasons and it simply wasn't good enough. They even were playing Grant as a smallball 5! Enes Kanter was playing backup minutes as well. My point is, there was also a risk in just staying put or signing a mediocre stopgap-type player.

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #71 on: July 24, 2023, 09:41:13 PM »

Offline Moranis

  • James Naismith
  • *********************************
  • Posts: 34680
  • Tommy Points: 1603
Our stars' skillsets are going to dictate how we play, there's just no way around that. I would love having more talent that actually played with ball movement and unselfishness and scoring without isolation/ball in hand, but we simply don't have the personnel. If you look at most of the "stars" around the league, a lot of them are scorers who need the ball. True superduperstars that make their teammates better are rare.

They went for the talent that was available. Porzingis was available for an OK price. The risk is you're committing for at least two years to him, but the alternative risk is Horford is too old and Rob can't take a true starter's load + responsibility due to health. When The Celtics let themselves be outbid for Horford, they had to get by with a frontcourt of Theis and Thompson for two seasons and it simply wasn't good enough. They even were playing Grant as a smallball 5! Enes Kanter was playing backup minutes as well. My point is, there was also a risk in just staying put or signing a mediocre stopgap-type player.
I don't think that is actually true, but even if it was, Who's point seems to be that your 2nd, 3rd, and 4th best players can't be that way (and Rob is a worse play maker than all of them).  If your star is a bit selfish you can make it work, but you need complimentary pieces to that star.  That has been the issue with Tatum and Brown collectively for years.  Brown doesn't compliment Tatum all that well.  He is basically just a lesser version across the board, instead of a supporting piece.  If Tatum was like Lebron as a playmaker it wouldn't matter as much, but Tatum is much more in the Durant style of playmaker, good enough, but not elite, so those guys are at their best when they actually have elite playmakers next to them.
2025 Historical Draft - Cleveland Cavaliers - 1st pick

Starters - Luka, JB, Lebron, Wemby, Shaq
Rotation - D. Daniels, Mitchell, G. Wallace, Melo, Noah
Deep Bench - Korver, Turner

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #72 on: July 25, 2023, 06:55:43 AM »

Offline cman88

  • Rajon Rondo
  • *****
  • Posts: 5530
  • Tommy Points: 397
Our stars' skillsets are going to dictate how we play, there's just no way around that. I would love having more talent that actually played with ball movement and unselfishness and scoring without isolation/ball in hand, but we simply don't have the personnel. If you look at most of the "stars" around the league, a lot of them are scorers who need the ball. True superduperstars that make their teammates better are rare.

They went for the talent that was available. Porzingis was available for an OK price. The risk is you're committing for at least two years to him, but the alternative risk is Horford is too old and Rob can't take a true starter's load + responsibility due to health. When The Celtics let themselves be outbid for Horford, they had to get by with a frontcourt of Theis and Thompson for two seasons and it simply wasn't good enough. They even were playing Grant as a smallball 5! Enes Kanter was playing backup minutes as well. My point is, there was also a risk in just staying put or signing a mediocre stopgap-type player.

there definitely is risk in staying put that.  we've seen this team close but not get over the hump 2 years in a row with this roster with similar issues rearing their ugly heads. If Brad rolled back the same team and we had another listless playoffs losing as guys gave inconsistent efforts there would be all hell breaks loose on this board and the media. KP offers something different as someone who while he can shoot the 3 and stretch the floor is good rolling to the basket, in the post etc. and can just offer something different offensively. and Brad is trying to shake it up. because the last 2 years the celtics definitely underachieved when you look at the performance they put forth.

Funny thing is Most fans/media were expecting brad would stay put and were attacking that plan. until he traded for KP and then it became they are "worried" and how could you give up smart/grant!

but thats just what the media does I guess. Need to have a negative story to peddle. Not saying it will work out with KP. but acting like "all is well" and rolling it back with smart was not the narrative these guys were giving after that horrid loss to the heat.
« Last Edit: July 25, 2023, 07:01:02 AM by cman88 »

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #73 on: July 25, 2023, 06:59:25 AM »

Offline cman88

  • Rajon Rondo
  • *****
  • Posts: 5530
  • Tommy Points: 397
Our stars' skillsets are going to dictate how we play, there's just no way around that. I would love having more talent that actually played with ball movement and unselfishness and scoring without isolation/ball in hand, but we simply don't have the personnel. If you look at most of the "stars" around the league, a lot of them are scorers who need the ball. True superduperstars that make their teammates better are rare.

