I thought this thread was being brought back as a joke. I’m not a huge fan of Joe’s but I thought he did a really good job last night. Had the great challenge that was a huge swing and timely doubling of Ant. It pretty much came down to the team not shooting well. They had a 2 for 1 to end regulation and it ended with a turnover by Al and a missed wide open 3 by Jaylen. I’d prefer a closer shot, but he was wide open. I don’t have a problem with not calling timeout if Joe feels he has the guys he wants on the court. Also, for everyone clamoring that it should’ve been Tatum to take the last shot, there are plenty of scenarios in the past where that was the case and it lead to the same outcome.
The thing is, they want you to take a 3 in that instance. If you drive, you open up the possibility of a foul and even making one FT gives you the lead and forces the other team to have to make a shot. You're basically letting their defense off the hook by pulling up, and it's also the "safe" thing to do because you can't turn it over that way or have your shot blocked (usually). And if you miss, you can just say, "well, sometimes they go in, sometimes they don't" and escape criticism.
Yeah, threes usually aren't the smart play for a late shot if tied or down by 1. The success rate is going to be around 35%, quite a bit less than a 2PT shot.
I agree that I wouldn’t want to see a 3 in that situation either, although trying to attack to draw a foul isn’t a great bet either as the refs will typically swallow their whistles unless it’s egregious. Jaylen is a very good mid-ranger shooter. He had the defender on his heels and could’ve easily just taken one more dribble to pull up from 12-15 feet rather than step back.
Again, though, if we go back and look at all the other times the Celtics have been in a similar situation over the last few years, it’s usually been a 3 pointer, tough fall-away or a turnover. They’ve never been good (including Tatum) in this situation for whatever reason. I’m not putting all that on Joe because it’s been an issue for years
That's not exactly what I meant. I said driving creates the possibility of a foul, which is an additional benefit that pulling up is unlikely to provide. Yes, the refs don't want to call a foul. However, if there's time left on the clock, maybe they do because they know the Wolves will at least get a chance to get a shot off.
But yes, I agree that generally speaking Brown shooting a 3 is a low percentage shot for him. I think Tatum and Brown resort to those shots late-game (when the score doesn't actually require a 3) because they don't feel confident driving against a good defender with length. We've seen them turn it over often without the defender even making contact with the ball.