They went for the talent that was available. Porzingis was available for an OK price. The risk is you're committing for at least two years to him, but the alternative risk is Horford is too old and Rob can't take a true starter's load + responsibility due to health. When The Celtics let themselves be outbid for Horford, they had to get by with a frontcourt of Theis and Thompson for two seasons and it simply wasn't good enough. They even were playing Grant as a smallball 5! Enes Kanter was playing backup minutes as well. My point is, there was also a risk in just staying put or signing a mediocre stopgap-type player.
I don't think that is actually true, but even if it was, Who's point seems to be that your 2nd, 3rd, and 4th best players can't be that way (and Rob is a worse play maker than all of them).  If your star is a bit selfish you can make it work, but you need complimentary pieces to that star.  That has been the issue with Tatum and Brown collectively for years.  Brown doesn't compliment Tatum all that well.  He is basically just a lesser version across the board, instead of a supporting piece.  If Tatum was like Lebron as a playmaker it wouldn't matter as much, but Tatum is much more in the Durant style of playmaker, good enough, but not elite, so those guys are at their best when they actually have elite playmakers next to them.

its such a lazy narrative to just say Brown  doesn't fit with tatum. The body of success just doesn't bear it out. They made game 7 of the ECF and the finals last year. and the one year he was injured they got bounced in the first. SO they made it in spite of Brown? when do you hear of an unbalanced grouping making it that far. theres no evidence that having Brown is what held them back from additional success.

heck, we likely get bounced by the sixers in the 2nd round with how Tatum played in most of that series if we didn't have Brown to hold down the fort offensively.

Re: Chris Mannix: Worried about Porzingis
« Reply #74 on: July 25, 2023, 08:04:09 AM »

Online Vermont Green

  • K.C. Jones
  • *************
  • Posts: 13614
  • Tommy Points: 1026
Talent is needed of course, but I think chemistry is the real differentiator.  Looking back:

2023 Denver great chemistry
2022, 2015, 2017, 2018 GSW elite chemistry for all along with just pure elite talent for 2 of them
2021 Bucks very complementary players all having solid and accepted roles
2020 and 2015 Lebron LAL and Cavs teams are the 2 main exceptions here IMO, while his 2 Heat title teams I thought had very good chemistry
2019 Raptors had good chemistry, but a lucky season with GSW's injuries
2003, 2005, 2007, 2014 Spurs all elite chemistry of course
2011 Mavs great chemistry
2009 and 2010 Lakers pretty mediocre chemistry, but they worked well together
2008 Celtics had great chemistry
2006 Heat had well defined roles and role players
2004 Pistons great chemistry and identity

And that covers every NBA champion over the past 20 seasons.  And the word chemistry starts to look weird when you type it so many times.

I'll be curious how the Celtics chemistry comes into form this season.

This is also the part that concerns me about Porzingis. After Tatum, the next three players Jaylen, Porzingis and Brogdon are all individualistic and not team orientated in their style of play. It is hard to have high caliber chemistry when your top guys are looking out for themselves more than the team.

I am not sure this is a true conclusion.  Brogdon came the the Celtics and accepted a 6th man role, embraced the role enough to win 6MOY award.  He did pretty much everything the Celtics asked him to do.  And I don't know where you are getting that about Brown.  We have been hearing for years that Tatum and Brown can't play together yet the team has done well and both players have improved every year.

On Porzingis, I think the farthest you can go is TBD.  So far, Porzingis has said all the right things.  The trade would not have happened if he didn't want to be here, he could have not picked up his option and not agreed to extend on fairly team friendly terms.  That would have killed the trade and he would be a UFA right now.

I am not worried about "chemistry".  Chemistry always appears good when teams do well.  I agree that it can be a factor to some extent, but I am not sure what comes first; does good chemistry lead to winning or does winning lead to good chemistry?

If anything, Brogdon may be a little put off as a result of almost being traded, and the whole world knowing that.  But I actually think he will deal with that just fine.  He has been nothing but a consummate professional on the Celtics and his entire career.  And if he does have some lingering issue with this, and wants out, he is easy enough to trade.  I think all the players you mention, Brown, Brogdon, and Porzingis are very happy to be on the Celtics and all of them will do whatever is asked.

I would say that 90% of what is called chemistry is skill-based and is about having players (1) with team based skills [team offense, team defense, rebounding) and (2) who complement each other's skill-sets.

So when I say individual based in this context, I am talking about the style of play of Jaylen Brown, Porzingis and Brogdon.

Brogdon is more of a one-on-one type guard. He has nice floor spacing skills as a team offensive player but impact as a go-to option is one-on-one based. His playmaking and passing comes from one-on-one play. His driving ability. He is not a true PG in terms of being a floor general and setting up the team. He is a passer out of one-on-one opportunities. So he is either a one-on-one player who can be a 20ppg 6-7apg threat or a role player guy who is a 12-14ppg 3-4apg threat depending on whether he gets enough one-on-one opportunities. And ever since he blew up in Indy, he calls his number quite a bit. He looks after himself.

This isn't character based. This skill based. So yeah, Brogdon accepted a smaller role and came off the bench but he maintained the style of play he had in Indy just did in shorter minutes.

Jaylen Brown's issue is similar to Porzingis in terms of possessions used for scoring attempts (FGAs, FTAs, TOs) relative to possessions used to create an opportunity for a teammate (ASTs). Both are high volume scorers with low volume passing. This makes it harder to have good ball movement and team based offense. It makes the offense more likely to devolve into iso ball or my turn / your turn type offense.

This has been an issue for Boston for several years now due to Tatum and Jaylen. Tatum has gotten better in the last few years at this and is less of an issue now although he is merely good rather than great in terms of his balance of creating for himself vs creating for others. Jaylen continues to be an issue. Porzingis has been issue his entire career in this regard as well. So adding Porzingis is likely to increase this issue for Boston.

So the individual focus vs team focus I am talking about here is skill-based and style of play based. And this is why I consider each of these three players to be individualistic in their approach to basketball as opposed to team based.



With Jokic being the ultimate team based approach. Magic, Bird. The holy grail of team based style of play. Those three dudes. Pau Gasol team based. Kevin Garnett team based. Rondo team based. Pierce and Ray were more like Tatum level team based.

The opposite extreme would be guys like Rudy Gay or Corey Maggette. Some big guys like Al Jefferson. Or even our own beloved Kevin McHale who was a black hole in the post. Did not like passing out of the post. Hakeem Olajuwon was a black hole in the early years of his career before becoming more team based in the 90s when he learned the value of drawing double teams, passing out and creating easier opportunities for his teammates. Or Moses Malone. Some of these guys can go on to have great careers but they are a challenge to team offense and if you put too many of them on a team together they can limit your offensive ceiling due to lack of ball movement.

Sticking with McHale, just look at Boston's offense that year that Bird was out for the season and they tried to run the offense through McHale and Parish. Neither guy was a good enough passer. The offense kept stalling. Both were individual based on offense although team based on defense & rebounding so they were not as individualistic as our current trio (Jaylen, Porzingis, Brogdon) but they certainly were on the offensive side of the floor. You take Bird away and their flaws / limitations showed up much more clearly.

OK, if I am understanding you now, your concern isn't so much personalities or wanting to be here but more how well do the pieces fit on the court from a basketball Xs and Os standpoint, is that fair?  When I look at the PHX team, Beal and Booker and Durant are all primary scorers.  That seems an even more extreme case of what you are concerned about. 

I am not that concerned for the Celtics.  Brogdon has already established that he is completely fine with and can be productive in the role he has on the Celtics.  When he is in, he has the ball in his hands a lot but more as an overall creater, not always just a scorer.  I see no issue there.  And Brown and Tatum have been playing together for 6 seasons.  There is no issue with them on the floor together.  There is nothing new here, this is all well established.

So again, to me, the only unknown in this is Porzingis.  He has averaged about 15 FGA in his career, and he was 15.7 FGA last season.  This may go down a little on the Celtics, say it is 12 shots.  I don't see any problems with Porzingis getting 12-15 shots.  I don't see that necessarily causing any chemistry issues or it meaning that Brown is now going to be unhappy that he is only getting say 17 FGA instead of 20 FGA.

What should happen is that by having Porzingis on the court, a big who is a legit offensive threat all the way to the 3-point line, that defenses will not be able to double Tatum and Brown as much.  It should make things easier for everyone else.  It will raise the tide so all the boats will rise, insert whatever metaphor you want.